SI: Five Most Overrated Players

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Reep, Oct 20, 2015.

  1. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2008
    Messages:
    30,704
    Likes Received:
    6,198
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Not to derail things too much, but this is my central argument (in several other threads) for why this team should be trying to tank hard this year and get a top 5 pick. If Damian doesn't have the "minerals" (so to speak) to be a truly great player (like near-MVP level minimum) then they need to find that guy and I don't believe that guy is already on the roster.

    I really love Damian's competitive spirit and his willingness to take big shots and be "the man" is beyond reproach, but I have serious doubts where his career arc is headed. He just strikes me as one of those "good but not great" players that are always teasing you with flashes of brilliance, just don't have that next gear to separate themselves - the league's history is littered with Steve Francis and Stephon Marbury types (comparing play style and general talent level here, not attitude).

    What I'm saying is that I think Damian can be the second best player on a championship level team, but I doubt he can be the linchpin. Regardless of what I think, it seems like we're about to figure out if he's a "good stats on a bad team" guy, or that franchise center-piece.
     
    Darkwebs and blue9 like this.
  2. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2012
    Messages:
    10,729
    Likes Received:
    7,169
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Completely agree. I'm still of the opinion that we need to find the next great wing player to be our #1 option - that's where championships are born.
     
    Tunchi and Orion Bailey like this.
  3. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2015
    Messages:
    26,285
    Likes Received:
    21,507
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I can agree with all of this really. I see Dame as always being the leader but the leader isn't always the best player on a team.
    If Dame is part of the core three for the next decade, we need one more guy that is more impactful than Dame. Dame as the number 2 is where I hope the Blazers are looking at long term. Get a Paul George as our number one, maybe a Meyers and or cj break out to be a 3 and/or 4. all of them fringe all stars at minimum and that's a core to build around that can contend in my opinion.

    I think this is the first opinion you have had that I can agree with. However I don't think tanking for a draft pick gets us that number 1 and even if we did get a top 5, that means that none of the other guys are panning out, so that blows both of our thoughts out of the water I think.
     
  4. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2015
    Messages:
    26,285
    Likes Received:
    21,507
    Trophy Points:
    113
    you know, the more I think about it, I really think Riverman is on to something. Paul George is that answer if we can get him.
     
  5. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2008
    Messages:
    30,704
    Likes Received:
    6,198
    Trophy Points:
    113
    My central argument for tanking has always been because I don't think we have a true number 1, and trading for that guy almost never happens (and Portland is never going to be able to sign that kind of guy in free agency).
     
  6. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2015
    Messages:
    26,285
    Likes Received:
    21,507
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I feel ya and agree for the most part. I just think tanking for the draft is as much of a crapshoot as one of CJ or Meyers becoming an all star , or trading /signing.
    The draft, ESPECIALLY since (Someone else pointed this out) that players don't stay in college long anymore. 1 and done guys are all over the place now and they don't seem to be having as much of an immediate impact compared to lottery picks of the past. Lottery pick talent has definitely declined over the last decade with a few obvious exceptions. Deep drafts are going to be a thing of the past I think because of this.
    With this said, I think trying to draft that place has no better percentage for us than nailing him in a trade or free agency...
    Players are attracted to winning cultures. Look at SA. Not a big market, but stars want to go there. If NO and Dame can create a winning culture ( A winning culture is not a record or stats sheet, its a state of mind), then I think we will be more attractive to free agents more so than at anytime in the last decade.

    I do think Dame needs to work on his distributing more to help make that happen, but if he can be an 7-10 assist guy a night, guys like PA will see that and know they have opportunities here.
     
  7. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2012
    Messages:
    10,729
    Likes Received:
    7,169
    Trophy Points:
    113
    The way I see it is:

    1 - Free Agents will only sign here once we've made it to the WCF. That's not happening this year, so whether we win 20 games or 45 games we aren't going to sign a Free Agent that's anything more than a role player (Aminu / Davis).

    2 - Since signing a meaningful Free Agent is off the table for at least the next 3 years we need to get our meaningful player either through the Draft or through a trade.

    3 - A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. If a great trade (Paul George) presents itself, take it and don't worry about missing out on a Top 5 draft pick.

    4 - Since winning doesn't matter this season, use the entire season as a training camp for the following season. This means that Dame spends the season passing rather than shooting. Meyers spends the season preparing to be our starting C next season - this means lots of shots, lots of picks, lots of passing out of the high-post, and working on his post-up game. IMO Meyers should be the central focus of our offense this season, 90/50/40 club be damned. CJ spends the season passing and scoring as Dame's back-up. All of this should equate to fewer wins than if we trot out Dame as our #1 scoring option and CJ as our #2 scoring option, which will result in (a) a better draft pick AND (b) being better prepared for the following season. It's a WIN/WIN scenario through losing. It's not tanking because we'll actively be trying to win each game, but with the primary focus being on improving skill sets.
     
