OT NBA season suspended & NCAA cancelling all sports for coronavirus

It seems to me that drastically increasing testing would be the first priority but I haven't heard anything from our leader about ramping up the production of the test kits.

 

Seriously man, what the fuck?!

 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/03/italy-elderly-population-coronavirus-risk-covid-19

at one point it was true, I realize things changed rather rapidly over there though.

but you get the point, and if you don’t, you’re being purposefully obtuse.

the mortality rate for old people is FAR greater than that of younger people.

in fact, if you remove the mortality rate from older people and look at the mortality rate for younger people, it’s not that bad (in comparison to other things)!! Can’t stress that enough.

 

...

Are you serious?

*Breathes deeply*

Not even going to dignify the bold with a response. That’s just, uh, I’m not sure about reading comprehension on that one. If that’s SERIOUSLY what you got from that comment though, I apologize, as that’s not even CLOSE to what I meant (Hey Mom, hey Dad, hey grandpa, grandma; uncles, aunts... FUCK YOU!!! I hate 55+ people supposedly)

and yea, my numbers are currently incorrect, but at one time... it was the case, not like I was just making stuff up.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/03/italy-elderly-population-coronavirus-risk-covid-19

 

These idiots on NBA radio sound like there listening to Fox news. I thought they were smarter than this.

 

Huh, I had no idea that David Stern died at the start of the year.

 

*redacted political comment*
*insert witty response here*

 

Very thoughtful of KLove. I hope other players help the HCP's affected by this.

 

ok then:

"Congress' in-house doctor told Capitol Hill staffers at a close-door meeting this week that he expects 70-150 million people in the U.S. — roughly a third of the country — to contract the coronavirus, two sources briefed on the meeting tell Axios.

Why it matters: That estimate, which is in line with other projections from health experts, underscores the potential seriousness of this outbreak even as the White House has been downplaying its severity in an attempt to keep public panic at bay.

Dr. Brian Monahan, the attending physician of the U.S. Congress, told Senate chiefs of staff, staff directors, administrative managers and chief clerks from both parties on Tuesday that they should prepare for the worst, and offered advice on how to remain healthy.

Forecasting the spread of a virus is difficult, and the range of realistic possibilities is wide.

• But other estimates, including statistical modeling from Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch, have said that somewhere between 20% and 60% of adults worldwide might catch the virus."

https://www.axios.com/congressional...ses-fec69e77-1515-4fbc-8340-c53b65c22c53.html

20% of the world's population is 1.5 billion with a b; 60% is 4.5 billion. The math is pretty simple, even if the mortality rate falls to 1%

********************************************************
paraphrasing:

"this could be 10-15 times worse than the worst seasonal flu we see....we conservatively estimate this could require 4.8 million hospitalizations, 96 million cases, 480,000 deaths (in U.S.)".

starts about at the 1:30 mark:



https://www.1011now.com/content/new...demiology-numbers-for-COVID-19-568688461.html
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German Chancellor Angela Merkel has said that up to 70% of the German population will likely contract the coronavirus, suggesting that the government’s priority is about “slowing its spread.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/11/angela-merkel-most-people-will-get-the-coronavirus.html
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"Experts have produced forecasts of likely numbers of infections and serious illnesses as well as death tolls, on the basis of what is known about the novel coronavirus and how past epidemics have played out. They suggest that the United States — which has surpassed 1,000 confirmed novel-coronavirus infections and 30 deaths — must prepare for a potentially historic pandemic.

A forecast produced last month by Professor James Lawler of the University of Nebraska Medical Center on behalf of the American Hospital Association, for example, put the potential death toll at hundreds of thousands if efforts to mitigate the epidemic fail.

Another forecast, developed by former CDC director Tom Frieden at the nonprofit organization Resolve to Save Lives, found that deaths in the United States could range widely, depending on what percentage of the population becomes infected and how lethal the disease proves to be. Frieden, who oversaw the U.S. response to the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, the 2014 Ebola epidemic and the 2016 Zika epidemic, says that in a worst-case scenario, but one that is not implausible, half the U.S. population would become infected and more than 1 million people would die.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/heal...177e0a-63b4-11ea-acca-80c22bbee96f_story.html
***************************************************

The case fatality rate for covid-19 — higher than 3 percent so far globally, according to the WHO — is an evolving number that depends on multiple factors, including access to robust health care. The actual lethality of the virus is hard to determine because many people have mild or no symptoms and are never formally diagnosed as having the virus. Some covid-19 deaths may also have been missed, possibly mistaken as flu-related.

In his Capitol Hill testimony, Fauci said that a plausible covid-19 fatality rate could be 1 percent. That, he said, is 10 times as lethal as seasonal influenza. He was clear: This is more dangerous than the flu.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/heal...177e0a-63b4-11ea-acca-80c22bbee96f_story.html

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I didn't pull those numbers out of my ass TB. Now, those estimates can be viewed as worst case scenarios, but most best case scenarios are still pretty scary

 

Hey man...if Keith Richards gets it and dies, we all die.
Aside from that, he should outlive us all anyway...
(feeble attempt at humor..)

 

What’s next for the NBA:

“The league could always move back the start of the playoffs, which would push back other key events, such as the draft, start of free agency and the Las Vegas Summer League. And to expedite the playoffs, the league could go back to best-of-5 series in the first round.

The league and its teams could lose hundreds of millions of dollars on top of the "less than $400 million," Silver said the league is expected to lose over the China fallout. There could be a significant impact on basketball-related income, which sets the salary cap for the 2020-21 season. It would be even more significant if the NBA lost TV revenue from no playoff games.”

 

From CDC:

But never let facts get in the way of a good narrative or "truth" as Joe would say.

 

well, I did say I didn't believe you meant it that way so relax

but you said:

"the youngest person to die in Italy was 55 with chronic issues.

let’s not act like the mortality rate is the same across the board

odds are, for most people, it’s the flu."

and followed it up by saying:

"the mortality rate for old people is FAR greater than that of younger people.

in fact, if you remove the mortality rate from older people and look at the mortality rate for younger people, it’s not that bad (in comparison to other things)!! Can’t stress that enough."

The mortality rates for flu hover around 0.1%. That number includes people over 65 who have a much higher mortality rate. About 60% of deaths from flu are people over 65. That has to mean the mortality rates for people under 60 have to be well below 0.1%....likely in the 0.01-o.03% range. TBpup posted a breakdown of C-19 that said people in their 50's have a 1.3% mortality rate. People in the 40's have a 0.4% rate, and people 39 and younger have a 0.2% rate. So it easily could be that the mortality rate from covid-19 for people under 40 is 10-30 times higher than for the flu. So the flu comparisons seem way out of wack, at least as far as death rates go. It might be that the multiple of mortality rates C-19 has over the flu bt age bracket are relatively equivalent. I just haven't found flu mortality numbers broken down by age group yet

so no, it's almost certainly not the case that "odds are, for most people, it’s the flu"

 

If it is only 30 days it will be without fans. Unfortunately there's no way the Coronavirus goes away in that time.