http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/my-life-as-a-climate-lukewarmer.aspx The polarisation of the climate debate has gone too far I am a climate lukewarmer. That means I think recent global warming is real, mostly man-made and will continue but I no longer think it is likely to be dangerous and I think its slow and erratic progress so far is what we should expect in the future. That last year was the warmest yet, in some data sets, but only by a smidgen more than 2005, is precisely in line with such lukewarm thinking. This view annoys some sceptics who think all climate change is natural or imaginary, but it is even more infuriating to most publicly funded scientists and politicians, who insist climate change is a big risk. My middle-of-the-road position is considered not just wrong, but disgraceful, shameful, verging on scandalous. I am subjected to torrents of online abuse for holding it, very little of it from sceptics. I was even kept off the shortlist for a part-time, unpaid public-sector appointment in a field unrelated to climate because of having this view, or so the headhunter thought. In the climate debate, paying obeisance to climate scaremongering is about as mandatory for a public appointment, or public funding, as being a Protestant was in 18th-century England. ... I was not always a lukewarmer. When I first started writing about the threat of global warming more than 26 years ago, as science editor ofThe Economist, I thought it was a genuinely dangerous threat. Like, for instance, Margaret Thatcher, I accepted the predictions being made at the time that we would see warming of a third or a half a degree (Centigrade) a decade, perhaps more, and that this would have devastating consequences. Gradually, however, I changed my mind. The failure of the atmosphere to warm anywhere near as rapidly as predicted was a big reason: there has been less than half a degree of global warming in four decades — and it has slowed down, not speeded up. Increases in malaria, refugees, heatwaves, storms, droughts and floods have not materialised to anything like the predicted extent, if at all. Sea level has risen but at a very slow rate — about a foot per century. Also, I soon realised that all the mathematical models predicting rapid warming assume big amplifying feedbacks in the atmosphere, mainly from water vapour; carbon dioxide is merely the primer, responsible for about a third of the predicted warming. When this penny dropped, so did my confidence in predictions of future alarm: the amplifiers are highly uncertain.
My planet is earth. You might tell me how it compares with the others you've been to. The guy isn't denying global warming or that man is causing it, and yet he says he's feeling the wrath of the organized science community over his view that the result of any warming isn't the catastrophe it's being made out to be.
So then why did the Union of Atomic Scientists move the Doomsday Clock to three minutes to midnight, precisely because of climate change? Are they all on the dole too? And the U.N. too? And NASA too? And what about the 97% of 12,000 peer reviewed science papers that agree?
I like how he admits it's human caused but hey, it's not bad, everyone likes warm weather. Warm weather is a good thing!
For at least 3 years, Denny posted that scientists, motivated by profit, are hoaxing us with climate change. Last week the Democrats forced a vote to put each Senator on record to embarrass Denny Denialists. Republicans caved in. The vote was 98-1. The U.S. media covered up the vote. Now suddenly in this thread, Denny flip flops, joins the bandwagon, and moderates his formerly absolutist, black and white stance. http://www.allvoices.com/article/100003383
Denny flipped because he received his marching orders from the Party vote. He saw the writing on the wall. Hey, I found a crooked climate change scientist! Was Denny right? http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nat...e-agreement/Y1uMQ8yuLpYCjOHGckRArO/story.html
I flipped? Nah. I'm just pointing out how a guy who actually agrees with AGW is being punished for not touting the chicken little tactics. But carry on making stuff up.
:MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61::MARIS61:
You are brilliant with the facts. http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/jan/22/us-senate-man-climate-change-global-warming-hoax US Senate refuses to accept humanity's role in global climate change, again Senators accept global warming is not a hoax but fail to recognise human activity is to blame, nearly 27 years after scientists laid out man’s role Only one Senator, Roger Wicker, a Republican from Mississippi, voted against a resolution declaring climate change was real and not – as his fellow Republican, Jim Inhofe of Oklahoma once famous declared – a hoax. That measure passed 98 to one. But the Senate voted down two measures that attributed climate change to human activity – and that is far more important.
Here it is January in Bellingham, sun shining all day. I walk around the house barefoot. In the 70s and 80s, I wore 3 pair of socks all winter. It rained every day, hard. Each winter had 2 2-week snows and 2 3-day snows. Every Thanksgiving, I tried to drive to my parents' house but couldn't get out of my icy driveway, since the first snow had begun. In the 2010s, the number of snows diminished. A year ago, for the first winter ever, we had no snow in Bellingham. This winter, same story. No snow. I didn't used to rake my tree's leaves in the Fall, knowing that rain would turn them to mush by December and make them disappear. Now the ugly leaves are visible in my back yard all winter. The neighbors probably think, why doesn't he rake them. I keep looking out my window at my back yard, hoping for a few good rains. Until about 3 years ago, the wet lawn was unmowable after late September. Now it's mowable right now in January. I wish it would rain or snow because I'm too lazy to mow it. In the 70s and 80s, I wore a long-sleeved sweat shirt all summer. Now I keep the windows open all summer and have to hear the barking dogs all over the neighborhood. This is Denny's fault.
Three years ago, we had no summer at all. It was grey sky the whole time here in southern California. The next year we had an indian summer. I don't think I had to wear long pants the whole time. This year it's been cold and rainy every other week and I've been running the fireplace most days. Temperatures, say the weather person, are normal for this time of year. Weather. You can talk about it, but you can't do anything about it. Bellingham had a population of 39,375 in 1970, 45,794 in 1980, and 80,885 in 2010. Maybe if you double the population, they'll pave over more square miles in asphalt and it will absorb more heat from the sun. You'll also have about twice as many barking dogs.
What's really needed is to qualify the senate as 100 scientists and then to claim 99% of all scientists say there's global warming. I would have voted yes, too. There is global warming. Where did all the glaciers go?
