Science Quadrant Theory: Trade Partners

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Wizard Mentor, Feb 13, 2017.

  1. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Teams that are old and have poor records are favorable trade partners. These can be determined quantitatively. First, I've ranked the teams by +/- and by age using basketballreference.com:

    Team : Rank by +/- : Rank by age
    GS 1 25
    sas 2 29
    hou 3 20
    cleveland 4 27
    utah 5 17
    toronto 6 14
    lac 7 30
    boston 8 13
    memphis 9 28
    washington 10 12
    OKC 11 2
    Charlotte 12 18
    Detroit 13 6
    Milwaukee 14 8
    atlanta 15 24
    minny 16 1
    heat 17 16
    denver 18 5
    bulls 19 22
    dallas 20 23
    indy 21 19
    blazers 22 4
    kings 23 26
    nop 24 7
    nyk 25 21
    lal 26 11
    suns 27 10
    76ers 28 3
    orlando 29 9
    nets 30 15

    The results, shown in the graph below, can be viewed as 4 quadrants:
    Lower Left Quadrant: Young and Good
    Upper Left Quadrant: Old and Good
    Lower Right Quadrant: Young and Bad
    Upper Right Quadrant: Old and Bad (teams that should consider rebuilding)

    Note: there are a number of assumptions, which are basically unimportant. The idea is to identify an initial list for discussion of possible trade partners. "Old" = bottom half of league in average age. "Bad" = bottom half of league in +/-.

    The Blazers are "4". The number next the data points are the team's average age.

    The teams squarely in the 4th quadrant are 19, 21, 22, 23, 26. These are
    Indy (19), NYK (21), Bulls (22), Dallas (23), Kings (26)

    What do you think of these teams as trade partners?
    trade_partners.jpg
     
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  2. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    And how did you sneak this out of Olshey's office?

    mission-impossible.jpg
     
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  3. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Offered to valet his car.
     
  4. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Gave him some hair gel.
     
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  5. BLAZINGGIANTS

    BLAZINGGIANTS Well-Known Member

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    Does "Quadrant Theory" mean you dropped acid before posting?
     
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  6. handiman

    handiman Well-Known Member

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    Were you looking at the Crazy Hot Matrix when you did this?
     
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  7. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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  8. oldfisherman

    oldfisherman Unicorn Wrangler

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  9. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Theory worked. The last 3 teams made trades to get younger. Indy considered it for a long time. NYK probably should have!
     
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  10. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    I love this kinda analysis. Thanks
     
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  11. GrandpaBlaze

    GrandpaBlaze Predictions Game Master

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    Never noticed your Subarashi tag. I'll give at least some of your posts that designation.

    Ii da yo.
     
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  12. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    and now Indy and NYK are going young, too.

    So, Indy (19), NYK (21), Bulls (22), Dallas (23), Kings (26) are all still viable trade partners (they were bottom half in both +/- and age at the break). So, they should be looking for young players, and we have that, in addition to draft picks.
     
  13. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    Of those teams mentioned...the Kings and Knicks are the easiest to fleece in a deal.
     
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