Yes god, damn it Jabari Smith, not Parker the injured list superstar. Anyone in the top 7 but Chet at that pick. I'm TERRIFIED we might be that effing dumb. I would maybe roll the dice at 7 if Ivey, Sharpe, Banchero, and Smith are gone...maybe, but I'd still hesitate that guy has mega bust written all over him to me.
I'm all about drafting a big and I still take Ivey or Sharpe at 3 before Chet assuming Banchero and Smith are gone. I probably take Keegan Murray as well over Chet, just NO!
If The Blazers pick is 4 or later and Chet is available? They better take him. What are you thinking? Never mind? Chet is going 1, 2, or 3. Even if the Blazers get one of those picks they might take him. If they get 3 and he's there they will take him. Bet on it.
I guess we want to add to our long list of Centers that bust or get injured within their first few years. I have ZERO desire to continue that trend. We'd be Morons to take him in the top 3 if Sharpe, Ivey, Banchero or Jabari Smith are available and stone cold insane with suicidal ideation to take him in the top 2.
Shit! This is intense. There are so many permutations right now and they significantly get narrowed down in a little over an hour. Then we've got six weeks to see what we'll do with what we have. It could be a huge turning point for our team.
we have a 30% chance of getting the number 7 pick and a 70% chance of not getting the number 7 pick so I am not sure how you come to that conclusion.
The fact is that we have a better chance of ending up in the top 4 than we do of ending up at 7 specifically. Obviously of all of the specific destinations 7 is the most likely but we're talking about less than a 30% chance so I wouldn't bet the house on us ending up there. The problem is that 8 is the second most likely destination for us and the two together (7 and 8) are a 50.3% chance so it's more likely than not that we end up in one of those two spots. What's cool is that we had less than a 6% chance to land the number one pick in 2007 and we have a 9% chance of landing there in a little more than an hour.
If you could swap any possible lottery pick and instead take the 5th pick would you do it? Give up any possibility of getting the 1, 2, 3 or 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, or 10 and take the #5 instead?