The Las Vegas Summer League: Where Do We Go From Here?

Discussion in 'Chicago Bulls' started by rosenthall, Jul 20, 2013.

  1. rosenthall

    rosenthall Well-Known Member

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    Now that summer league's wrapped up and we've had our first glance at current and potential additions to the bottom of the roster, let's talk about who should and shouldn't make the roster, and what their roles should be.

    Here's my take.....

    Tony Snell

    For the most part I think our two draft picks played well and helped solidify their spots on the team. Snell wasn't a world beater but I thought his tools were clearly demonstrated and after watching him 3 times I'm confident he's not the kind of guy who's meant to dominate summer league.

    I like his instinctive, heady play and innate ability to play off of others. With a world-class on the ball point guard and well executed offense that moves the ball side to side very well he'll have a lot of opportunities to contribute offensively. I think his statistical contributions will be meager and will mostly ride the bench to begin the season, but I think we'll see Jimmy-like signs throughout the year and when someone goes down due to injury he'll hold the fort down and make fans glad that we drafted him. Thibs talks as if he plans on playing him this year.

    Erik Murphy

    Erik Murphy's place on the team isn't as clearly defined, but I believe he greatly helped his cause after a disastrous start. He had one of the worst performances I've ever seen from anyone, ever, in a professional basketball game. But at the end of the tournament he came out shooting 55% from the field, 50% from three, and an eFG of 67%. If you subtract his first game the numbers become an eye-popping 61%, 71%, and 76%, respectively. He's clearly not an athletic player who'll have problems on defense and creating his own shot, but he moves very well without the ball and is a dead-eye shooter with his feet set.

    Rumor has it the Bulls signed him to a 2 year deal with a team option for a third, and he's been mentioned by the FO and Thibs when talking about the rotation, so it sounds like for now the Bulls have him in their plans, even if it's as a replacement for Vlad.

    Marquis Teague

    Marquis Teague looked much better than last year, but it's not clear to me if he'll see much more playing time because of it He ran the offense well, but he still plays too fast and gets disoriented easily. His shot looks a lot better, but I'm still not sure I trust it to go in against NBA defenses. It still seems like he thinks about it a lot before he takes it.

    The good news is that Teague definitely looks to have worked on his weaknesses extensively since the beginning of last year. That's big. However, right now I predict it won't be until year 3 when the Bulls see their investment in him come to fruition. Kirk's contract will be up, he'll have an additional year of experience under his belt, and the Bulls may have an Eric Bledsoe/Avery Bradley situaiton on their hands......which would be great.

    Andrew Goudelock

    Goudelock has proven beyond the shadow of a doubt that he's very prolific at putting up shots. It's not as clear how effective he'll be if he has to do this on a regular basis against against NBA defenses. He doesn't strike me as an outstanding athlete, and at the end of the day is a guy who's going to be shooting lots of floaters and step back jumpers. So there's going to be a lot of 6-8 shooting nights and a lot of 1-8 shooting nights.

    He'll have a small role if the Bulls sign him, but I hope they do. If he plays it'll probably be because we're in desperate need of scoring anyway so we probably won't have any better options than him calling his own number. He really reminds me a lot of Jannero Pargo and Eddie House. This is just a hunch, but he seems to have a lot of confidence and a chip on his shoulder, and hence is not the kind of guy who'll cave in big minutes. He's like Nate in that way.

    Malcolm Thomas

    Malcolm Thomas is a good defender and prolific rebounder, but damn, he sure seems to replicate Taj. As is, he doesn't offer anything the Bulls don't already have and so will probably be the loser at the end-of-roster game of musical chairs the Bulls are playing. He'll probably be the first guy they call if a big man goes down, but I doubt the Bulls will see a need for him at the beginning of the season and will look to save themselves a little bit of cash.

    My closing will be that the one guy who impressed me that didn't get a lot of mention is Dion Thompson. He's not a particularly explosive player but he's got a big, wide body and knows how to position it well on offense and defense. He looks to be about Nazr's size. I highly doubt he gets a contract, but I think he might be someone the Bulls call up if they get hit by the injury bug again and bodies are dropping left and right.
     
  2. transplant

    transplant Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Thanks for watching these games so I don't have to.;)

    When you say Teague plays too fast, I take that to mean that he seems hurried. Right? In any case, after last year's SL, all the people I trust (you're one of them) were saying "OMG, he's TERRIBLE!" about Teague. I saw some growth last season, so I expected a better SL showing. Glad to hear he delivered even if he's still very much a work in progress.

    Most folks seem to feel that someone's going to sign Goudelock. The Bulls have that JLIII role and I'd be fine with them giving it to this guy.

    If Thomas is 90% Taj Gibson, I'll take him. When it comes to tough bigs with great motors, I don't worry too much about redundancy.

