The Official Around the NBA: March 2019 edition

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by SlyPokerOwl, Mar 1, 2019.

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  1. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Portland has a 5% chance at the 2 seed if they win 52 games.

    2 of those wins would likely have to be against Denver and Denver would have to go 4-7 in remaining games. Given that they have a tough remaining schedule but Houston could also be #2, 5% seems like good odds.
     
    BonesJones, Mar 19, 2019
    #521
  2. DDolla

    DDolla Well-Known Member

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    Are you serious? Nets came back to win the game trailing 25 points in the 4th quarter. D’Angelo “ Lonzo is better” Russell with 44 points wow.
     
    DDolla, Mar 20, 2019
    #522
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  3. tester551

    tester551 Well-Known Member

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    I was just trying to look at all the playoff tie-breakers with how tight the races are. It looks like Portland only has the advantage over Houston. All the other teams, Portland would loose a tie-breaker with. Here is the criteria.
    - Houston - Portland wins with 2-1 season series.
    - San Antonio - Series tied 2-2, Spurs win on Conference Games (29-19 vs 23-22). This will be too much for Portland to make up.
    - Oklahoma - Thunder win with 4-0 season series.
    - Utah - Series tied 2-2, Jazz win on Divisional Games (7-8 vs 4-9). This will be too much for Portland to make up.

    Moral of the story, Portland better keep winning.
     
    tester551, Mar 20, 2019
    #523
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  4. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

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    In your comparison of Utah, they are ahead in the loss column by only one game for division record and 2 games in conference record. Both teams have 7 games left against conference opponents.

    Blazers have 3 games left against the division while Utah has one. The key will be the Denver games as we play them in a home and away and Denver plays them at home. We also have a 2 game lead on Utah right now.

    Like you said though, keep winning would take care of a lot.
     
    CupWizier, Mar 20, 2019
    #524
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  5. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Now you're making me do the math. The question--is it possible for Portland to end tied with Utah and win the tie breaker?
    • Each team has 12 games remaining--7 in conference, and 5 out of conference.
    • Portland is 2 games ahead of Utah overall, but Utah is 2 games ahead of Portland in conference.
    • This means that Utah's non-conference record the rest of the way would have to be 4 games better than Portland's for them to make up two games in overall record while the Blazers simultaneously make up two games in conference record.
    • Since each team has 5 eastern conference games remaining, Portland would have to go no better than 1-4 against Detroit, Brooklyn, Chicago, Atlanta, and Detroit (again) in order to make that tie possible.
    So conclusion--while extremely unlikely, it could theoretically happen.
     
    PtldPlatypus, Mar 20, 2019
    #525
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  6. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

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    Yep, as the wind down to the end will be very interesting as there are so many potential outcomes it's mind boggling. What's good for us is that OKC is playing a home and away with Toronto which could definitely change the picture especially if Toronto knocks them off twice and we can get a couple wins this week.
     
    CupWizier, Mar 20, 2019
    #526
  7. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    THE HCP, Mar 20, 2019
    #527
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  8. TorturedBlazerFan

    TorturedBlazerFan Well-Known Member

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    This makes me happy. If the Blazers get knocked out in the 1st round again, I know where to go now.
     
    TorturedBlazerFan, Mar 20, 2019
    #528
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  9. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    unless I have things wrong....Portland and Utah are in the same division, so the 2nd tiebreaker is division records. Utah leads that 7-8 vs 4-9. If Utah wins their home game against Denver on April 9, then own the tie-breaker; Portland couldn't match them. If they lose that game, Portland would still have to win all three of their remaining division games: @Minny, @Denver, Denver in order to push the tie-breaker to conference records. I'm seeing 5 remaining probable conference wins for Utah pushing their record in-conference to 30-22. Blazers would have to go 7-0 just to be even in conference record; If Utah goes 4-3, Blazers would still have to go 7-0 to win tiebreaker, and 6-1 to push the decision to the 4th tiebreaker which is winning% against conference playoff teams. I have no clue which team has the advantage there

    sorry if that's what you were saying and I didn't grok it

    by the way, I don't even want to think about tiebreakers is it's a 3-team tie, but I suspect if it's Portland-OKC-Utah, Blazers would be 3rd, 2-4 record against the other two
     
    wizenheimer, Mar 20, 2019
    #529
  10. DDolla

    DDolla Well-Known Member

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    Jazz will be the number 4 seed and Blazers the number 5 seed. I think we can beat them on a 7 game series.
     
    DDolla, Mar 20, 2019
    #530
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  11. H.C.

    H.C. Well-Known Member

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    The bar?
     
    H.C., Mar 20, 2019
    #531
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  12. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Conley 6/6 from 3. Grizzlies up 11 on Rockets.
     
    KingSpeed, Mar 20, 2019
    #532
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  13. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Rockets down 17
     
    KingSpeed, Mar 20, 2019
    #533
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  14. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    looks like Houston ran into the same kind of buzz-saw in Memphis that Portland did
     
    wizenheimer, Mar 20, 2019
    #534
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  15. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

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    Spurs down to Miami. Good night to gain some seperation
     
    CupWizier, Mar 20, 2019
    #535
  16. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    And perspective.
     
    THE HCP, Mar 20, 2019
    #536
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  17. DDolla

    DDolla Well-Known Member

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    Cmon Grizzlies and Heat !!!
     
    DDolla, Mar 20, 2019
    #537
  18. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Spurs down 18
     
    KingSpeed, Mar 20, 2019
    #538
  19. DDolla

    DDolla Well-Known Member

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    Memphis are the Giant Killers! Hang in there Grizz beat the Rockets
     
    DDolla, Mar 20, 2019
    #539
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  20. Titan

    Titan Well-Known Member

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    Grizz blew their lead, game is in OT now
     
    Titan, Mar 20, 2019
    #540
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