Politics Turning GA, NC, NV, and/or PA into victory (Biden vs Trump, 2020 election!)

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by SlyPokerDog, Apr 16, 2020.

  1. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    Any ballot post marked Nov 3 or earlier must be counted...doesn't matter how long it takes to count them....govt for the people of the people by the people...no burying any votes is the only path
     
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  2. EL PRESIDENTE

    EL PRESIDENTE Username Retired in Honor of Lanny.

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  3. Haakzilla

    Haakzilla Well-Known Member

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    ...that's why he called them dipshits :dunno: The reality is Biden will only raise taxes on those making 400K + annually -- Trump's own tax plan going into effect next year will actually raise taxes for those making less than 75k (not to mention the higher taxes already in place for small businesses) -- Biden's plan as analyzed by Moodys indicates he will create 7.5M more jobs than Trump and the economy will recovery nearly twice as fast.
     
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  4. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    Polls closed in Oregon 3 hours after polls closed in Pennsylvania. Oregon has counted 91% of their votes. Pennsylvania 74%.
     
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  5. ehizzy3

    ehizzy3 RIP mgb

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    really anxious and eager for that last 9% in Georgia
     
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  6. MickZagger

    MickZagger Well-Known Member

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    Trump supports tax cuts for corporations, eliminating social security and its always been a goal of Republicans to try and bust labor unions.
     
  7. MickZagger

    MickZagger Well-Known Member

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    around 4 times the population?
     
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  8. Haakzilla

    Haakzilla Well-Known Member

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    ...Oregon is also accustomed to early mail-in voting :dunno:
     
  9. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Rest of the votes for Wisconsin coming at 1 am
     
  10. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    with about the same population combined as PA, Washington and Oregon are about 90%. The efficiency of mail-in voting on display.
     
  11. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    trump has a 119,000 vote lead with about 350,000 votes remaining. About 145K votes remaining in Milwaukee, but Biden has only been winning 60% of Milwaukee's votes. And 40K votes remain in Milwaukee suburbs when trum has been winning over 60% of votes. I can't see where Biden can make up that bi of deficit. Wisconsin sure appears to be going R. It's not a fatal blow because of Arizona.

    Biden needs 32 electoral votes. He could get it with Michigan and Georgia. Or with Georgia and Pennsylvania. Ironically, Georgia looks like his best bet. I think the hills he has to climb in the other 2 states are really steep
     
  12. ehizzy3

    ehizzy3 RIP mgb

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    Official of dem party in Wisconsin
     
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  13. JoshuaHall

    JoshuaHall Well-Known Member

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    Trump is +22 in Kenosha.
    Don’t see how that helps his case.
     
  14. ehizzy3

    ehizzy3 RIP mgb

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    a large percentage of Kenosha Democrats voting by mail would help
     
  15. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    glad I'm retired and don't need to work tomorrow (also glad I didn't pour a 3rd vodka)

    * so then, if you gibe Biden Hawaii's 4 electoral votes (certain) and Arizona's 11 electoral votes (almost certain), he's at 242.

    * Then, there's Nevada. If you give Biden those 6 electoral votes, he's at 248 and needs 22. Now this is not nearly as likely as Arizona. Biden has about a 25L vote lead with around 200K votes left to be counted. Most of those remaining votes are in Las Vegas county where Biden is winning by 10 points. And a smaller group is in Reno county where he's winning by 4 points. So his odds of winning Nevada are good. The kicker is that absentee ballots in Nevada have till Nov 10 to arrive. So, this state might take a while

    so then, Biden needs 22 EC votes

    Penn 20
    Georgia 16
    Michigan 16
    Wisc 10

    Biden needs two of those states

    Wisc looks out of reach to me. And in Pennsylvania, Biden is in a 680K hole with about 1.4M votes outstanding. That's a mighty steep hill

    But the NYT says Biden has 64% chance of winning Georgia

    and in Michigan, trump has a 240K vote lead with over a million votes left to count. So far, Biden is winning absentee votes 66% to 32.6%. So, he's got a real chance, assuming most of the remaining votes are absentee
     
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  16. ehizzy3

    ehizzy3 RIP mgb

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    Biden is surging in Wisconsin!
     
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  17. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Joe biden took the lead in Wisconsin
     
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  18. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    WOW!!! I sure didn't expect that!!

    upload_2020-11-4_1-40-59.png
     
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  19. JoshuaHall

    JoshuaHall Well-Known Member

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    “So far, Biden appears to have flipped Sauk County. According to turnout estimates, around 110,000 votes remain in counties won by Trump in 2016. Clinton 2016 counties have around 60,000 votes left to report.”

    Hmm
     
  20. ehizzy3

    ehizzy3 RIP mgb

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    Biden surging in Michigan!
     

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