    Thanks again.
     
  3. Good Hope

    Good Hope Active Member

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    Nice recap, Rosen. I didn't see every game, but your observations match mine. Murphy is definitely intriguing. The more I think about it, the more I believe that it was Thibs non-use of Vlad Rad that frustrated the FO this past year. The FO thought they had identified a need and found a solution...Murphy seems to have been drafted with the lesson from last year's frustration in mind. He could really help, or ... not. I don't know. By the way, did you guys know about that situation in Florida where Murphy was caught drinking and charged with stealing a car? It was in Sam's article for today. This guy could have some punk to him :-)

    I think Snell contributes this year. So will Teague. Again according to Sam, everybody agrees that Teague will be more effective next to Rose than Nate would, indicating they see him on the court with Derrick. If that works, Teague will play a lot.
     
  4. rosenthall

    rosenthall Well-Known Member

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    Teague looks much better than last year, no doubt. To me his issue is learning not to be over-reliant on his speed when he wants to get things done. It's great that he has it, but he still needs to turn the corner and master when he ought to use it and when he ought to let things come to him.

    I'd have no problem with Malcolm Thomas on the team, I'm just guessing the Bulls don't want 15 players on the team. Maybe they're comfortable with Nazr being the only "true" C besides Noah and feel comfortable with MT playing backup PF/C if need be. If that's the case then I wouldn't be surprised if he makes the team.

    Boozer/Taj/Noah will get the lion's share of the minutes regardless, and maybe Murphy/Thomas/Nazr will be a 3-headed monster depending on what the team needs.

    I think Goudelock will be fine as an end of the bench heat-check kind of guy. No complaints from me if we sign him.
     
  5. rosenthall

    rosenthall Well-Known Member

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    Like Snell, I think Teague will start the year slowly and eventually get his chance when either Derrick or Kirk need to sit out due to injury. I'm still not sure how well his improvement in summer league will translate to the NBA, but I feel sanguine knowing that he's come a long way from this point last year. Good for him.
     
  6. such sweet thunder

    such sweet thunder Member Staff Member Moderator

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    This is the most excited I've been about an upcoming season since 2010-2011. I really like the young players that Gar has accumulated over the past few seasons.

    ----- 13.3 points, 5.2 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.3 steals from Jimmy Butler shouldn't be shrugged off. He's one of those few players that is (a) one of the best handful of athletes at his position; and (b) contributed very early despite having a relatively unrefined game. Those types of players are notoriously hard to project. We had one recently in Derrick Rose who was an okay player and then seemingly instantly an MVP candidate. I'm not saying we should expect Jimmy to be an allstar this season -- only that we can't completely discount a huge jump in his game and that we should carry some hope for Butler playing much better than expectations.

    ------ I like Marquis Teague quite a bit as a prospect and wouldn't shocked if Thibodeau gives him decent run immediately. He's going to make a ton of mistakes for a while but he seems like he's made it over the hump and now he needs playing time to take the next step. I think he has the potential to be a top 10 or 12 point guard in the league. That's what they're going to need for him to show for the pick to make sense.

    ------ I don't have a great read on Murphy. He's really, really small. He's basically the size of a small forward even if his bulk allows him to compensate to an extent. I love his shot, but if he's going to be a giant defensive liability, and it looks like he might be, then it's going to be tough finding him minutes.

    ------ Goudelock is fine but I'm hoping the Bulls elect to sign Nate instead. Lil Nate can be an alpha scorer when nothing else is working in a way that Goudelock isn't capable. I think the Bulls have more of a need for gunner at shooting guard than at point but I'd just play Nate at the one if that's what it came down to.

    ------ Snell is interesting. I am a little worried he won't be able to get his shot off against defenders in the regular season and, even more so, the playoffs. I do like his handling quite a bit.
     
  7. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Poor Taj. His skill set replicated by a D Leaguer.

    I put no stock in summer league at all.

    I lived in Vegas and went to the SL games a few years back. DJ Strawberry was clearly (by far) the best player on the floor when he was in.

    Lonny Baxter tore up SL, too.

    The teams are made up of raw rookies and D League talent. Teague sure looks great against those kinds of players. So do Good Luck and Malcolm "can't beat out Nazr" Thomas. The teams are typically coached by assistants, or wannabe coaches.

    You can chalk up Snell not distinguishing himself as SL MVP caliber to the team using SL to have him work on specific parts of his game. You can chalk up Murphy doing well to being guarded by E. Griffin (who?).

    That said, there may well be 12 minutes per game to rest Lu and Jimmy. Dunleavy likely gets those minutes. Granted, guys miss games so the next tier players need to be able to step in. Where/when is Snell going to play?

