Hollinger's New Power Rankings

Discussion in 'NBA General' started by Chutney, Jan 18, 2007.

  1. Chutney

    Chutney MON-STRAWRRR!!1!

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    <div class="quote_poster">Quote:</div><div class="quote_post">In addition to Marc Stein's weekly Power Rankings, ESPN.com now has daily Power Rankings, based on a formula devised by NBA analyst John Hollinger.

    The Hollinger Power Rankings are updated automatically and fresh each day.</div>
    Link

    Hollinger's got his own rankings up now on ESPN and I was wondering what some of the statheads on JBB thought of it. There's also an explanation for what he takes into consideration and his formula:

    Full Explanation

    Formula
     
  2. kingjames23_84

    kingjames23_84 JBB JustBBall Member

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    i don't think i've ever seen the raptors ranked that high - well, i haven't seen in it a few years i can say that



    EDIT: Oh, I think it's cuz their schedule has been really hard so far, apparently
     
  3. durvasa

    durvasa JBB Rockets Fan

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    It's kind of neat, and certainly it's a better indicator than simply looking at record (which is what mostly people do). But there are other factors (e.g. injuries, not giving a damn early in the season [ahem, Miami]) that make a big difference and are difficult or impossible to incorporate into a formula.
     
  4. Shapecity

    Shapecity S2/JBB Teamster Staff Member Administrator

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    It gives too, much weight to the recent games, I'd like to see how the rankings adjust after the 33% drops to 25% weight instead. I think the formula should calculate the numbers based on PER 100 possessions.
     
  5. Chuck

    Chuck JBB JustBBall Member

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    LOL @ The Magic being 6 after losing their past 3 games
     
  6. arre

    arre JBB JustBBall Member

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    yeah, and being ahead of the lakers... these rankings suck. Mavs > Suns
     
  7. kobe23

    kobe23 JBB JustBBall Member

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    All i can say is that Suns arent #1, Magic isnt 6, Houston isnt 4, Bulls arent 5 and Lakers are not only 8 and of course the Jazz are AT LEAST better than the raptors
     
  8. durvasa

    durvasa JBB Rockets Fan

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    I think the idea was to rank how teams are playing currently, versus what their performance has been the entire season. That explains at least some of the weird results.
     
  9. Ming637

    Ming637 BBW Banned

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    Eh, I like personal power rankings, rather than ranking teams by schedule rank and statistics.
     
  10. Shapecity

    Shapecity S2/JBB Teamster Staff Member Administrator

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    Ok, I checked the rankings today and expected the Mavs to be #1 after they throttled the Lakers last night. They're still ranked behind Phoenix, which tells me this formula is flawed.
     
  11. AirJordan

    AirJordan JBB JustBBall Member

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    <div class="quote_poster">shapecity Wrote</div><div class="quote_post">Ok, I checked the rankings today and expected the Mavs to be #1 after they throttled the Lakers last night. They're still ranked behind Phoenix, which tells me this formula is flawed.</div>

    Not really, the Mavs won but its not like the Suns are losing, I'd only expect the Lakers ranking to dip a bit.
     
  12. Shapecity

    Shapecity S2/JBB Teamster Staff Member Administrator

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    <div class="quote_poster">AirJordan Wrote</div><div class="quote_post">Not really, the Mavs won but its not like the Suns are losing, I'd only expect the Lakers ranking to dip a bit.</div>

    It's not like Dallas is losing either.
     
  13. durvasa

    durvasa JBB Rockets Fan

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    <div class="quote_poster">shapecity Wrote</div><div class="quote_post">It's not like Dallas is losing either.</div>

    The Suns have won 11 or 12 games in a row. Why would you expect Dallas to overtake them? Has their win-margin been much greater of late?
     
  14. AirJordan

    AirJordan JBB JustBBall Member

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    <div class="quote_poster">shapecity Wrote</div><div class="quote_post">It's not like Dallas is losing either.</div>

    So it would remain just about the same.
     
