Obama is up +10 in the new SurveyUSA poll and +12 in the new Suffolk poll, and +9 in the CNN/Time poll. Rasmussen is coming out with their Virginia poll, if they have it anywhere near there, your are going to have to say game over in Virginia for McCain. I think that now, with Virginia gone, McCain needs to withdraw his resources from Virginia and dump them into Colorado and Minnesota. Stealing Minnesota from the Kerry map seems the only possible route of stealing a state (since NH/PA/WI have all moved out of reach). So the current Obama bottomline looks (optimisticall speaking for the McCain camp) = Kerry States - Minnesota + Iowa + New Mexico + Virginia That only puts Obama at 267. It looks like stealing Minnesota, while fending off Ohio, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Indiana, Nevada, and Colorado is going to be McCain's only route to the presidency now. And when a campaign with limited resources has to play catch up in 4 of those states (OH, FL, NC, CO) and is dead even in 3 of them (IN, MO, NV), and win a traditionally democratic state, that they have quite a bit of ground to still make up in (MN), it is hard to see McCain coming up with a way to win the presidency.
Looks like Obama might end up taking the North Carolina/Virginia parlay. From PPP: Public Policy Polling (D) 10/4-5/08; 1,202 LV, 2.8% Mode: Live Telephone Interviews North Carolina Obama 50, McCain 44, Barr 2 Sen: Hagan (D) 49, Dole (R-i) 40, Cole (L) 5 That's a pretty big sample size and small error. I think the bigger news is that Hagan has a commanding lead in the senate race.
Polls have never had any meaning to me. Was I on here posting the poll results after the RNC bounce? No sure wasn't...oh wait, neither were you, wonder why? Hypocrite?
