Ayton

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Mediocre Man, Sep 18, 2023.

  1. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Well-Known Member

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    Now this is an actual *FacePalm*
     
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  2. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    I'm not sure 'soft' is the appropriate label for this

    but for a big man, he sure doesn't get the line as much as his big men peers

    career FT Rate (this season):

    Gobert .716 (.654)
    Embiid .555 (.546)
    Nick Richards .539 (.445)
    Jarrett Allen .457 (.371)
    Adebayo .445 (.470)
    Mitchell Robinson .443 (.388)
    Steven Adams .441 (.490)
    Zubac .400 (.342)
    Mark Williams .400 (.424)
    Eubanks .398 (.396)
    Sabonis .375 (.399)
    Claxton .398 (.338)
    Sengun .377 (.348)
    Moritz Wagner .377 (.390)
    Nurkic .375 (.364)
    W. Carter Jr .341 (.312)
    Capela .338 (.349)
    Looney .333 (.351)
    Jaren Jackson .332 (.370)
    Valunciunas .332 (.315)
    Ricgaun Holmes .317 (.375)
    KAT .325 (.312)
    Jokic .329 (.319)
    Porzingis .316 (.467)
    Myles Turner .312 (.366)
    Poeltl .309 (.319)
    B. Lopez .297 (.182)
    Zach Collins .262 (.259)
    Ayton .208 (.132)
    Vucevic .142 (.095)

    big men who draw fouls and get to the line add a lot of value to a team. If it wasn't for Vucevic, Ayton would be by far the worst at it in the league. So, while it might not actually be a "soft" characteristic of Ayton, it's a definite flaw. And for whatever reason, he's much worse at FT rate in Portland than he was in Phoenix. I don't know if it's the system or the players he's on the floor with or attitude or a combination of factors, it's still another reason to look cross-eyed at his game
     
  3. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Wow, I did not realize how flawed Kat, Jokic, and Porzingis are this season. Over 20 centers are better at getting to the line. I can see why Minnesota, Denver, and Boston are struggling.
     
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  4. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    sorry...I must have misspoke and said FT Rate is the only gauge for judging a big man
     
  5. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, it isn't even my top 5 things I care about from our big man. Now I do care if our center can shoot free throws in order to stay on the floor at the end of games, but I just don't care that much about how good they are at drawing fouls. Not when they have a career FG % of close to 60%
     
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  6. sheed30

    sheed30 Well-Known Member

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    Lmao. After one game? I’m not bashing Ayton, just that guys were so damn hard in Nurk and giving Ayton passes so far is odd.

    I guess the new shinny thing to do here is bash Billups, and complain about Ant.

    maybe if one day Billups is fired you guys will turn to Ayton as the new shinny thing to bash.
     
  7. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    I am pretty sure that has already started
     
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  8. sheed30

    sheed30 Well-Known Member

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    Man there is games in there he just coasts.

    yes he does some good things, but I’m just baffled at how many of you were bashing Nurkic over and over and are now praising Ayton when he has many of the same qualities.

    even last night, either in OT or 4th, someone took a shot, and he was just standing out by the out of bounds under the hoop. The ball danced on the rim for a little bit and Ayton just stood there staring at it instead of getting back into the play and trying to get the offensive rebounds.
     
  9. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    At some point, I think all fans on all teams feel the same about their bigs.

    Scene from Airplane:

    Joey : Wait a minute. I know you. You're Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. You play basketball for the Los Angeles Lakers.

    Roger Murdock : I'm sorry, son, but you must have me confused with someone else. My name is Roger Murdock. I'm the co-pilot.

    Joey : You are Kareem! I've seen you play. My dad's got season tickets.

    Roger Murdock : I think you should go back to your seat now, Joey. Right, Clarence?

    Captain Oveur : Nahhhhhh, he's not bothering anyone. Let him stay here.

    Roger Murdock : But just remember, my name is...

    [showing his nametag]

    Roger Murdock : ROGER MURDOCK. I'm an airline pilot.

    Joey : I think you're the greatest, but my dad says you don't work hard enough on defense.

    [Kareem gets angry]

    Joey : And he says that lots of times, you don't even run down court. And that you don't really try... except during the playoffs.

    Roger Murdock : [breaking character] The hell I don't! LISTEN, KID! I've been hearing that crap ever since I was at UCLA. I'm out there busting my buns every night! Tell your old man to drag Walton and Lanier up and down the court for 48 minutes!
     
    Last edited: Jan 25, 2024
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  10. PCmor7

    PCmor7 Generational Poster

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    You seem to be talking about not recklessly going all out every possession rather than hustling in general throughout the game. Last night there were multiple examples of him hustling and making plays or hustling and forcing the other team to adjust which made plays for others.

    Let's just mention another. There was a play in the second half where Ayton got stuck on VanVleet way outside. FVV kept trying to use his quickness and ability to create space to lose Ayton and couldn't, and it ended up being a 3-second violation on the Rockets.

    Also, Segun with his unorthodox offensive game was able to score on Ayton pretty well in the second half. Except, late in the game, Ayton adjusted, manned up and stopped Segun when it mattered most.

