OT Coronavirus: America in chaos, News and Updates. Now bigger & better than Melo!

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by SlyPokerDog, Jan 3, 2020.

  1. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    @SlyPokerDog
    @Minstrel
    @Chris Craig

    Its this kinda shit here that goes on all day every day. Its this kinda shit that's ruining the forum for so many. Its this kinda shit that makes me want to defend and argue against this complete BS post trying to ridicule me , but yet again, not taking ownership of his own involvement in derailing of anything.

    You guys support this?

    If you guys do not speak up and condemn him for these types of posts the same you do as mine, then its clearly obvious what you guys want out of this forum. Please give me a clear answer on this. It will help me in my future direction of involvement here.

    You guys tell me to ignore him...

    Why not tell him to ignore me too? See He cant stop commenting about me either. There was a time he was chasing me around hanging on my every post and you guys didn't day shit and then got mad at m for finally saying enough of this bullshit.

    Orrr... you can come down on m for this post while not saying a word about the other and how it isn't constructive either.

    If you are going to allow some people to play bullshit games around here, you shouldn't condemn those who point out issues with the game.
     
  2. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    Ive asked for it to go to DM, to try to avoid another day of BS, and I noted why I didn't start in the DM.

    I woke up early cause I have carpet being laid at 8AM so I needed to get some stuff done super early this morning and I got done quickly. :)


    I 100% agree. Ive said my peace and asked it to continue in DM if it does and will break off of the thread conversing on this.

    Back on topic.

    https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html
     
  3. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

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    I would love to. I would also like to come into this forum and not see a poster essentially do a full page rant AGAIN complaining about posters. Moving on now. :cheers:
     
  4. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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  5. Shaboid

    Shaboid Well-Known Member

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    Reported Covid-19 cases around the world reached 5 million on Thursday as some countries begin easing strict social distancing guidelines and look to reopen their economies, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

    The number of reported cases worldwide hit 5,000,038 and the global death toll now stands at 328,172, according to Hopkins.
     
  6. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    15%. Thats huge.

    What do you think the numbers of unreported cases might be at? Double?
     
  7. Shaboid

    Shaboid Well-Known Member

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    Not sure where you are getting the 15% figure from..

    As far as unreported cases, you would have to ask Dr. Johnny Hopkins for that. I have no idea.
     
  8. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    328,172 of 5,000,038 is roughly 15%.

    I was just asking your thoughts on it. I find wild variations when trying to find anything on unreported cases, of course its all hypothetical. Just curious of your thoughts on how many more may actually be infected.
     
  9. Shaboid

    Shaboid Well-Known Member

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    That is why I wasn't even going to give an estimate. How the heck would I know.

    You may want to flip your numerator and denominator though...
     
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  10. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    LOL. oops. failed to hit the percent on my Ti 30Xa.

    Im not asking if you know, just what your thought is. I think its probably at least quadruple.
     
  11. julius

    julius Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    So, if we tag someone multiple times in a thread, do they get notified multiple times?
     
  12. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

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    What would have happened if we had effective, quick acting leadership?

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.15.20103655v1.full.pdf

    The counterfactual simulations indicate that had observed control measures been adopted one week earlier, the US would have avoided 703,975 (95% CI: 624,923- 773,388) [61.6% (54.6%-67.7%)] confirmed cases and 35,927 (30,088-40,638) [55.0% (46.1%-62.2%)] deaths nationwide as of May 3, 2020 (Fig. 2a-b). In the New York metropolitan area, the epicenter of COVID-19 in the US, 209,987 (183,607-223,199) [80.0% (70.0%-85.0%)] confirmed cases and 17,514 (15,293-18,878) [80.3% (70.2%- 86.6%)] deaths would have been avoided if the same sequence of interventions had been applied one week earlier (Fig. 2c-d). A more pronounced control effect would have been achieved had the sequence of control measures occurred two weeks earlier: a reduction of 960,937 (900,114-1,011,498) [84.0% (78.7%-88.4%)] cases and 53,990 (49,688-57,186) [82.7% (76.1%-87.6%)] deaths in the US (Fig. 2e-f), and 246,082 (234,645-252,281) [93.8% (89.4%-96.2%)] cases and 20,427 (19,380-21,093) [93.7% (88.9%-96.7%)] deaths in the New York metropolitan area (Fig. 2g-h). These dramatic reductions of morbidity and mortality due to more timely deployment of control measures highlights the critical need for aggressive, early response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
     
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  13. Shaboid

    Shaboid Well-Known Member

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    It could be x2 it could be x50. I wouldn't know how to even estimate that. Hell, I've been staying home as much as possible and I could have had it and not known.
     
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  14. calvin natt

    calvin natt Confeve

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    This is what I’m fearful of, people see either good news on the death rate or really bad news on jobs, which does suck don’t get me wrong, but then think “maybe we were overly cautious” when the only reason we have the numbers we have is because we went full lock down mode. The problem is companies firing people, govt needs to make sure they are doing what they can to curb these losses. Money.
     
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  15. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    I'm leaning that way. I think its spread to the vast majority of people already. Quadruple is my conservative side really.
     
  16. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    Agreed. I think if it werent for watching alot of the aid go to corps and then still watching all the layoffs, its got me concerned on how all this will play out. Im of the opinion the lockdown didn't do as much and that the virus already sent a wave around prior to lockdown.

    I think the lockdown(out of my ass) probably saved maybe 5% more deaths than we have had. I think the lockdown and impending poverty, could create more deaths than that 5%.
     
  17. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Know where you are going or end up somewhere else!

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    Ive read where many doctors, scientist, think a good perectage of people have already had it or are A systematic. Which would include kids and all ages. Those over 65 and seniors in nursing home are the most vulnerable and factually affected. Our priorities need to be addressing nursing homes, seniors with underlying conditions and getting kids back in school eventually. There is an argument amongst doctors that the resources and plans have not been foccused enough in these area's. Come on, I mean New York sending infected seniors back to nursing homes?
     
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  18. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    Exactly. We are using resources testing in other areas for example and my mother, in a facility with 6 deaths, has yet to be tested.

    Not trying to pinpoint blame at the moment, but its pretty obvious a redirection of focus should have and probably still, needs to happen.
     
  19. Shaboid

    Shaboid Well-Known Member

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    Who knows. There is so much speculation and uncertainty in this air lately that I wouldn't even be able to make an estimate.
     
  20. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Enough
     

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