After having so much fun projecting the next 10 games in Mags wonderful thread I decided to do something similar for the entire season. I was curious what level of wins our team could attain, and how these wins would be distributed throughout the season. My criteria was pretty straightforward, the Blazers should beat the bad teams both at home and on the road, beat the majority of good teams in Portland; but they will lose to playoff contending teams on the road. Of course actual results will not have us winning every game we are favored nor lose every game we are an underdog, but this is to create a simple baseline projection. Here it is: Date Result Record Opponent 10/30 L 0-1 @Phoenix 11/1 W 1-1 @Denver 11/2 W 2-1 San Antonio (b2b) 11/5 L 2-2 Houston 11/8 W 3-2 Sacramento 11/9 W 4-2 @Sacramento (b2b) 11/11 W 5-2 Detroit 11/13 W 6-2 Phoenix 11/15 W 7-2 @Boston 11/17 W 8-2 @Toronto 11/18 W 9-2 @Brooklyn (b2b) 11/20 W 10-2 @Milwaukee 11/22 W 11-2 Chicago 11/23 L 11-3 @Golden State (b2b) 11/25 W 12-3 New York 11/27 W 13-3 @Phoenix 12/1 W 14-3 @LA Lakers 12/2 L 14-4 Indiana (b2b) 12/4 W 15-4 Oklahoma City 12/6 W 16-4 Utah 12/7 W 17-4 Dallas (b2b) 12/9 W 18-4 @Utah 12/12 W 19-4 Houston 12/14 W 20-4 @Philadelphia 12/15 W 21-4 @Detroit (b2b) 12/17 W 22-4 @Cleveland 12/18 L 22-5 @Minnesota (b2b) 12/21 W 23-5 New Orleans 12/26 W 24-5 LA Clippers 12/28 L 24-6 Miami 12/30 L 24-7 @New Orleans 12/31 L 24-8 @Oklahoma City (b2b) 1/2 W 25-8 Charlotte 1/4 W 26-8 Philadelphia 1/7 W 27-8 @Sacramento 1/8 W 28-8 Orlando (b2b) 1/11 W 29-8 Boston 1/15 W 30-8 Cleveland 1/17 L 30-9 @San Antonio 1/18 L 30-10 @Dallas (b2b) 1/20 L 30-11 @Houston 1/21 L 30-12 @Oklahoma City (b2b) 1/23 W 31-12 Denver 1/25 W 32-12 Minnesota 1/26 L 32-13 @Golden State (b2b) 1/28 W 33-13 Memphis 2/1 W 34-13 Toronto 2/3 W 35-13 @Washington 2/5 L 35-14 @New York 2/7 L 35-15 @Indiana 2/8 L 35-16 @Minnesota (b2b) 2/11 W 36-16 Oklahoma City 2/12 L 36-17 @LA Clippers (b2b) 2/19 W 37-17 San Antonio 2/21 W 38-17 Utah 2/23 W 39-17 Minnesota 2/25 L 39-18 @Denver 2/26 W 40-18 Brooklyn (b2b) 3/1 W 41-18 Denver 3/3 W 42-18 LA Lakers 3/5 W 43-18 Atlanta 3/7 L 43-19 @Dallas 3/9 L 43-20 @Houston 3/11 L 43-21 @Memphis 3/12 L 43-22 @San Antonio (b2b) 3/14 L 43-23 @New Orleans 3/16 W 44-23 Golden State 3/18 W 45-23 Milwaukee 3/20 W 46-23 Washington 3/22 W 47-23 @Charlotte 3/24 L 47-24 @Miami 3/25 W 48-24 @Orlando (b2b) 3/27 L 48-25 @Atlanta 3/28 L 48-26 @Chicago (b2b) 3/30 W 49-26 Memphis 4/1 W 50-26 @LA Lakers 4/4 W 51-26 Phoenix 4/6 W 52-26 New Orleans 4/9 W 53-26 Sacramento 4/11 W 54-26 @Utah 4/13 W 55-26 Golden State 4/16 W 56-26 LA Clippers There are a few interesting things I noticed. First how easy our schedule is at the start of the season. This projection gives us a record of 22-4, which is an unreal 85% winning percentage and appears at first glance to be on pace to sniff the 72 win Bulls! But in reality by the end of the year we are only projected to win 56 games. Obviously 56-26 would be an amazing season, but last year this would only give us a share of the 5th seed in the west! It would have been a 3rd seed in the east however, and gives a team a great chance at home court advantage.
Awesome! When I get to a computer I will add mine. It's insane that 56 wins only gives you a 5th seed?!
Yeah, he only has us going 8-2 over the next 10 games. If we don't go at least 9-1 it will be a failure of monumental proportions. BNM
Cool. Repped. Its not hard to see if they stay focused and/or improve on defensive how they can win over 50 games. And I was trying to do it as realistically pessimistic that I could.
The opposite of this would be: If the Blazers were doing bad, we could tell you it's just November. See, we can discredit you too!