    If your benchmark for hustling and being a good player is going after every single play even when you have essentially no mathematical chance of making it and then wearing yourself out when there's a hustle play you can make, you probably could find examples negating any player in NBA history including Prime Jordan from being good. Ayton played more than 40 minutes, had 18-17, was like plus-11 or something and we won on the road in a back-to-back against what might be a playoff team.

    I can understand disappointment in a player or maybe in their play versus their pay, but some of you guys are trying too hard and it shows. You're holding Ayton to a standard that not even Bill Russell or Wilt could reach.
     
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  11. PCmor7

    PCmor7 Generational Poster

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    As I recall, Roger Murdock was a complete non-factor in saving that flight, too. Guy practically slept through the end.
     
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  12. PCmor7

    PCmor7 Generational Poster

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    I just love these takes. Ayton isn't as good as Embiid and Jokic which makes him worse than Hassan Whiteside and Joel Przybilla. Talk about bizarre arguments.
     
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  13. PCmor7

    PCmor7 Generational Poster

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    Pinwheel: "Surely, you can't be serious."

    Sheed30: "I am serious. And stop calling me 'Shirley.'"
     
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  14. PCmor7

    PCmor7 Generational Poster

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    I think his response had more to do with you seeming to put a lot of value in that stat, and that the bigger argument going on right now is that at least one poster is using that stat and that stat alone as a dismissal of Ayton's value.

    He doesn't get to the line as much as we think he could/should. I don't think I've seen even his advocates disputing that. Some people are trying to make the perfect the enemy of the good here, though, to the point that DA actually having a good game makes them angry and coming out even more critical of him that usual.
     
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  15. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    most C's have career 2ptFG% and eFG% around 60%. I'm not sure that's much of an accomplishment

    but I think you are being a little too dismissive about the value of a big man's FT rate. You mentioned Jokic's seemingly low rate for a C. Well, Jokic is currently averaging 3.6 more points/game from the FT line than Ayton. That is a substantial margin for one component of one player's contribution to a team score. More than the raw points though, is the value of getting the team into the bonus earlier in a quarter. That's going to generate more FT points than just those scored by the C. And, there's the value of potentially getting the other team's best rim protector in foul trouble and having him on the bench
     
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  16. PCmor7

    PCmor7 Generational Poster

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    I'd dispute that.

    There are nine players in the NBA shooting above that mark right now. A whopping two of them average 10 shots per game. And Giannis is one of those nine, so he's not even a C.
     
  17. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

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    When it comes to offense, I don't really care. I want my center rebounding and anchoring the interior. Ayton does a reasonable job of it.
     
  18. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    yeah, I shouldn't have added eFG%. But when it comes to 2ptFG%:

    Daniel Gafford .692
    Jakob Poeltl .685
    Moritz Wagner .675
    Jarrett Allen .663
    Ivica Zubac .655
    Kristaps Porziņģis .649
    Jalen Duren .641
    Brook Lopez .640
    Nic Claxton .638
    Rudy Gobert .637
    Nikola Jokić .635
    Domantas Sabonis .629
    Chet Holmgren .625
    Myles Turner .622
    Jonas Valančiūnas .616
    Naz Reid .589
    Zach Collins .583
    Alperen Şengün .577
    Anthony Davis .576
    Joel Embiid .568
    Clint Capela .567
    Jusuf Nurkić .555
    Nikola Vučević .541
    Victor Wembanyama .540
    Deandre Ayton .535

    now, this is Ayton's worst season so that's probably fairly skewed. His career mark is .599 which would put him right behind Valunciunas

    when it comes to gauging the impact FT's have on efficiency, then TS% is the go-to gauge. Ayton Career make of .617 compared to C's this season

    Daniel Gafford .713
    Jarrett Allen .688
    Jakob Poeltl .675
    Moritz Wagner .666
    Ivica Zubac .665
    Nikola Jokić .660
    Kristaps Porziņģis .658
    Rudy Gobert .652
    Onyeka Okongwu .652
    Joel Embiid .651
    Jalen Duren .650
    Domantas Sabonis .648
    Nic Claxton .640
    Chet Holmgren .639
    Jonas Valančiūnas .639
    Myles Turner .628
    Dario Šarić .625
    Anthony Davis .624
    Naz Reid .620
    Deandre Ayton .617 (career)

    I wish bbref hadn't put a lot of searches behind a paywall. Used to be I could have sorted for career TS% for C's
     
  19. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Who knew that Daniel Gafford has been one of the best offensive centers this season? He's also leading the league in Ortg, while on one of the worst teams in the league.
     
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  20. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Me too. I mean it would be nice to have Embiid or Jokic to dominate games on offense, but I am ok with a long center (with decent hops) like Ayton who can catch a pass 10-12 feet from the basket when the shot clock is winding down and who actually has a decent chance of making the shot without putting the ball on the floor. Nothing drives me crazy more than a center who turns the ball over. (traveling offensive fouls, forced passes) Especially down the stretch of a tight game. Plus he has a decent jump hook as well.
     
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