    As for Snell, I think he can contribute. He's not Pippen, but he looks like him compared to Luol and Jimmy.

    I would love to see us buy out Kurt and let Teague play all the backup PG minutes.
     
  8. transplant

    transplant Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    SST, glad to hear you're fired up...knowing how closely you keep track of things, it fires me up some.

    If Teague's a top 10-12 PG for the price of a #29 overall pick, that would go well beyond justifying the pick.

    Your "Murphy's really small" comment surprises me. According to the combine numbers, he's 6-8 3/4 without shoes. That's as tall as guys like Al Horford, Josh McRoberts, Antoine Walker and Emeka Okafor, to name a few. What he ain't is long, with a wingspan of only 6-10 1/2. I know that some are pretty high on Murphy, but if he can earn a spot at the end of the bench, that's better than breaking even on a mid-2nd rounder.
     
  9. rosenthall

    rosenthall Well-Known Member

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    I also think Jimmy has a legitimate chance to make another jump this year and really become a good player. Hell, if you judge him by his playoff series against Miami last year he's already there.

    I'll be especially curious to see how well his shooting holds up. He didn't have a reputation as a good one coming into the league, but managed to shoot over 40% once he was given a lot of minutes. Thatd be huge if it stuck.

    I don't like Snell's ability to create space for himself off the dribble, but I do like his ability to move off the ball. I think he'll do well finding spots for himself playing off of Derrick and our interior passing whenever he gets a chance to play.

    I share Denny skepticism about Teague this year. By the numbers he was one of the worst players in the NBA. PG is a difficult position to master, and pushing around the other summer league PG's doesn't indicate very much. Especially when he can still use his superior athleticism as a crutch. I'll remain a skeptic until I see it in an NBA game.

    This might sound weird, but Murphy is a real wild card to me. It seems clear that he's really an outstanding shooter. He shot 45% last year on almost 7 attempts/game as a PF/C! He's also very fundamentally sound both on offense and defense. It's just a matter of whether or not he'll be athletic enough to put any of it to use....including his shooting.

    If he has enough pop to get his shot off and play off of others he could be a serious X-factor because you've got to play out on him and it's a dynamic this team has never had while Derrick's been here. Derrick with a nasty stretch 4 creates some extremely interesting scenarios.

    But he's clearly got white man's disease. At this point I'm completely 50/50 on whether or not he'll pan out or end up in Europe.
     
  10. Good Hope

    Good Hope Active Member

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    It's where they should have stayed, to be honest :-)

    I'm more hopeful than you on Snell. I think he's a real, live, ball-handling 2/3. He'll do what he should. He won't hurt you, and he has ways to help, from the get go.

    Murphy is a wild card. But he's a gamer, and he has a real skill. So, we'll see!

    Teague? I believe. I believe because Thibs believes. I think somehow Jimmy warmed the cockles of Thibs' heart. If you listened to thibs last year, he downplayed Jimmy hard, in spite of all the ways he had shown improvement, and he wasn't so willing to let Jimmy play, except that Rip and Kirk and even Luol got hurt. But Jimmy won thibs over, and now Thibs believes that Jimmy has laid down the path for the other rookies to follow, and he sees how Marquis has done it.

    Thibs has had a change of heart -- think about it (can't you see it?) -- and Jimmy is the man who melted that heart of stone.

    Now, if Teague bombs on him -- look out!
     
  11. rosenthall

    rosenthall Well-Known Member

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    I'm optimistic about Snell, I just don't see him as an ISO player....at least not yet. I think he's a good ballhandler, just not a guy who's great at creating space. To his credit he's very smart with his dribbles and doesn't use a lot of wasted motion in the way he plays. I thin he'll be alright. What's more difficult to predict is the "when."

    I wouldn't be surprised to see Murphy get off to a faster start than Snell. His skillset is so unique on this team and his role so clearly defined I imagine there will be more scenarios from the get go where it makes sense to play him.

    Hell, he *might* even be the best shooting big man in the league. I'm a believer in the guy's capability as a spot-up shooter. I'm just mum on whether or not everything else will drag him down. I'll be following his development in earnest this season.

    I find Erik Murphy intriguing because if you want to spread the floor for Derrick Rose he becomes our most useful player *if* he can get his shot off in the NBA. I'll be waiting with anticipation.

    I don't view Teague and Jimmy on an equal plane. It was clear from the outset that Jimmy had poise, even when he wasn't getting minutes. It was equally clear that Marquis didn't have it his rookie year. He looks much better right now, but it's very fuzzy to me how his summer league performance will carry over into the regular season.

    I consider it a foregone conclusion that one of Rose or Kirk will be down for extended periods of time this year so we'll no doubt get a chance to find out how far he's really come.
     
