The map is shrinking.

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by maxiep, Oct 17, 2012.

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  1. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

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    maxiep, Oct 17, 2012
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  2. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    I blame Global Laming.
     
    SlyPokerDog, Oct 17, 2012
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  3. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Too bad CO, NC, VA, and FL still isn't enough for Romney to win. Otherwise this news would actually matter.

    barfo
     
    barfo, Oct 17, 2012
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  4. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Those 4 states would put Romney at 257.

    Ohio would put him over the top at 275. Romney may also end up winning New Hampshire.

    Oddly, you posted Suffolk University did something somehow wrong by announcing they weren't going to poll in NC, VA, and FLA anymore (looks like they were right).
     
    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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  5. julius

    julius Living on the air in Cincinnati... Staff Member Global Moderator

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    and if monkeys flew out of my butt, I'd be in a lot of pain.
     
    julius, Oct 17, 2012
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  6. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    And...

    [​IMG]
     
    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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  7. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Romney's ahead in those four states.

    Obama's up 2.2 in Ohio. He was up 5.5 two weeks ago.
     
    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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  8. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Heh. Only another 20 days or so until we hear how the voting machines in Ohio were rigged, etc etc. Giant Liberal Conspiracy, LLC strikes again!

    barfo
     
    barfo, Oct 17, 2012
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  9. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Oh? You know the election results, do you? Do tell.

    barfo
     
    barfo, Oct 17, 2012
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  10. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Obama will win California, do you agree?
     
    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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  11. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    RCP average CA: Obama +17
    RCP average VA: Obama +0.8

    Kind of a fundamental difference between calling CA for Obama and calling VA for Romney at this point.

    barfo
     
    barfo, Oct 17, 2012
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  12. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    And what's the trend in VA?
     
    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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  13. MARIS61

    MARIS61 Real American

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    Trends don't matter.
     
    MARIS61, Oct 17, 2012
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  14. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    What was the trend 2 weeks ago? How many weeks away is the election?

    barfo
     
    barfo, Oct 17, 2012
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  15. MARIS61

    MARIS61 Real American

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    Trends don't matter.

    Facts matter.
     
    MARIS61, Oct 17, 2012
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  16. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Trends in polls only matter when they are going your way. Otherwise, they are "skewed".

    barfo
     
    barfo, Oct 17, 2012
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  17. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    They are skewed, and they're still for Romney.

    http://www.sacbee.com/2012/10/16/4916387/new-mirror-image-gallup-poll-shows.html

    A new poll (using Gallups' party affiliation in Virginia) reveals that Romney now holds a commanding 11 point advantage over President Obama (54% to 43%) according to Kimball Political Consulting. The earlier Gallup poll revealed that Virginia's demographics are 35% Republican, 34% Democrat and 30% Independent.



    As for trends:

    Polls moved (for Romney) +1 in rasmussen (10/4 and 10/11)
    +3 NBC/WSJ/Marist
    +3 ARG
    (that's recent poll vs. last poll by the same pollster)
     
    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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  18. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Let me know when you discover a fact.
     
    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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  19. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Govern...y-7?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

    According to a McLaughlin & Associates poll that had an R+.02 sample, Romney leads Obama in Virginia 51%-44%.

    Among independents, Romney beats Obama by 11 points, 50%-39%.

    If these numbers hold for Romney, Romney could be free to expand the electoral map and more aggressively make plays for states like Michigan and Pennsylvania that were considered "reaches" just two weeks ago.

    (My note: seems Obama campaign is defending the map as if Romney is indeed free to expand the electoral map and make plays for states considered reaches)
     
    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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  20. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Denny Crane, Oct 17, 2012
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