Game Thread 2022-23 Game #5 BLAZERS VS HEAT - OCTOBER 26, 2022 - WEDNESDAY - 7:00 PM (PDT) ROOT

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Chris Craig, Oct 23, 2022.

  1. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    ---said HCP while looking in the mirror
     
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  2. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    That's what she said.
     
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  3. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    I think he said you and Eric's takes are exactly the opposite. ie, not similar at all.
     
  4. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    Green font?

    You two are definitely on different ends of the Blazer fan scales.

    He’s “you’ll believe me when you see it”.

    You come across more “I want to see it first”
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2022
  5. GrandpaBlaze

    GrandpaBlaze Predictions Game Master

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    I sometimes feel like if we mixed @THE HCP and @KSF-ERIC we'd probably get a pretty good view of things.

    Eric tends to over-react both positively and negatively.
    HCP often tends to predict on a conservative side.

    I'm glad both post and value both as contributors.
     
  6. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    the view of a bullfrog driving an uber?
     
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  7. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Their losses are to the Raptors, Bucks, and Celtics. Playoff teams. No reason to think they won't be one themselves. It's foolhardy to pretend this is some walkover game.
     
  8. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    If Eric has already been an Uber driver, does that make HCP the bullfrog?
     
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  9. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    538 prediction before season:
    projected record: 38-55, with 42% chance of making playoffs

    current predictions (blazers are 4-0)
    projected record: 40-42, with 41% chance of making playoffs.

    So, we won our first 4 games, and our chance of making the playoffs went DOWN????
     
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  10. GrandpaBlaze

    GrandpaBlaze Predictions Game Master

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    No. Jeremiah was the bullfrog.
     
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  11. Shaboid

    Shaboid Well-Known Member

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    HPV playing the victim again...
     
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  12. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    too much noise in these models with low sample size. let's see how this looks around game 15 or so
     
  13. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    all options open
     
  14. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    shouldn't be. The models move teams up when they "win", down when they "lose". Portland is 4-0, so they should have moved up, not down.

    I have win in quotes, because it's really "perform better than expected". No one expected us to go 4-0.
     
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  15. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    I thought he was a friend of mine, but the bastard would never let me drink his wine.
     
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  16. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    have they deviated much from preseason projections for any other teams?
     
  17. Wade Garrett

    Wade Garrett Exactly right.

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    The Blazers were item #1 with Ernie, Chuck, Kenny & Shaq on yesterdays Tip-off show.
    Ric Bucher mentioned them as his biggest surprise today on Colin's show. (Colin called them "legitimate").
    Screaming A. Smith is back to hyping Dame.
    They are definitely turning heads.
    So far.
    But, they could be 34-11 and totally disappear from the spotlight as well.
     
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  18. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    @Wizard Mentor just looking at their projections, here is what i saw as the biggest jumps upward from Oct 13 to today.

    Utah: 38 to 42
    Spurs: 30 to 34
    NOP: 42 to 45
    POR: 38 to 40
    PHX: 49 to 51

    perhaps their models have the variance of a 3-4 game winstreak already built in so as not to have too many jumps. hence my comment on sample size.
     
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  19. HailBlazers

    HailBlazers RipCity

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    I've never bet on the Blazers before but I did this year, over 39.5. Lines now 43.5.
     
  20. SharpeScooterShooter

    SharpeScooterShooter SharpeShooter

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    Dame 28-1 for MVP. Dropping $100
     

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