Electoral Map prediction

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by julius, Nov 2, 2008.

  1. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    http://www.npr.org/news/specials/election2008/2008-election-map.html#/president-userOvM/

    I don't know how to show what you picked, but I picked 311-227 Obama.

    Although my gut tells me it'll be closer. But I have Oregon, Washington, California, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, Virginia, WDC, Maryland, Massachusetts, Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Delaware, New Jersey, and Hawaii all going for Obama.

    Of those, I think Ohio and Virginia could go McCain (and make it 278-260). But while Ohio and Virginia could go McCain, Florida might go Obama.
     
    Last edited: Nov 2, 2008
  2. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    I just did it. My picks came out: 365-163. I could see it tightening in the actual election, but I see it as more likely that Democrats turn out more than Republicans due to an enthusiasm gap. I don't currently forecast a total landslide (400+ EV for Obama), but I think it's in the realm of possibility.
     
  3. 44Thrilla

    44Thrilla cuatro cuatro

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    Obama wins Penn., NM, Nevada, NH. McCain wins the rest.

    269-269. That would suck, although Obama would win through Congress, correct?

    My real guess is 325-213.
     
  4. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    Yes, I believe the House would vote on the President and the Senate would vote on the Vice President. The Democrats have the majority in both houses of Congress.

    Mildly funny would be Obama and Palin ending up as the administration. Not "ha ha" funny, but "Wow, Palin would sure be an embarrassing VP" funny.
     
  5. 44Thrilla

    44Thrilla cuatro cuatro

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    Would be funny if they voted for Hillary as VP instead of Biden. If that's possible...
     
  6. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    Barack better win Ohio.

    I just waited in line for 4.5+ hours to do the early vote thing.
     
    DaRizzle and 44Thrilla like this.
  7. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    I feel so damn lucky to live in Oregon. Why other states don't do vote-by-mail is a mystery to me.

    barfo
     
  8. 44Thrilla

    44Thrilla cuatro cuatro

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    Wow, nice job, man. That's some dedication.
     
  9. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    They actually do have vote by mail in Ohio, but I wanted to get to the polls. However, I never anticipated that the lines would be so long.

    Thanks!
     
  10. MARIS61

    MARIS61 Real American

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    538-0 Obama
     
  11. AgentDrazenPetrovic

    AgentDrazenPetrovic Anyone But the Lakers

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    :cheers:
     
  12. BLAZER PROPHET

    BLAZER PROPHET Well-Known Member

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    Yes, Obama would easily win thru Congress. However, there would be mud slinging and back room deals would abound. That would be fun!
     
  13. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    The House selects the president and the Senate selects the VP (maybe I have it backwards) and they can choose anyone they want. Meaning they could choose Obama/Palin.

    Last time it was tied, they formed a commission of house, senate and supreme court and selected Rutherfraud B. Hayes in a smoke filled back room kind of deal. The republicans gave up Reconstruction in exchange, which set back civil rights 100 years.
     
  14. Dumpy

    Dumpy Yi-ha!!

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    there's always a deadline by which to request the ballot by mail. Here in FL, I think it was no later than a month prior to the election.
     
  15. DaRizzle

    DaRizzle BLAKER

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    Bravo...repped
     
  16. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Not here!

    barfo
     
  17. Dumpy

    Dumpy Yi-ha!!

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    oh, that's interesting. I've been going under the assumption that this was why the lines at the early voting locations are so long.
     
  18. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    It may well be.

    Here in Oregon, we have no polling places. All voting is done by mail, and the ballot just automatically comes to your mailbox (if you are registered to vote).

    barfo
     
  19. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

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    Although I could see Obama thinking, "Well, she's not very bright, but at least she doesn't constantly put her foot in her mouth."
     
  20. Денг Гордон

    Денг Гордон Member

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    I have 364 EV to 174 EV...although I will make my final one tomorrow morning most likely.

    I have Obama winning Nevada, Colorado, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida out of the swing states.

    McCain winning Arizona, Montana, North Dakota, Indiana, and Georgia out of the swing states.
     

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