I think we lose by 10, because he'll start chucking at bad times. This is why I felt Sonny was effective.
here's my problem with bargnani this year- he's chucking like he's never done in his career before, eg. he took a handful of off balanced shots tonight which missed badly. he doesnt rebound at all and he doesnt contest shooters, i.e. channing frye who torched him . to that end, frye outscored as well as outrebounded bargs tonight- that to me is an indication he's a liability on the floor.
i really like sonny but he's a defensive liability, its almost as if he's terrified on the defensive end. for instance, ginobli baited him into bad fouls on monday and he missed simple defensive assignments today, i,e. help caledron because he cant defend at all.