  15. Shapecity

    Shapecity S2/JBB Teamster Staff Member Administrator

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    <div class="quote_poster">durvasa Wrote</div><div class="quote_post">The Suns have won 11 or 12 games in a row. Why would you expect Dallas to overtake them? Has their win-margin been much greater of late?</div>

    They've had two quality wins against Houston and Lakers, both were blowouts. The only loss they've had in their last 10 games, is a 3 point defeat on the road to the Lakers. Dallas has won 19 of their last 20, including a victory over Phoenix.
     
  16. Windmill360?

    Windmill360? JBB JustBBall Member

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    Yea I don't know why some people are unhesitantly putting the suns over the mavs just because the suns could "easily" be on a 33 game winning streak if it weren't for close losses against Utah, Dallas, and Washington.

    The Mavs could "easily" be on a 20 game winning streak if it weren't for that close Lakers loss, who they beat in a blowout later in the season. That's why I think it's rediculous. Both teams are very close in power to be ranking one team clear over the other.

    To me, Phoenix has played an easier schedule though. I believe the Suns are 14-7 against western conference teams right now and 16-1 against the east. They are 2-5 against the top 6 teams in the West with their only wins comming against the hobbled Rockets. Alot of people may think they have vastly improved after losing those 5 early games in the year but it could also be that they have had a much easier schedule after starting the season against the Jazz, Spurs, Clippers (who were playing pretty well at the beginning of the season) and the Mavericks.

    Don't get me wrong. They are a great team. But as for them being unbeatable and amazing has something to do with this illusion of them playing a hard schedule
     
  17. durvasa

    durvasa JBB Rockets Fan

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    <div class="quote_poster">Windmill360? Wrote</div><div class="quote_post">Yea I don't know why some people are unhesitantly putting the suns over the mavs just because the suns could "easily" be on a 33 game winning streak if it weren't for close losses against Utah, Dallas, and Washington.

    The Mavs could "easily" be on a 20 game winning streak if it weren't for that close Lakers loss, who they beat in a blowout later in the season. That's why I think it's rediculous. Both teams are very close in power to be ranking one team clear over the other.

    To me, Phoenix has played an easier schedule though. I believe the Suns are 14-7 against western conference teams right now and 16-1 against the east. They are 2-5 against the top 6 teams in the West with their only wins comming against the hobbled Rockets. Alot of people may think they have vastly improved after losing those 5 early games in the year but it could also be that they have had a much easier schedule after starting the season against the Jazz, Spurs, Clippers (who were playing pretty well at the beginning of the season) and the Mavericks.

    Don't get me wrong. They are a great team. But as for them being unbeatable and amazing has something to do with this illusion of them playing a hard schedule</div>

    The difficulty in schedule is taken into account in the rankings.
     
  18. Windmill360?

    Windmill360? JBB JustBBall Member

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    Yeah. I wasn't ragging on those rankings. They show that both teams are pretty even [rating wise]. I'm talking about the people and columnists that are anointing the suns as the clear favorite to win it all. "Hold your horses" I say to them. We have barely got past the half way point. There's still a long way to go.
     
  19. stalefish_27

    stalefish_27 JBB JustBBall Member

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    ATL last place after winning 3 in a row...
     
  20. og15

    og15 JBB *********

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    <div class="quote_poster">Quote:</div><div class="quote_post">But there are other factors (e.g. injuries, not giving a damn early in the season [ahem, Miami]) </div>
    Miami is definately one of those teams that's better than their record shows. They're 16-13 (45 win pace) when Wade plays this season, and 0-7 without him. Also in the games he's played, other guys have been injured, so even that is not reflective of how good the actually team is with Wade + the rest of the roster without Shaq.

    Also the Raptors have had more road games than home games 23 - 18 to be exact, so 6 more on the road. So their record isn't neccesarily reflective of how good they are, though going 6-6 without Bosh was impressive.

    <div class="quote_poster">Quote:</div><div class="quote_post">ATL last place after winning 3 in a row...</div>
    Atlanta is 1-2 in their last three games (losing the last 2 to Charlotte), this is updated daily IIRC, so it would've taken that into account.
     

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