Politics Turning GA, NC, NV, and/or PA into victory (Biden vs Trump, 2020 election!)

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by SlyPokerDog, Apr 16, 2020.

  1. EL PRESIDENTE

    EL PRESIDENTE Username Retired in Honor of Lanny.

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    Coke is legal, bay-bee!
     
  2. ehizzy3

    ehizzy3 RIP mgb

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    they flipped like two hours ago
     
  3. JoshuaHall

    JoshuaHall Well-Known Member

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    Carville also said Trump was going to get blown out in 2016.

    Also said he was gonna get blown out tonight.
     
  4. BigGameDamian

    BigGameDamian Well-Known Member

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  5. EL PRESIDENTE

    EL PRESIDENTE Username Retired in Honor of Lanny.

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    Was 75%, down to 60%ish
     
  6. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    uh Georgia?
     
  7. ehizzy3

    ehizzy3 RIP mgb

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    too bad oregon lottery app doesn’t let you bet on the elections lol
     
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  8. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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  9. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    I don't think there are enough votes left in Wisconsin for Biden to win

    let's see...2.36M votes are in and only 25% of expected votes are left to be counted

    that would mean 550K - 600K votes are left and trump has a 220K vote lead. Biden would have to win the remaining votes about 400K vs 150K to win. Seems really unlikely

    it also means the aggregate of poliing was way the fuck off:

    upload_2020-11-3_21-15-17.png
     
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  10. BigGameDamian

    BigGameDamian Well-Known Member

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  11. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    my assumptions were way off

    I knew it was going to be a closer election than people were saying, But I thought the polling wasn't going to be off as much as 2016. Looks like it was off by more
     
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  12. EL PRESIDENTE

    EL PRESIDENTE Username Retired in Honor of Lanny.

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  13. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    if Biden loses Wisconsin but wins Arizona, he can still win the electoral college but he absolutely has to in Pennsylvania and Michigan

    and from what I'm seeing, the margins are getting pretty big in both those states for Biden to overcome. 600K in Pennsylvania is a huge margin, even with 2.2M early votes remaining. He'd have to win those votes by at least a 1.4M - 0.8M margin and that's fucking huge
     
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  14. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    literally everything except for FL has been within the margin of error
     
  15. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    AP calls Minnesota for Biden and Iowa to Trump
     
  16. EL PRESIDENTE

    EL PRESIDENTE Username Retired in Honor of Lanny.

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    On the positive, both sides saying "DERP LANDSLIDE" were wrong.
     
  17. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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  18. ehizzy3

    ehizzy3 RIP mgb

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    its only a 120,000 lead for trump with a good amount of Milwaukee left
     
  19. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    Nevada polls closed an hour earlier than Oregon. Oregon has counted 75% of it's votes. Nevada has counted 2%

    every state needs to go full mail-in voting
     
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  20. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    hello



    NY Times in a similar mindset
     

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