A question for our gambler/stat guys and gals

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Dougnsalem, Feb 4, 2020.

  1. Dougnsalem

    Dougnsalem not barf

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    Good stuff going on here guys. I massively appreciate the input. Got some family stuff going on at the moment. I'll reply to everything in a bit.....
     
  2. Shaboid

    Shaboid Well-Known Member

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    Translation:

    "Mom just yelled from upstairs that the pizza rolls are ready, give me a minute"
     
  3. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    How about bet to win the west?

    They still got great odds. Then if they make the conference finals put a small bet on Blazers to lose that series, so you guaranteed some profit either way.

    Blazers lose in WCF you make a couple bucks.
    Blazers win WCF you make even more.
    Blazers win finals who fucking cares about bets.
     
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  4. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    I think it’s already passed. Before this current streak, about a week after Rodney went down up until 2 weeks ago. We are already down -500 from +6500 to +6000 in the last week. If we win this game tonight we might see the odds on us winning increase yet again.

    That being said the odds of us winning a championship are still favorable. Even biased removed 60x your bet on the Blazers to win a championship is still an intriguing bet.

    I’m going to hope that the odds don’t change much before all-star break. Post all-star it’s either the odds we win increase; or they decrease and at that point maybe you don’t place the bet.

    TLDR- Every day from here on out I predict the Blazers to continue their play and the payout rate to decrease until it evens out.
    Denver currently +1800 fwiw
     
  5. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    Not sure this loss will change the odds too much. Maybe +6150 if anything.
     
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  6. PHXBlazer1

    PHXBlazer1 Well-Known Member

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  7. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Just opened a couple of months ago.
     
  8. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    +7100 odds on us winning it now (Sportsbook)- could be as favorable as you will see from here on out.

    Depends how you see us playing going forward. I for one think we will keep up this hot streak as it seems like these guys are starting to come together and figure out how to play as a collective whole.
     
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  9. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    Would be interesting!
     
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  10. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    FWIW if I put money down on Blazers winning which I think I will do; I’m going to hedge Champs/Western Champs/Bucks as champs

    Because honestly I think the Bucks can win it this year.
    Ex:
    $250 on MIL pays out $1000
    $250 on POR pays out $18,000
    $500 on POR to win west pays out $16,000

    Obviously not the same as
    $1000 on POR paying out $72,000; but if we won it all who would complain about not making an extra 28k when you already won 34k and have a championship to celebrate!
     
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  11. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    I think you're -220 to lose your shirt. ;)
     
  12. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    [​IMG]

    Spread alternatives for tonight’s game are favorable. They are offering +1100 to anyone who takes the Blazers at -9.5

    Might put $1 at those odds; might not. I think tonight could be a close one.
     
  13. Shaboid

    Shaboid Well-Known Member

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    Stocks and crypto have sucked lately... bump!
     
  14. Bingo Bango

    Bingo Bango Well-Known Member

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    So you’re itching to lose $1,000?
     
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  15. Fairly-Hard

    Fairly-Hard Former Member Gone New!

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  16. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Always bet on the villains in this league.
     
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  17. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    YOU RANG FAMS?
     
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