Politics Turning GA, NC, NV, and/or PA into victory (Biden vs Trump, 2020 election!)

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by SlyPokerDog, Apr 16, 2020.

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  1. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    it would be a real upset if Biden won Iowa
     
    wizenheimer, Nov 2, 2020
    #4161
  2. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    illmatic99, Nov 2, 2020
    #4162
  3. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    always right leaning
     
    illmatic99, Nov 2, 2020
    #4163
  4. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    I have experience with this situation, and I can say yes it does.
     
    THE HCP, Nov 2, 2020
    #4164
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  5. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Is it weird of me to want this to happen? I already said I hope it ends with them sending in the troops to get him. Once last bit of HOLLYWOOD type drama and then 8 years of peace.
     
    THE HCP, Nov 2, 2020
    #4165
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  6. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    THE HCP, Nov 2, 2020
    #4166
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  7. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Agreed, they always have the Blazers ahead of the Lakers in the preseason poll. HA!
     
    THE HCP, Nov 2, 2020
    #4167
  8. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    one poll that always skews in favor of repugnicans

    upload_2020-11-2_9-20-55.png
    upload_2020-11-2_9-21-45.png

    upload_2020-11-2_9-23-8.png

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/


    upload_2020-11-2_9-25-36.png

    upload_2020-11-2_9-27-29.png

    upload_2020-11-2_9-28-14.png

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

    ****************************************************************************************

    upload_2020-11-2_9-29-17.png

    upload_2020-11-2_9-30-12.png

    upload_2020-11-2_9-32-30.png

    https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

    ***********************************************************************************************

    I think The Economist is way too optimistic for Biden. After 2016, even 538 may be too optimistic even though their final forecast was closest to the mark of all the 'poll-of-polls-we-have-algorithms' organizations
     
    wizenheimer, Nov 2, 2020
    #4168
  9. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    You're thinking of the Blair Rassmusen poll.
     
    julius, Nov 2, 2020
    #4169
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  10. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    I can honestly thank Trump for one thing though....... He has opened my family's eyes to politics and how they work. My wife and I never talked politics in the past. Or watched CNN to see the latest. In a strange way, all this bullshit and drama and the strong desire to end it has brought us together. My son even sat down and voted. Of things had been going good, I doubt any of that would have happened.
     
    THE HCP, Nov 2, 2020
    #4170
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  11. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Can some of this be put into context? How did it look the day before Gore/Bush or other elections? Are these pretty dead on? Shit the JinxSpeed of the political world could be making these graphs are far as I know.
     
    THE HCP, Nov 2, 2020
    #4171
  12. VanillaGorilla

    VanillaGorilla Well-Known Member

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    VanillaGorilla, Nov 2, 2020
    #4172
  13. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    upload_2020-11-2_9-46-3.png

    it's kind of a canard that polling completely missed the mark in 2016. On average, the national polling said Clinton had a 2-3% advantage. And she ended up winning the popular vote by 2.4%

    what was missed was late movement toward trump in some of the battleground states. But I've read several articles saying that district level polling was showing that trend quite strongly. That's not happening now. Trump is president because of about 110,000 votes in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. And he's president because there were 2-3 times more undecided voters in 2016 than there are this cycle, and those voter broke heavily for trump, in no small part because Hillary had such high negatives among blue collar men. Biden's negatives are much smaller than Hillary

    this doesn't mean that trump can't win. What it does mean is that the factors that gave him the presidency aren't really in place this time around
     
    wizenheimer, Nov 2, 2020
    #4173
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  14. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Your wife has had sex with 92% of the S2 forum members too?
     
    THE HCP, Nov 2, 2020
    #4174
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  15. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    The Wise-Guy was his intern!
     
    THE HCP, Nov 2, 2020
    #4175
  16. yankeesince59

    yankeesince59 "Oh Captain, my Captain".

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    I'm growing more and more optimistic that my state (Ga) could not only flip in the POTUS vote but possibly both Senate seats as well.
     
    yankeesince59, Nov 2, 2020
    #4176
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  17. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    As if we needed more proof as to why you should vote for Trump!

    signed,

    Aaron755
     
    julius, Nov 2, 2020
    #4177
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  18. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Guess who's back...

     
    SlyPokerDog, Nov 2, 2020
    #4178
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  19. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    nope....always been wizen even when I was posting in a Blazer group on usenet over 20 years ago
     
    wizenheimer, Nov 2, 2020
    #4179
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  20. VanillaGorilla

    VanillaGorilla Well-Known Member

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    Don't know if you saw this additional tweet. It has Georgia's senate seats as the only toss ups.
     
    VanillaGorilla, Nov 2, 2020
    #4180
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