Any statistics folks want to give it a try? VALUE OF DRAFT NUMBER. So, the idea would be to normalize all drafts spots by the #1 spot which would represent 1.00 Of course the stat would need to account for likelihood of success but would also need to include an asset portion, so the 27th pick might have a better chance of drafting a better player but the financial implications and flexibility of a high second rounder might make the pick overall more valuable. For a top 14 pick, what is the difference in a pick before and after the lotto had been sorted out. And what is the actual likelihood of the top pick being better than the 2nd? Is there a difference at all between the 5th and the 6th? What about the perceived value between the two? Them, can that value be adjusted from draft year to draft year based on draft class strength, and how could you even measure that. ok, I don’t know if there’s anyone here 1) interested and 2) capable of modeling this, but I’d love to see the result.
