Obama Opens Up 4 Point Lead in Virginia

Discussion in 'Off-Topic' started by Денг Гордон, Sep 15, 2008.

  1. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    ^^^ If it wasn't on DailyKOS, it can't be a good poll!

    (Not that Fox is any better as a biased source)
     
  2. Денг Гордон

    Денг Гордон Member

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    Nothing like a good Rasmussen small sample size poll : D

    If you look at the internals of that poll, you can tell it is a poorly conducted survey. That poll has McCain as more favorable towards remedy the economy, which goes against every other poll, and even with that, Obama is still only down 2 points.
     
  3. Real

    Real Dumb and Dumbest

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    Fox and DailyKos are two totally different media outlets.
     
  4. Real

    Real Dumb and Dumbest

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    So I'm assuming it fails the BG7 test for accuracy?
     
  5. Денг Гордон

    Денг Гордон Member

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    Rasmussen did a Sunday only poll, which is apt to be more favorable to a Republican candidate, while using a small sample size, and had a large error (+/- 4.5).
     
  6. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Rasmussen multiplies the Democrats' votes by 5/3. No wonder it's close!
     
  7. Денг Гордон

    Денг Гордон Member

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    Obama underpolled in the SurveyUSA poll during the primaries, and significantly underpolled in the final Rasmussen poll for the Democratic Primaries. He outperformed the final Rasmussen poll by 116%.
     
  8. porky88

    porky88 King of Kings

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    I really don't have a clue what will happen with Virginia.

    Virginia is a pure toss up. All these polls will be in the margin of error or at least the ones that are close to accurate. Once again though, Obama will have a ton of new supporters backing him in this state and that plays to his advantage. On the flip side, the state hasn't gone blue since LBJ, that plays to McCain's advantage.
     

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