Will the Rockets make the playoffs?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets' started by S_dub12, Dec 4, 2005.

  1. S_dub12

    S_dub12 JBB JustBBall Member

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    Well as we all know the rockets are not living up to expectations so far this year. Injuries have hurt us. We are curently the 3rd worst team in the league. The only teams worst than us are Atlanta and Toronto, which in my opinion is embarassing... However, will there be a turn around? Do you guys think we will make the playoffs?
     
  2. durvasa

    durvasa JBB Rockets Fan

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    We are not the third worst team in the league. Actually, when you adjust for schedule (second toughest through November) and consider point-differential rather than win-loss percentage (which makes for a more accurate predictor of future performance), we're just below average. If we can stay reasonably healthy and get some consistency in our rotations, I think we'll eventually inch our way past the .500 mark and make the playoffs. Homecourt advantage is pretty much impossible, however (we'd have to finish with a better record than San Antonio or Dallas, probably the two best WC teams).
     
  3. babybulls

    babybulls JBB JustBBall Member

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    ^^ you're getting way to technical and defensive... you are what your record says you are. Point differential doesn't make you any less games out of the playoff hunt

    I do however think the rockets will make the playoffs. I read an article saying yao is shooting 60% now that tmac is back, that's a good stat and the rockets will only get better. They were unstoppable at the end of last season and i expect them to get on another roll
     
  4. igotask8board

    igotask8board Active Member

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    <div class="quote_poster">Quoting babybulls:</div><div class="quote_post">^^ you're getting way to technical and defensive... you are what your record says you are. Point differential doesn't make you any less games out of the playoff hunt

    I do however think the rockets will make the playoffs. I read an article saying yao is shooting 60% now that tmac is back, that's a good stat and the rockets will only get better. They were unstoppable at the end of last season and i expect them to get on another roll</div>



    Yes they will wake the playoffs.[​IMG]
     
  5. Trip

    Trip 2000000000000000000000000

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    We'll probably finish at the 6-8 spot with 43-48 wins. Right now, even 50 looks out of reach; we'll have to go 46-20 the rest of the way just to get there.
     
  6. durvasa

    durvasa JBB Rockets Fan

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    <div class="quote_poster">Quoting babybulls:</div><div class="quote_post">^^ you're getting way to technical and defensive... you are what your record says you are. Point differential doesn't make you any less games out of the playoff hunt</div>

    Generally speaking, I think the point-differential is a better indicator of a team's performance than win-loss percentage. If you look at all the games we lost, we rarely have been blown out.

    It's only common sense to factor in difficulty of schedule and injuries to make the prediction. Plus, over the long haul, point-differential is a more accurate predictor of future performance than winning percentage. Mathematically, the more games you play, the better point-differential is as a predictor all else being equal (strength of schedule, injuries, etc.).

    <div class="quote_poster">Quote:</div><div class="quote_post">I do however think the rockets will make the playoffs. I read an article saying yao is shooting 60% now that tmac is back, that's a good stat and the rockets will only get better. They were unstoppable at the end of last season and i expect them to get on another roll</div>

    They'll have to get on a roll eventually to make the playoffs. December is as good a time as any to start it.
     
  7. Johnny33

    Johnny33 JBB JustBBall Member

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    point differential doesn't mean that much.. it doesn't factor in the fact that the Rockets seem to go limp in the 4th. So when they're up maybe 5 points and lose by 2, sure it doesn't look bad in point differential but a loss is a loss and bad teams don't step up in the 4th. No matter how you spin it, the Rockets are a bad team right now.

    It's too early to tell if they will make the playoffs. If they do, I don't see them getting any higher than an 8th seed or maybe 7th. Hopefully they will play like the nuggets did last season and finish the season on a roll.
     
  8. drunkenbarden

    drunkenbarden JBB JustBBall Member

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    yeah the rockets will make the playoffs.
    Last year we had a bad start(not as bad as this year)and we were able to turn things around.
    I have a feeling the same thing is gonna happen again.
     
  9. S_dub12

    S_dub12 JBB JustBBall Member

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    <div class="quote_poster">Quoting durvasa:</div><div class="quote_post">We are not the third worst team in the league. Actually, when you adjust for schedule (second toughest through November) and consider point-differential rather than win-loss percentage (which makes for a more accurate predictor of future performance), we're just below average. If we can stay reasonably healthy and get some consistency in our rotations, I think we'll eventually inch our way past the .500 mark and make the playoffs. Homecourt advantage is pretty much impossible, however (we'd have to finish with a better record than San Antonio or Dallas, probably the two best WC teams).</div>

    http://www.nba.com/features/power_rankings.html

    -----> third worst <------

    its dated a few days back, 1 or 2 spots up is nothing to brag about.....
     
  10. AznxBaller

    AznxBaller JBB Back...

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    <div class="quote_poster">Quote:</div><div class="quote_post">

    -----> third worst <------

    its dated a few days back, 1 or 2 spots up is nothing to brag about.....</div>
    The power rankings are based on how teams do the past week, so other unmentionables such as the schedules, how close the games were, and like Durvasa said, the point differences, you'll get a different ranking. Stay positive people.
     
  11. bbwAce

    bbwAce BBW Member

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    I too believe we'll make the playoffs...we have to remember that a great majority of our losses have come without TMac...without McGrady in the lineup we are vulnerable but I dont expect him to miss much more extensive time...I think he'll play atleast 65 games...I also think this team will make the right moves to get us in a position to be successful, even without TMac...
     
  12. S_dub12

    S_dub12 JBB JustBBall Member

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    ^^^^

    Yea I hope we do make the playoffs too, and good enough not to play a power house team. But statistically, we are only 4-4 with TMAC...
     
  13. Shapecity

    Shapecity S2/JBB Teamster Staff Member Administrator

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    It really depends on T-Mac's health. He said he doesn't expect to be healthy the entire season (although he rarely is), and the Rockets haven't proven they can win without him. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Rockets make a midseason trade for insurance. Al Harrington would make a lot of sense for this team, and it shouldn't take much to pry him away from the Hawks.

    If TMac is healthy they should definitely make the playoffs. Unfortunately, I think the Rockets need homecourt advantage to advance past the 1st round. I know they won 2 games on the road in Dallas, but homecourt makes a world of difference in the playoffs, especially in a 7 game series.

    <div class="quote_poster">Quoting S_dub12:</div><div class="quote_post">^^^^

    Yea I hope we do make the playoffs too, and good enough not to play a power house team. But statistically, we are only 4-4 with TMAC...</div>
    Yes, but 0-8 without him. The West is very competitive this year, and 42-44 wins might be enough to make the post-season.
     
  14. tr@cy&ya0

    tr@cy&ya0 JBB JustBBall Member

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    i don't realy think 42-45 wins is going to do at all... we need to win about 48 throug 52 to might even go to post season this year....

    I BELIEVE IN THE ROCKETS
     
  15. dallasdude

    dallasdude JBB JustBBall Member

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    The Astros got off to a bad start this year and went to the world series. Maybe the Rockets can get on a similar hot streak some how and make the playoffs. But it's gonna be tough though.
     
  16. dtpxcore

    dtpxcore JBB The Regulator

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    Rockets need to pull out something out of the hat to make the playoffs this season, I see them as 6 seed.
     

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