  8. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2015
    Messages:
    26,285
    Likes Received:
    21,507
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I agree with 2 and 3 but 1....
    I think if we win 40 games with the roster we have, free agents are going to see us as a huge upside and know we will only be getting better and would want to sign now, rather than three years from now. IF that happens the three year window turns into 1 and a half. I think most free agents are smart enough to know this. And we aren't getting to the WFC without signing another star in my opinion.

    on the 4. Agreed, but I still think even if its a training camp all season, we will get the wins. Teams wont know what to expect. If we do what you say, and Meyers and CJ do what we hope they will, then your scenario will prove to make us better THIS year, I think. Not three years from now. Again in the offseason a star sees the upside and wants to join in.

    I know Im a homer though...
     
    Last edited: Oct 21, 2015
    riverman likes this.
  9. rasheedfan2005

    rasheedfan2005 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 18, 2013
    Messages:
    8,543
    Likes Received:
    4,673
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Hey lillard, water sucks, gatorade's better. Use it on the field.
     
    Rhal likes this.
  10. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2012
    Messages:
    10,729
    Likes Received:
    7,169
    Trophy Points:
    113
    That's fine that you think this, but that has literally never happened. The last big name player I recall wanting to become a Blazer was Barkley. If you, or anyone else, can provide another example of a Barkley-level player wanting to sign (or be traded here, as in Barkley's case) at any point in our modern history - let alone when we were a ~40 win team - I'd love to be reminded. Fact of the matter is we have never, and will never, attract a big time Free Agent until we're on the cusp of a championship.
     
    Tunchi and Nikolokolus like this.
  11. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2008
    Messages:
    30,704
    Likes Received:
    6,198
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Exactly right.

    A 40 win team in the west is probably going to be a tenth seed. How in the holy hell is that going to be lucrative to a top-tier guy? What exactly would make Portland so attractive in that situation? Didn't make the playoffs, (likely) lots of fair to middling players, no telling if the team is close to maxed out in terms of potential or talent, a super small market with zero African-American culture, a boring ass club scene, high taxes, the worst travel schedule in the NBA, etc.
     
  12. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2013
    Messages:
    67,845
    Likes Received:
    66,602
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Before Nash signed with the Lakers he mentioned Portland several times as a place he'd love to play. He loved the fanbase and the city
     
  13. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2012
    Messages:
    10,729
    Likes Received:
    7,169
    Trophy Points:
    113
    But not enough to sign with a middling team.
    I'd also be curious to know the context in which he made these statements. Was he asked a question about Portland/Blazers, or was it a non-leading question and he brought us up on his own?
     
  14. VanillaGorilla

    VanillaGorilla Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 16, 2009
    Messages:
    12,073
    Likes Received:
    4,750
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I'm pretty sure this is a logical fallacy. Never is a long time.
     
    Orion Bailey likes this.
  15. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2013
    Messages:
    67,845
    Likes Received:
    66,602
    Trophy Points:
    113
    It was an interview..the media was asking him about Toronto or places he'd like to play and he brought up Portland..it started a msg board lobby to bring him here that offseason and in the end..glad he didn't come here. Barkley is not the only great player that sees an upside to playing here. Not a lot of players are going to feel that way, that's for sure.
     
  16. rasheedfan2005

    rasheedfan2005 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 18, 2013
    Messages:
    8,543
    Likes Received:
    4,673
    Trophy Points:
    113
    How is there no "African american culture?" In all my travels I've never been to a state more accepting of all cultures than oregon. I mean there was a guy in my high school that literally thought he was a Jedi, he designed his own outfits and wore them with his fake light saber all the way through high school. Most places kids would have bullied him to suicide but we dressed in Darth maul outfits and let him slap us with his plastic saber. We even had an assembly where he choreographed a fight and used the force to choke us
     
  17. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2008
    Messages:
    30,704
    Likes Received:
    6,198
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Dafuq does a kid dressing up like a Jedi have to do with the presence (or lack thereof) of African American culture in Portland?
     
  18. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2013
    Messages:
    67,845
    Likes Received:
    66,602
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I think younger players crave that urban dazzle of NY or Miami but after they have kids and think about where to bring them up..Portland is a good choice
     
  19. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2015
    Messages:
    26,285
    Likes Received:
    21,507
    Trophy Points:
    113
    You guys...you keep skipping over the obvious and blatant answer as if your either blind or oblivious to us.

    Name the last 40 win team that had one allstar and a bunch of nobodys on this team? Every other 40 + win team that I can think of had very little upside left with older vet players.
    Not trying to be a dick, but how is that not obvious?
    This team is VERY different (if they win 40) than any other 40 win team we have seen.

    Secondly, to say that nothing has ever happened, so therefore it never will, is a factual wrong. The world... this UNIVERSE is predicated on NOTHING remaining the same. ;)
    Only two know facts in life. We live, we die. Anything else is never 100%, so to say it will never ever happen is laughable. Sorry.

    The only real factors I see deterring a top tier from signing if we do good this year, is the taxes. That's a tough one. By the end of the season we should know what we have and what we need. And if what we have won 40 games, then the needs wont be as great as earlier thought, so I believe a top tier guy will see that same point and not dismiss us as quickly as if we had last years roster with 50 wins, but no upside left.

    If I am a star in this league and Portland wins 40 plus games this season, HELL YEAH id rather join this Blazers team than last years... or any other team in the league built like last years Blazers, axed out and no upside...
     
  20. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2015
    Messages:
    26,285
    Likes Received:
    21,507
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Thank you!
     

Share This Page