I think Obama will win pretty easily, honestly. I don't think the cocaine use is going to come back and haunt him. I think Clinton's campaign is dead in the water right now, it's time for her to accept her defeat gracefully and bow out so the democratic party can focus on combating McCain and not each other. I think the Nation is ready for a change and the nation views McCain and Bush II, especially with regards to the Iraq war. The only chance McCain has of getting my vote is if Hilary somehow miraculously wins the Democratic Election.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Black Mamba @ Feb 14 2008, 11:41 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>I think Obama will win pretty easily, honestly. I don't think the cocaine use is going to come back and haunt him. I think Clinton's campaign is dead in the water right now, it's time for her to accept her defeat gracefully and bow out so the democratic party can focus on combating McCain and not each other. I think the Nation is ready for a change and the nation views McCain and Bush II, especially with regards to the Iraq war. The only chance McCain has of getting my vote is if Hilary somehow miraculously wins the Democratic Election.</div> I agree completely, she can't win back the majority of pledged delegates anymore and the Superdelegates will mostly just go with the nation's decision.
Some of the SD's are already starting to turn to Obama. I want Hilary to get a clue and realize that she's lost more than the majority of states to Obama. The American people don't want here. Dropout respectfully and with dignity and let Obama battle McCain.
Going back a few posts, I personally don't think being the bosses wife counts as experience. This shit doesn't work by osmosis. Hell, I've got a masters degree in economics and I stand up in a classroom three days a week and explain it to kids. Sometimes they even learn something. But I can't teach my wife, who I've lived with for 10 years, the first thing about it. For that matter I can't figure out all the complicated computer nerd stuff she does. Also, following up my prior post, I saw this today (via Instapundit): <div class='quotetop'>QUOTE </div><div class='quotemain'>Taxpayers for Common Sense, a nonpartisan budget watchdog, issued a report on Wednesday that showed Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York had obtained $342 million in earmarks last year, nearly four times as much as the total for Senator Barack Obama of Illinois, her rival for the Democratic presidential nomination. Mr. McCain of Arizona, a fierce critic of earmarks, did not obtain any because “he did not request any,” said Ryan Alexander, president of Taxpayers for Common Sense.</div>
So what's the word, people? http://www.dailykos.com/ Primary poll from Public Policy Polling (PDF) 2/16-17 (2/11) 822 likely voters. MoE 3.4% Barack Obama 53% (50%) Hillary Clinton 40% (39%) Obama's lead is pretty much across the board: among women and men; white, African American, and "other"; and voters in all under-65 age groups. Clinton leads among voters 65 and older. Meanwhile, SUSA has polled general election match-ups in Wisconsin. SUSA 2/15-17. 537 registered voters. MoE 4.3% Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 49% Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% -------------------------------------------- Meanwhile: http://americanresearchgroup.com/ February 18, 2008 - Wisconsin Primary Preferences Wisconsin Democrats Feb 6-7 Feb 15-16 Feb 17-18 Clinton 50% 49% 42% Obama 41% 43% 52% ______________________________ Frankly, the only polls that I trust anymore are from SUSA. I would have to imagine that Obama is slightly ahead, though not by much, given the split in support against McCaine. As per Hillary's recent onslaught about Obama using words from a Duval Patrick speech, you knew she was going to float something the day before election day. And, this problems means (and I stress probably), we aren't going to have to watch her "cry" tomorrow, like she did on the last two big election days. All in all, not too bad.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (such sweet thunder @ Feb 18 2008, 10:44 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>So what's the word, people? http://www.dailykos.com/ Primary poll from Public Policy Polling (PDF) 2/16-17 (2/11) 822 likely voters. MoE 3.4% Barack Obama 53% (50%) Hillary Clinton 40% (39%) Obama's lead is pretty much across the board: among women and men; white, African American, and "other"; and voters in all under-65 age groups. Clinton leads among voters 65 and older. Meanwhile, SUSA has polled general election match-ups in Wisconsin. SUSA 2/15-17. 537 registered voters. MoE 4.3% Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 49% Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% -------------------------------------------- Meanwhile: http://americanresearchgroup.com/ February 18, 2008 - Wisconsin Primary Preferences Wisconsin Democrats Feb 6-7 Feb 15-16 Feb 17-18 Clinton 50% 49% 42% Obama 41% 43% 52% ______________________________ Frankly, the only poll that I trust anymore are from SUSA. I would have to imagine that Obama is slightly ahead, though not by much, given the split in support against McCaine. As per Hillary's recent onslaught about Obama using words from a Duval Patrick speech, you knew she was going to float something the day before election day. And, this problems means (and I stress probably), weren't not going to have to watch her "cry" tomorrow, like she did on the last two big election days. All in all, not too bad.</div> She's an idiot, she takes comments from other people too. Plus Obama has written two books, this doesn't invalidate anything, it just makes her look more like a Male Douche.
