I hate to see the #pac12 being blown up. Except, the officiating is so lame I’m happy it’s being blown up.
I would have kicked the FG before the half and I would have punted in the 4th. Those are the two that I really disagreed with.
Would missing the field goals have helped? I probably would have taken a field goal on one of them. On the other hand, Lanning had a time out on all of them and they liked their look. And they were 8 of 10 on 4th down coming into the game. If the players had executed the Ducks would have won by 2 touchdowns.
Punting in the 4th would have likely meant a longer field goal attempt, or just going for it on 4th, at best. Washington was scoring a TD on that possession no matter how long the field was, IMO. We didn't have our corners to take the passing game away or even slow it down enough to get pressure.
The defense had been playing really well. Turning it over on 4th down in our territory gave them momentum. Pinning them down in their own territory would have been a very different situation.
agreed and overly obvious calls. I like Lanning’s balls to go for it, but there are some times it’s good to play it safe.
Chad and Dwight had on some stat guy and he said that league wide you only have about a 40% chance of converting a 4th down when it’s 4th and 3 or more. And then taking that risk in your own territory is…. Not great.
I don't think our defense played well at all after our corners went down. I had no doubt they were marching down the field and scoring immediately.
If the Ducks converted 40% of their 4th and 3s in this game they would have won... If they would have converted their season average they would have won fairly easily. What they needed was for their player to execute and they would have won that game. It's okay. Mistakes happen. If the players execute on the 3rd and 4th downs they would have won by 3 touchdowns. And that's what they should be focusing on, IMO. Not questioning their system.
No question this is a big game for the Ducks. Makes or breaks their season to this point. The rest of their season is either at home or on the road against teams they should beat.
I did agree with all of them. I’m not a coach, never insinuated I was. But I understood the coaches logic. Thanks for your input, noted.
This combo of Irving and James is interesting. I think Bucky will break 1k for the season but it's going to be harder for James to get there. He's at 463 with 5 games left. He'd have to put up some big numbers. Those Chip Kelly/Helfrich teams put up filthy rushing numbers. I don't think it reminds me too much of LaMichael James and Kenjon Barner because those two were just insanely fast players. However, I don't think those two ever had a season where they both went over 1k. James was too much of a workhorse. Maybe more like Maurice Morris and Onterrio Smith? Whittington kinda reminds me of Blount. We had a season where Johnson and Blount put up over 1k each back in 2008.
Yeah, I can do that math! Two of the 4th downs almost certainly would've led to TDs. So 40% of 7 points = 2.8pts vs 90% of 3pts = 2.7pts. The other 4th down would've ended the game. Felt like Washington had more than a 40% chance of scoring a TD on the last drive if we punted.
