Al Bore Blather

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by Denny Crane, Nov 10, 2008.

  1. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    This supercomputer must be like an aircraft carrier. When it operates, there's a whole fleet that goes along with it. In other words, all the power requirements and generators and the like emit the CO2.
     
  2. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    My guess is, the power plants that generate the electricity that the computer runs on emit CO2. Which isn't really a big shocking discovery.

    They basically just put out a press release saying that they'd discovered that their new computer runs on electricity. And then botched even that pathetically stupid revelation.

    On the other hand, maybe the computer is actually a big box of gerbils. Then it really would generate CO2.

    barfo
     
  3. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Two articles from the same newspaper:

    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/12/30/BAGD150KFJ.DTL


    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/02/01/MNE3UPTSC.DTL

     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2009
  4. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    First article makes the front page, second is buried on page 14.
     
  5. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    The first one is potentially bad news, the second one is a report of situation normal. Of course the first one gets more play. That's how news works, for every subject. Normality is not front page news.

    It's not a conspiracy.

    barfo
     
  6. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    They "relocated" the supposedly last few polar bears who haven't yet drowned to Guantanamo Bay, since it'll need inhabitants soon and they needed the real estate for Al Gore statuary.
     
  7. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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  8. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    http://www.newscientist.com/article...nce-to-save-mankind.html?full=true&print=true

    One last chance to save mankind



    With his 90th birthday in July, a trip into space scheduled for later in the year and a new book out next month, 2009 promises to be an exciting time for James Lovelock. But the originator of the Gaia theory, which describes Earth as a self-regulating planet, has a stark view of the future of humanity. He tells Gaia Vince we have one last chance to save ourselves - and it has nothing to do with nuclear power

    Your work on atmospheric chlorofluorocarbons led eventually to a global CFC ban that saved us from ozone-layer depletion. Do we have time to do a similar thing with carbon emissions to save ourselves from climate change?

    Not a hope in hell. Most of the "green" stuff is verging on a gigantic scam. Carbon trading, with its huge government subsidies, is just what finance and industry wanted. It's not going to do a damn thing about climate change, but it'll make a lot of money for a lot of people and postpone the moment of reckoning. I am not against renewable energy, but to spoil all the decent countryside in the UK with wind farms is driving me mad. It's absolutely unnecessary, and it takes 2500 square kilometres to produce a gigawatt - that's an awful lot of countryside.

    What about work to sequester carbon dioxide?

    That is a waste of time. It's a crazy idea - and dangerous. It would take so long and use so much energy that it will not be done.

    Do you still advocate nuclear power as a solution to climate change?

    It is a way for the UK to solve its energy problems, but it is not a global cure for climate change. It is too late for emissions reduction measures.

    So are we doomed?

    There is one way we could save ourselves and that is through the massive burial of charcoal. It would mean farmers turning all their agricultural waste - which contains carbon that the plants have spent the summer sequestering - into non-biodegradable charcoal, and burying it in the soil. Then you can start shifting really hefty quantities of carbon out of the system and pull the CO<sub>2</sub> down quite fast.

    Would it make enough of a difference?

    Yes. The biosphere pumps out 550 gigatonnes of carbon yearly; we put in only 30 gigatonnes. Ninety-nine per cent of the carbon that is fixed by plants is released back into the atmosphere within a year or so by consumers like bacteria, nematodes and worms. What we can do is cheat those consumers by getting farmers to burn their crop waste at very low oxygen levels to turn it into charcoal, which the farmer then ploughs into the field. A little CO<sub>2</sub> is released but the bulk of it gets converted to carbon. You get a few per cent of biofuel as a by-product of the combustion process, which the farmer can sell. This scheme would need no subsidy: the farmer would make a profit. This is the one thing we can do that will make a difference, but I bet they won't do it.

    Do you think we will survive?

    I'm an optimistic pessimist. I think it's wrong to assume we'll survive 2 °C of warming: there are already too many people on Earth. At 4 °C we could not survive with even one-tenth of our current population. The reason is we would not find enough food, unless we synthesised it. Because of this, the cull during this century is going to be huge, up to 90 per cent. The number of people remaining at the end of the century will probably be a billion or less. It has happened before: between the ice ages there were bottlenecks when there were only 2000 people left. It's happening again.

    I don't think humans react fast enough or are clever enough to handle what's coming up. Kyoto was 11 years ago. Virtually nothing's been done except endless talk and meetings.

    I don't think we can react fast enough or are clever enough to handle what's coming up


    It's a depressing outlook.

    Not necessarily. I don't think 9 billion is better than 1 billion. I see humans as rather like the first photosynthesisers, which when they first appeared on the planet caused enormous damage by releasing oxygen - a nasty, poisonous gas. It took a long time, but it turned out in the end to be of enormous benefit. I look on humans in much the same light. For the first time in its 3.5 billion years of existence, the planet has an intelligent, communicating species that can consider the whole system and even do things about it. They are not yet bright enough, they have still to evolve quite a way, but they could become a very positive contributor to planetary welfare.

    How much biodiversity will be left after this climatic apocalypse?