  12. such sweet thunder

    such sweet thunder Member Staff Member Moderator

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    I think we're seeing a lot of the same things and maybe in some cases interpreting them a little differently.

    What was that great line said by Billy Bean in Moneyball? Something like, "If he's such a good hitter why doesn't he hit good?" I kind of feel like the reverse is true for Butler. If shooting is a weak spot for Butler why hasn't it been a weak spot? Butler's shooting was hot as all get up post all-star break. He shot .475 from the 3 and finished the season with a .574 TS%. I haven't crunched the numbers but you take away Butler's relatively slow start when he was given his first extended playing time and he would be either the most efficient shooting guard or right there among the leaders (Harden, Martin & Allen).

    So where does that leave us? Butler was a freakishly athletic, lock-down defending, efficient scoring, three-point gunning two for a large portion of the season. And he was still basically trying his hardest just to make the transition. Butler's play for stretches last season wasn't that far from being all-star caliber.

    As for Teague, I agree that he's still pretty rough around the edges. I think where we differ is that I'm hoping we begin to see him start contributing and taking over games for stretches by mid-season. I see him as having a decent collection of refined skills so that his development for next season is primarily going to be about decision making. I think Teague's athleticism will be an asset in the regular season as it was in the preseason and that's a nice thing to be able to fall back on.

    I don't have much faith in Murphy. I'm probably closer to 20/80 or 10/90 for him still being in the league four seasons from now. Taj Gibson is 6'10"/7'4". Carlos Boozer is 6'9"/7'2". Eric Murphy is only 6'9.5"/6'10.5". He's probably going to spend a decent amount of his NBA minutes as the target for opposing offenses.
     
  13. transplant

    transplant Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Love the enthusiasm, but how much are Teague, Snell and Murphy going to play, particularly early? I don't see any of them in an 8-man rotation. Barring injury (and I want injury barred, btw), a lot of this love for the youngsters figures to be unrequited.
     
  14. Good Hope

    Good Hope Active Member

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    It's a good question, transplant.

    The minutes won't be regular, but Thibs rides guys who are hot, and if Snell and Murphy start raining threes, they might see significant minutes in spurts, averaging maybe 10 to 15 in games they play (knowing that they won't play in every game). Also, if Teague is able to keep the pressure on the second units of other teams, that gives Rose a break and I could see him getting close to 15 or 20 in games he plays (assuming he also plays with Rose some).

    Is that enough enthusiasm for ya?
     
  15. such sweet thunder

    such sweet thunder Member Staff Member Moderator

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    Thibs has sought to establish a 10 man rotation for the most part, right? I see something like this:

    Noah-Booz-Deng-Butler-Rose
    Nazr-Gibson-Dunleavy-Hinrich-Teauge

    Snell, Murphy and maybe one other player contributing spot minutes.
     
  16. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    I'd rather play Boozer at C than see Nazr play meaningful minutes.

    Thibs almost certainly has little choice but to play Noah as many minutes as he can stand.
     
  17. rosenthall

    rosenthall Well-Known Member

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    I don't think the question to ask is "how much are they going to play this year?" but instead "are they good enough to be valuable rotation players?"

    Taj, Jimmy, and Omer were all footnotes at the end of the roster when they arrived and it didn't seem like the team had any intentions of playing them regularly when they began their careers. But something always happens and if they provide some sort of comparative advantage then Thibs won't have much choice but to give them playing time.

    Again, I like Murphy's chances to see playing time right away due to his shooting. What does Marquis Teague do that Derrick Rose can't? Ditto for Snell and Jimmy/Deng.

    But I get the vibe the Bulls are really jonesing for shooting in a big way and Murphy can do it in a way that Boozer, Noah, and Gibson can't.

    And as much as it gets mocked, the Vlad signing was the first one the Bulls made in FA. It was a total strikeout, but I'm guessing the Bulls had something in mind for him when they gave him a contract.
     
  18. truebluefan

    truebluefan Administrator Staff Member Administrator

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    Boozer will play center more than Nazr. IMO Nazr will have a lot of DNP
     
  19. truebluefan

    truebluefan Administrator Staff Member Administrator

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    Second unit I see more Boozer at center or gibson at center and Deng at pf in some instances. Other than that I agree with the rest.
     
  20. transplant

    transplant Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    I don't know that Thibodeau has a set number in mind for his rotation. In 2010, the Bulls were prepared to bring in two max FAs, but came in with Boozer and 3 quality backups instead. Then Asik emerged as a legit NBA center. Voila! 10-man rotation. Early last season, Thibodeau trusted neither Belinelli nor Mohammed and went with an 8-man rotation that featured only 3 bigs.

    I guess Thibodeau will find room for you if he feels he can rely on you to "Do Your Job."
     

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