LA gone before or on draft day

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Charcoal Filtered, Jun 23, 2013.

  1. BLAZINGGIANTS

    BLAZINGGIANTS Well-Known Member

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    I don't drink.
     
  2. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    Mags, I invite you to read posts 270 and 274. If you find anything in the stats that is not factual, then please let me know and I'll correct it. Otherwise, how do you compare the two? Specifically, how do you compare LMA's 2nd year (on his way to multiple All-Star berths) with the assertion that none of Jefferson/Oladipo/Thompson/Waiters have even the "potential" to be an All-Star someday?

    I've not said "our franchise will never win with him on the team." In fact, I've specifically said that if he signed an extension today I'd be all over the plans of you status-quo'ers that just want to add the big defensive C he wants and start contending.

    Which bashes of LMA do you disagree with? That he doesn't rebound well, or that he shoots a lot of jumpers at an inefficient rate?
     
  3. RR7

    RR7 Well-Known Member

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    JJ Hickson had 411 dunk and lay up attempts this season. Hence many of the comparisons of the two as "hustle players" You can try to just look at their shot chart and think well, he's getting easier baskets, but you fail to look at how he is getting those baskets. He adds an additional player that is HUGELY reliant on others to basically get his offense for him, through passes at the basket, or rebounding their misses. I don't want to knock offensive rebounds. I also don't want to boost them up as evidence of a guys offensive prowess. You like to look at shot charts, without the how they got those shots. Needing someone else to create all of that offense puts a lot more pressure on Lillard and.....well, Lillard. Who will see a shit load of double teams next season.
     
  4. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    ...so that he can pass it to someone who is open? And goes toward the hoop? Or shoots open 3's? Or sets up in the low post? Or picks and ROLLS to the hoop?

    You do realize that Damian shooting 13 3's a game at even a stupidly low 28% clip is more efficient (my opinion: "better for the offense and therefore the team") than LMA's 947 jumpers at 41%, right?

    I recognize that the skillsets are different. I recognize that there is a large difference in value from someone who can theoretically pull a center out of the paint, and that JJ Hickson/Tristan Thompson would not be good in the "homeless man's Dirk" role LMA's been playing, either. But I haven't heard Thompson (or Hickson, for that matter) say that they didn't want to play down low, banging 6 times with Chuck Hayes to get into position, and would rather shoot inefficient jumpers, so we better get a big rebounder and defender so he can keep doing so. I've heard that from the guy who will be an unrestricted free agent in 2 years
     
  5. RR7

    RR7 Well-Known Member

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    947 jumpers at 41%?
     
  6. Charcoal Filtered

    Charcoal Filtered Writing Team

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    So we should model our rebuild plan around a team that never made it out of the first round?
     
  7. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    yeah. Not good.
     
  8. RR7

    RR7 Well-Known Member

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    where are you pulling that from?
     
  9. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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  10. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    There are so many factors to think of

    1.) think Larry Johnson; who had a great rookie campaign and a few years later. Then became a shell of a man after his injury.

    2.) Aldridge his first few years was very underdeveloped, also had a coach that never liked playing younger players. Then you add Zach Randolph starting at of; which effected Lma's numbers.

    3.) lma is a two time all-star voted in by coaches. Should have been a three time during the lamonster campaign. There is absolutely no guarantee that Thompson will ever get there, let alone get to aldridges level.

    4.) Aldridge maybe a jump shooter like you mentioned; but he's still respected from the perimeter. Teams will not leave him wide open; which opens the lane for Lillard and batum. Thompson's shot is suspect and teams will sag off him and double the lane.

    I can go on an on if you like?
     
  11. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    There are more than just player factors on why we didn't make it past the first round.

    1.) the coach

    2.) the terrible perimeter shooting

    3.) no inside game up until the last playoff appearance; but by that time Roy was a shell of hinself
     
  12. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    So, maybe I'm getting this wrong, but there's no potential for one of those players to be an All-Star someday because there's potential for a Larry Johnson-like injury? I don't quite get how that works.

    Z-bo was not around for LMA's 2nd season, so he started every game he played. Just like Thompson did for CLE in his 2nd year. And if you're going to say that LMA was underdeveloped (which I won't argue much), then why can't TT (who's a full year younger in his 2nd year than LMA was in his 2nd year) be underdeveloped and eventually get better?

    Of course there's no "guarantee". There was no guarantee in 2007 that LMA would be a two-time All-Star. But there was potential. Like there's potential (in my opinion) for one of Jefferson/Oladipo/Thompson/Waiters to be one someday.

    I don't have access to synergy, so I don't know what the "contested" vs. "uncontested" would be. My opinion on it (which is by no means unassailable) is that if you're shooting .83 points per shot on anything, you should re-evaluate whether you should be shooting it. That goes for shooting 41% from the FT line, 28% from 3, 41% on mid-range jumpers, whatever.

    I can go on an on if you like?[/QUOTE]
     
  13. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    I just used Larry Johnson as a reference. But all players aren't guaranteed shit. There is always "upside" but seeing Oden; we can see how upside can backfire.

    Aldridge is a sure thing; Thompson is still a question.

    Big difference is that the scouting on Thompson wasn't even close to Aldridge. Also, Aldridge has proven his work ethic is amazing. How is thompsons?

    And Aldridge's second year; Roy was the man and took the majority of shots. Also; Portland shot the least shots in the entire nba.

    Truth. Thompson isn't an allstar and Aldridge is two time. We weren't having these convos about Aldridge in 2007 about being in the all-star game. We only know what we know.

    Come on dude; you can watch the games and see. Don't act like you haven't noticed aldridges ability to demand doubles or make the d honest.
     
  14. blazerboy30

    blazerboy30 Well-Known Member

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    This "analysis" doesn't make the case you think it makes.
     
  15. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    Brian, is Tristan better than JJ Hickson?

    I'm no Hickson fan but come on...
     
  16. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    I'm not trying to be obtuse, but what does JJ Hickson have to do with this?
     
  17. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    I am still trying to figure out when Dion Waiters turned into a a good player.
     
  18. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    if JJ Hickson is better than him, and JJ Hickson isn't worth having...
     
  19. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    I'd put up a comparison, but that would somehow turn into me taking a position. I will say that I don't have any confidence in Hickson's potential to be an all-star, though.

    And I don't know that I've said JJ Hickson "wasn't worth having." I don't think keeping his cap hold is smart. I don't think bringing him back at the contract he'll probably command WITH LMA here is smart.
     
  20. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    Basically, if keeping Hickson and trading LMA for only the #1 would be a better plan...

    Its not a good plan
     

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