That's when you know the campaign is in trouble! Arizona would probably be leaning Obama if he was running against another Republican, but since it's John McCain's home state, Obama is running strong there. McCain's lead has eroded down to 5.2 according to RCP.
I just heard that Obama is making a stop in Arizona as part of his Western swing, and that they are going to ramp up advertising. That would be hilarious if they won Arizona...it'd be even better if it was the tipping point state.
I don't see how McCain hasn't just stopped listening to his campaign advisors. Does the man not have his own mind? I could easily run a better campaign than McCain's advisers are right now. I could have ran a better campaign than Hillary's adviser (and so could anyone that realized that the primaries were proportional, and not winner takes all, which apparently Hillary's top advisers thought they were all winner take alls and thought California would clinch it for them).