Kerry won by 20 in PA apparently in 2004. People forget that not everyone can leave their jobs to vote. Here are the exit poll numbers from 2004 that were released at 5pm EST. ----AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH Kerry 45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57 Bush 55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41 http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/11/2/135756/299 As you can see, exit polls were completely unreliable in 2004. Let's just wait until the votes are counted.
Exit polls showing Obama winning virtually every black voter in America and more than 2/3 of Hispanics. Obama crushing McCain among women and a slight lead among men (this will likely fall back to McCain). Among first time voters, Obama is getting a crushing majority, at 72%...and 73% in Indiana.
Yeah, but if Obama is within 5 points of McCain with Lake County yet to be counted, you have to imagine Obama will win the state. 52 to 47 in Indiana now, Obama lead....still 1% reporting. 62 to 37 in Kentucky, 0% reporting. 67 to 33 in New Hampshire, 1% reporting, Obama lead.
Kentucky goes to McCain 62-36. Real Clear Politics average going into today was McCain +13.5% over 4 polls. So much for the polls, at least in Kentucky. McCain almost doubled that margin.
McCain is going to lose Indiana. These are small town's reporting, and Obama has a lead. Obama is going to murder him in Gary and Indianapolis. McCain's in a lot of trouble.
MSNBC is basically calling Pennsylvania (while not calling it). The Reverend Wright ads backfired, drawing out huge black vote. Obama expected to get a 600,000+ margin in Philadelphia, and another large margin in Pittsburgh.
With Pennyslvania locked up for Obama, McCain's likely only path of victory is giving up the combined Kerry/Gore map to Obama and nothing more. (Well he could give up Montana or North Dakota I guess, but nothing more than that).
Huh? Polls aren't closed there and of the few returns it is 51-48 Obama. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/state/#IN 50-49% Obama now with 2% reporting.
0% of the precincts were in with those numbers, so assuming that is the final margin is a little hasty.
Obma is running strong in these Indiana small towns. The only thing alarming for Obama is that he is doing poorly in the Ohio border towns, so that couldbe an indication that he might do poorly in Ohio. However, if he wins Indiana, which looks like a very good chance of that happening now, he won't need Ohio.
McCain should be cleaning up these small towns like Hillary Clinton did, but he's not. Obama is going to murder McCain in big margins in Indianapolis and Gary. Obama only won like 10% of Indiana counties in the primaries. Obama is leading McCain in 3 counties right now where Hillary absolutely demolished Obama. Nothing is for certain, but the early returns are certainly looking really good for Obama in Indiana.
