The race for Home Court Advantage

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by TBpup, Feb 24, 2018.

  1. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

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    Coaching matters.
     
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  2. tykendo

    tykendo Don't Tread On PDX

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    You know what OKC, Nawlins, SA, Houston, Denver, and Utah all have in common? They all face the unsavory task of playing the Trailblazers. Go Get'em Blazers.
     
  3. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    They don't have a Dame, CJ, Turner, or Harkless.
     
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  4. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    The Blazers need to at least split the first tow games on this road trip or things are going to get awfully tight around the collar. They should go 4-0 in the games after that but they are going to need some space in the standings because after that, there are probably two more losses in the final 4 games.

    6-4 should get them the #3 spot which is what I want but that is leaving the door open for someone else.
     
  5. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    HUGE win for the Blazers after giving away one to Boston. Beating the Thunder and combined with the Spurs losing, this was a good night for Blazer fans in the standings.

    GO BLAZERS!!!!!!!!!!
     
  6. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    YES YES YES, MAN
     
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  7. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    So we would have the tiebreaker with New Orleans even with a loss, as the division leader gets the tiebreaker, even over head-to-head record.

    However, we beat New Orleans, we'd be tied head to head, which is the 2nd tiebreaker, and we'd hold the 3rd tiebreaker removing benefit of the doubt (3rd tiebreaker for teams that aren't in the same division is conference record).

    If we could beat them, we'd be 4 ahead of them in the loss column. Even if they WON OUT, if we finished 4-4 afterwards, we'd still beat them out for the 3 seed.

    We beat NOP on Tuesday, and I see no way that they or OKC can pass us for the 3 seed. I am slightly worried about SAS and MIN. SAS probably has the most realistic chance, but MIN has a very easy schedule down the stretch and right now, would win the tiebreaker with us (division record).
     
  8. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    If we could've beaten Boston, It would've meant tonight would've all but locked up the 3 seed. Too bad.
     
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  9. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Gotta move on. We got this. Like you said, win tomorrow and we're pretty much good.
     
  10. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Just wish we could clinch it early. I don't think it'll happen. Need to go 4-1 in the next 5 games because the last 4 are tough, and we could definitely fall 1-3. We need 50 wins for the 3 Seed.
     
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  11. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Blazers - - 45-28 next @ Pelicans
    Thunder - 44-31 next @ Spurs
    Pelicans - 43-31 next vs Blazers
    SA Spurs - 43-31 next @Wizards
    TWolves - 42-32 next vs Grizzlies
    Utah Jazz- 41-32 now @ Warriors

    A win @ the Pels would go a long ways towards helping to lock up that #3 spot with tie-breakers. If they could do that with a game or so left and get the starters some rest or at least short minutes would be huge.
     
  12. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Jazz destroying the Warriors who basically sat or without all of their 4 main starters for tonight's game.
     
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  13. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Warriors have lost so many games that by the time the Blazers play the Rockets, they may not need to win to keep the #1 seed.
     
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  14. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Yeah they won't need to. They are already up 5 games now in the loss column. But my guess is they play hard against us and OKC at home , then take it easy in their last 2 games of the season which are on the road against the lakers and Sac. (back to back)
     
  15. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    We've got the 3rd seed I think. Being 3 games better in the loss column with just 9 to go is enough of a cushion to get us over the line. We also have a few easy games coming up after Pelicans, teams below us are all going to still lose a few games so realistically nobody that is below us will finish with less than 33 losses. We won't lose 5 more games from here.
     
  16. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    This how I think the season ends

    Blazers 5-4 rest of Season for 50-32 3rd place

    Twolves 6-2 rest of season for 48-34 4th

    Pelicans 5-2 rest of season for 48-34 5th

    Jazz 6-2 rest of season for 48-34 6th

    OKC 4-3 rest of season for 48-34 7th

    Spurs 4-4 rest of season for 47-35 8th


    So 1st rnd playoffs:

    1.) Rockets
    8.) Spurs

    2.) Warriors
    7.) OKC

    3.) Blazers
    6.) Jazz

    4.) Twolves
    5.) Pelicans
     
    Last edited: Mar 26, 2018
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  17. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    I hate this. If it works out this way I want us to drop a couple of games on purpose to play Pelicans instead of Jazz.
     
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  18. H.C.

    H.C. Well-Known Member

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    Portland has 9 games left btw. You're record is right, but 5-3 isn't.

    I have Portland closing 6-3
    51-31, 3rd seed.
    I have OKC closing 5-2
    49-33, 4th/5th/6th
    I have Jazz closing 7-1
    49-33, 4th/5th/6th
    I have Spurs closing 6-2
    49-33, 4th/5th/6th
    I have Pelicans closing 4-4
    47-35
    I have Minn closing 3-5
    45-37

    I don't know the tiebreakers between the three tied teams. Nor do I really want to look them up.
     
  19. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    We don't need 50 wins for 3rd seed. 49 is going to be enough, maybe even 48 with a bit of luck.

    The best anyone below us can do is 51. Few of those teams will even go above 48, let alone reach 50.
     
  20. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    I bet someone else gets at least 49
     
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