So as of this morning where do you put the odds at a big deal going down?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by talman, Feb 17, 2009.

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What are your thoughts on the odds of a big deal going down?

  1. 0-25% chance

    11 vote(s)
    17.7%

  2. 25-50% chance

    13 vote(s)
    21.0%

  3. 50-75% chance

    21 vote(s)
    33.9%

  4. 75-99% chance

    12 vote(s)
    19.4%

  5. A deal is absolutely happening!

    5 vote(s)
    8.1%
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  1. talman

    talman Member

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    As of this morning where do your thoughts sit on the odds of the Blazers making a big deal (big defined as anything with RLEC)?
     
    talman, Feb 17, 2009
    #1
  2. MIXUM

    MIXUM Suspended

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    i thinks its 90% we move rlec

    i said butler is our target all along. jefferson is if all else fails.
     
    MIXUM, Feb 17, 2009
    #2
  3. mook

    mook The 2018-19 season was the best I've seen

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    My guess is 70-80% chance.

    Really, is there a better, more realistic target to go after this summer for us than Wallace or Butler? Because I don't see it.

    At best, we can get a similar deal this summer. But why wait? Why not get that guy now and try to make a push this year into the WCF? LA or the Spurs might stumble, and with either of those guys we are right there to take advantage of it.
     
    mook, Feb 17, 2009
    #3
  4. Ed O

    Ed O Administrator Staff Member Administrator

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    25-50%. I HOPE for a deal, but I know that deals are almost always less likely than they appear...

    Ed O.
     
    Ed O, Feb 17, 2009
    #4
  5. blue32

    blue32 Who wants a mustache ride?

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    So long as we get rid of Sergio and T-Law so they can flourish on another team I'm down.
    I love those guys, but we're just not using them right... and could use other defensive oriented players.
     
    blue32, Feb 17, 2009
    #5
  6. EGame

    EGame "You're the only one of these fools I trust"

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    Honestly, I don't see much chance of a deal happening (a major one). I would say maybe 5%? It seems we are always a part in some deal or another before the trade deadline and we do nothing and just stand pat, I don't see the trend breaking here either. I would like to be wrong as I would love to get Wallace or Butler (Butler is more preferrabel to me), but if KP wants to play his way (which is not necessairly a bad thing) and will not co-operate with taking bad contracts or trading some of our potential players than no trade will be made. At some point this man has to learn to trade potential for proven players and not to fall in love with every young player.
     
    EGame, Feb 17, 2009
    #6
  7. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    I'm looking for the box that says "No freakin' clue."
     
    e_blazer, Feb 17, 2009
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  8. MrJayremmie

    MrJayremmie Well-Known Member

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    fitty to 75.
     
    MrJayremmie, Feb 17, 2009
    #8
  9. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    125% chance yes!
     
    THE HCP, Feb 17, 2009
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  10. Da_O

    Da_O Abe Vigoda lives!

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    This board is going to be hell when a deal doesn't go down.
     
    Da_O, Feb 17, 2009
    #10
  11. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    wouldn't bother me if nothing happened :ghoti:
     
    crowTrobot, Feb 17, 2009
    #11
  12. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    butler and wallace are probably less likely than they appear, but i don't think getting some sort of vet presence for RLEC necessarily is. it's too big a chip to waste at this point.
     
    crowTrobot, Feb 17, 2009
    #12
  13. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

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    This board is going to be hell if a deal does go down and it represents fair value.
     
    maxiep, Feb 17, 2009
    #13
  14. talman

    talman Member

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    Been talkin to Rice eh?!? :clap:
     
    talman, Feb 17, 2009
    #14
  15. number 10

    number 10 Our Savior

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    I've 100% bought into the RLEC hype, even though I know I'm setting myself up for disappointment.
     
    number 10, Feb 17, 2009
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  16. talman

    talman Member

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    Great point. Define fair value. Our valuation of RLEC has grown astronomically based on what we've read in rumors (and quotes from an unnamed GM).

    Anything with more value than the Zach trade and I'll be happy.
     
    talman, Feb 17, 2009
    #16
  17. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    hopefully the chander deal sets a precedent for "fair" value
     
    crowTrobot, Feb 17, 2009
    #17
  18. MrJayremmie

    MrJayremmie Well-Known Member

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    I'm never like this, and only time I can remember being REALLY excited in anticipation in the last 5 years was the Oden draft... But I let myself get caught up, and am obviously set up for disappointment, but I can accept that. I think it represents sports to me... puts me in a great mood for 3 days, and most likely i will come back to earth the 4th, get a little sad and be on my way the 5th day. And I love it! High highs and moderate to low lows for me.

    I think its about 60% we make a trade... but damn, if we don't... IDK if i'm going to come to this board for a week after the trade deadline... the fire KP threads will be out in full force... at least 5 separate fire KPs i'm calling right now.
     
    MrJayremmie, Feb 17, 2009
    #18
  19. talman

    talman Member

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    I can see 5 separate threads calling for his dismissal from a single poster! ;)

    I'll go on record and say I'll be extremely disappointed if we don't use the RLEC chip but life will go on.
     
    talman, Feb 17, 2009
    #19
  20. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    I'm in the 25-50% range. Deals are never more likely than not, except in very rare cases. But I think all signs point to Portland being one of the most likely teams to make a deal. So I peg them at a significant chance to do so, but under 50%.
     
    Minstrel, Feb 17, 2009
    #20
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