Politics Official 2024 Presidential Election Thread

That's why I put in the post " I'm not sure how you could screw up with blacks more than Trump"? But for some reason the 90% Black support Biden had has dwindled to about 70% and that is mostly men. The big problem is she is holding pretty steady at 54% women but only 27% white women nationally. How can 73% of white women vote for Trump I wonder?
Every National indicator has Trump winning this in a landslide of electoral votes but will lose the popular vote again. It's called gerrymandering and it really works well for old white racist men.

 

What is this "every national indicator" you keep posting? I haven't seen any of that, and I like to think I follow a wide variety of media sources and am pretty informed.

 

I don’t think it will be close either. She’ll win a couple states that aren’t expected like North Carolina and Georgia. For the 3rd straight election we’ll see why polls are garbage.

I’ve been polled constantly and answer the phone realize it’s a poll and hang up.

 

This poll shows Harris with a very slight lead so it really appears to be neck and neck at this point. Again - it will mostly depend on voter turnout here as well as elsewhere.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/sarado...s-leads-crucial-swing-state-in-latest-survey/

 

Forbes isn’t exactly bipartisan

 

Florida wouldn’t surprise me one bit

 

Is it the supreme Court?

 

I didn't know that - Are they biased left or right?

 

Outside of polls taken by media we have actual regional and national registration numbers. We also have actual voting starting with interviews of people who have already voted.

 

That’s kind of why I lean more on registration and exit type polling. If it’s media driven either liberal or conservative I don’t really trust it.

 

Trump was way out ahead in early voting last time as well though...

 

Steve Forbes is a hardcore Trumper

 

He’s ahead now also. Believe me I can’t fathom how people vote for the guy but they are? Dems need the kids to show up and vote and they could sure use some of the Obama Hope and Change mojo.
“Don’t Boo! Vote!”

 

Annnnd, again, we have a lot of that stuff that's favoring Harris and the Democrats.

I'm not sure where you are getting your figures. If you have something from an actual impartial source that shows Trump winning a landslide, please share it, because I'm not aware of it.

I am aware that surveys by Ipsos, Reuters and others showing Democrats are more enthusiastic about voting for their candidate. I've seen numbers that correlate with huge Democratic registration numbers among young voters who are likely to vote for Harris. Harris has a huge lead in fundraising. In Pennsylvania, Democrats figure they need a gap of at least 400,000 returned early ballots to feel they'll win and are aiming for 500,000 and I think as of last night with eight more days for early voting they are three-quarters of the way to the 500,000.

Yeah, Harris apparently isn't doing as well with certain minority demographics as Biden did, but she's also gained about 4% on Trump with non-college white men, who are a much larger voting block that several of those smaller groups combined.

Even if you are right and Trump's doing well, there's no clear evidence that he's forged some kind of commanding advantage.

 

He looked like he was winning last time, then the big counties and mail in votes completely changed the picture. But best to keep assuming Trump is doing well and get everyone possible out to vote.