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CNN recently released a poll that said Obama was only down by 2% in Texas. Like I said before, I am ten times bitten eleven times shy in terms of any polls that are not conducted by Survey USA. That's why this news is promising: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/2/18/23.../575/226/459452 New poll from Survey USA show a tight race in Texas with Hillary leading Obama by 5% points. Key findings: Obama leads by 20% among men and Hillary leads by 27% among women. Here's how SurveyUSA see the race in a nutshell: * Jr1886's diary :: :: * Depending on Hispanic Turnout, Clinton is Either Slightly Ahead, or Not so Slightly Ahead, in Texas Democratic Primary: In a Democratic Primary in Texas today, 02/18/08, 15 days to the vote, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 50% to 45%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KTRK-TV Houston, KTVT-TV Dallas, and KRLD-AM radio Dallas. BUT: there is "give" in these numbers that must be mentioned in the same breath. Among Hispanic voters, Clinton leads 2:1. SurveyUSA estimates that Hispanics make-up 32% of Democratic primary voters in a Primary today. If Hispanics vote in larger numbers, Clinton's lead is larger than the 5 points shown here. If Hispanics vote in smaller numbers, Obama runs stronger than these numbers show. Among white voters, Clinton leads by 12. Among black voters, Obama leads by 57. Race Gap is 69 points. Among males, Obama leads by 20. Among females, Clinton leads by 27. Gender Gap is 47 points. Among registered Democrats, Clinton up 14. Among Independents, Obama up 28. Among voters under age 50, Obama by 6. Among Voters 50+, Clinton by 17. Age Gap is 23 points. Clinton ahead in South Texas and West Texas. Obama and Clinton within the margin of sampling error in North Texas, East Texas, and Central Texas. Link for the poll: http://www.surveyusa.com/... __________________________________________________________________________ A margin of 5% is quite a closing job over the last week, especially given the few numbers of undecided (which usually break for Clinton as pseudo-incumbent). Tomorrow may really be the day that decides the election. Momentum from a victory will probably push this to close to a dead heat.
Why survey USA? Rasmussen has been extremely accurate the last 4 election cycles. I prefer them because they use robots to call people, so the pollsters aren't able to hint or otherwise persuade people to answer any particular way. Rasmussen is a really smart dude, too. Zogby has been accurate in some cycles, but not consistent. He's a great pollster, too.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Denny Crane @ Feb 19 2008, 04:29 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>Why survey USA? Rasmussen has been extremely accurate the last 4 election cycles. I prefer them because they use robots to call people, so the pollsters aren't able to hint or otherwise persuade people to answer any particular way.</div> I bet if Gore was running, their polls would show him with a substantial lead.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (MikeDC @ Feb 19 2008, 04:53 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Denny Crane @ Feb 19 2008, 04:29 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>Why survey USA? Rasmussen has been extremely accurate the last 4 election cycles. I prefer them because they use robots to call people, so the pollsters aren't able to hint or otherwise persuade people to answer any particular way.</div> I bet if Gore was running, their polls would show him with a substantial lead. </div> Dunno if they ask questions about polishing all the trees in the forest.
MSNBC has Obama leading Hillary 1116-985 in pledged delegates. That certainly is a nice cushion. Hopefully her Hispanic voters don't show up to the polls as much, since I believe Obama supporters are generally more likely to go out of their way to vote (among their younger voters at least). BTW I'm Hispanic so I'm not racist.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (huevonkiller @ Feb 19 2008, 12:46 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>MSNBC has Obama leading Hillary 1116-985 in pledged delegates. That certainly is a nice cushion. Hopefully her Hispanic voters don't show up to the polls as much, since I believe Obama supporters are generally more likely to go out of their way to vote (among their younger voters at least). BTW I'm Hispanic so I'm not racist.</div> Out of curiosity, if you weren't hispanic would you be racist?
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (MikeDC @ Feb 19 2008, 02:08 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (huevonkiller @ Feb 19 2008, 12:46 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>MSNBC has Obama leading Hillary 1116-985 in pledged delegates. That certainly is a nice cushion. Hopefully her Hispanic voters don't show up to the polls as much, since I believe Obama supporters are generally more likely to go out of their way to vote (among their younger voters at least). BTW I'm Hispanic so I'm not racist.</div> Out of curiosity, if you weren't hispanic would you be racist? </div> Well I certainly did not have to qualify myself in my previous post, but the possibility that I am racist against Hispanics is low if I happen to be Hispanic.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (huevonkiller @ Feb 19 2008, 09:26 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>After about 2% of the votes are tallied, Obama finally is declared the winner. 9-0... Give up Hill'.</div> It's not give-up time, but she basically needs a rout in PA/OH and a comfortable win in TX to have any kind of chance of convincing a critical mass of superdelegates to swing in her direction, imo.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Scott May @ Feb 19 2008, 09:54 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (huevonkiller @ Feb 19 2008, 09:26 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>After about 2% of the votes are tallied, Obama finally is declared the winner. 9-0... Give up Hill'.</div> It's not give-up time, but she basically needs a rout in PA/OH and a comfortable win in TX to have any kind of chance of convincing a critical mass of superdelegates to swing in her direction, imo. </div> Impossible, Texas alone is a dead heat and even if Obama loses by 2%, he still has at least a 50% shot to win more delegates from Texas because of the way the counties in Texas are set up (IIRC).
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Black Mamba @ Feb 19 2008, 10:04 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>The American people don't want Hillary, get the point you stupid cunt.</div> Now there's the sort of progressive spirit for change we can all get on board with! <div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Scott May)</div><div class='quotemain'>It's not give-up time, but she basically needs a rout in PA/OH and a comfortable win in TX to have any kind of chance of convincing a critical mass of superdelegates to swing in her direction, imo.</div> That'll be ugly