    We have the example of the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum event 55 million years ago. About the same amount of CO<sub>2</sub> was put into the atmosphere as we are putting in and temperatures rocketed by about 5 °C over about 20,000 years. The world became largely desert. The polar regions were tropical and most life on the planet had the time to move north and survive. When the planet cooled they moved back again. So there doesn't have to be a massive extinction. It's already moving: if you live in the countryside as I do you can see the changes, even in the UK.

    If you were younger, would you be fearful?

    No, I have been through this kind of emotional thing before. It reminds me of when I was 19 and the second world war broke out. We were very frightened but almost everyone was so much happier. We're much better equipped to deal with that kind of thing than long periods of peace. It's not all bad when things get rough. I'll be 90 in July, I'm a lot closer to death than you, but I'm not worried. I'm looking forward to being 100.

    Are you looking forward to your trip into space this year?

    Very much. I've got my camera ready!

    Do you have to do any special training?

    I have to go in the centrifuge to see if I can stand the g-forces. I don't anticipate a problem because I spent a lot of my scientific life on ships out on rough oceans and I have never been even slightly seasick so I don't think I'm likely to be space sick. They gave me an expensive thorium-201 heart test and then put me on a bicycle. My heart was performing like an average 20 year old, they said.

    I bet your wife is nervous.

    No, she's cheering me on. And it's not because I'm heavily insured, because I'm not.

    Profile

    James Lovelock is a British chemist, inventor and environmentalist. He is best known for formulating the controversial Gaia hypothesis in the 1970s, which states that organisms interact with and regulate Earth's surface and atmosphere. Later this year he will travel to space as Richard Branson's guest aboard Virgin Galactic's SpaceShipTwo. His latest book, The Vanishing Face of Gaia, is published by Basic Books in February.
     
  9. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Interesting post, since he seems to disagree with you completely about global warming.

    barfo
     
  10. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    "Yes. The biosphere pumps out 550 gigatonnes of carbon yearly; we put in only 30 gigatonnes. Ninety-nine per cent of the carbon that is fixed by plants is released back into the atmosphere within a year or so by consumers like bacteria, nematodes and worms."

    "Most of the "green" stuff is verging on a gigantic scam. Carbon trading, with its huge government subsidies, is just what finance and industry wanted. It's not going to do a damn thing about climate change, but it'll make a lot of money for a lot of people and postpone the moment of reckoning. I am not against renewable energy, but to spoil all the decent countryside in the UK with wind farms is driving me mad. It's absolutely unnecessary, and it takes 2500 square kilometres to produce a gigawatt - that's an awful lot of countryside."

    He certainly does agree with me.
     
  11. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Really?

    So you believe that most of the human population is going to die this century from global warming? Because that's his position:

    If that's your position, that's cool. It just seems at odds with the global-warming-is-a-hoax thesis that I thought you were supporting.

    barfo
     
  12. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    I am quite deliberate about differentiating between "global warming" and "man made global warming." The former is quite obvious (we had an ice age 10,000 years ago and it's steadily gotten warmer since). The latter is a scam.

    I've posted that I am a fan of nuclear energy (lots of cheap, efficient, and non-polluting energy), and that our efforts would surely be better spent on figuring out how to deal with the coastal areas being flooded (it's going to happen no matter what).

    It's odd to me that many of the same people who accused Bush of fear mongering re: terrorism, but are gullible about the fear mongering over man-made global warming.

    Go figure.
     
  13. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Yet this guy who you claim to agree with clearly thinks otherwise. What he thinks is a scam is the solutions proposed, not the effect.

    Well, if global warming is going to kill 90% of the population, as this dude claims, does it really matter whether it is man-made or not?

    Honestly, the article you posted is the most fear-mongering thing I've ever seen about global warming.

    barfo
     
  14. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    No, it doesn't matter if it's man made or not. What's absurd is to throw tens of $trillions at things that are irrelevant and not anything to do with the cause or the cure. We'd be better off spending a fraction of that money shoring up the coast lines and encouraging people to move inland.

    This guy's proposal is simple, doesn't cost very much, seems to have a sound basis in science (seems to), and addresses the direct concerns (claims) of the scam artists.

    I don't have a crystal ball or anything, but reason dictates that we may actually be at or beyond the peak of the current global warming cycle. A lot of really smart people working in the field seem to think we're in a cooling period (and 10 years of climate data show we are). What I do know is the dire predictions of the scam artists scare me no more than the Mayan predicted apocalypse in 2012 or an invasion by little green men from outer space.

    5% warmer or 3% cooler is going to be hell on people worldwide.
     
  15. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    We shouldn't try to find a cure, we should just treat the symptom? Isn't that a bit defeatist?

    barfo
     
  16. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    I don't think we have the technology to nudge the planet a tad further from the sun :)

    We're talking about forces that are really huge and processes that are geologic in scale and ones we've had no effect on to date.

    :dunno:
     
  17. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    So you claim. But the numbers that your article cited say that we cause 5% of the CO2. That 5% may make all the difference. The author claims it will:

    barfo
     
  18. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Over 20,000 year period. Geologic, as I said.
     
  19. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    barfo
     
  20. rocketeer

    rocketeer Active Member

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    when he says "we" there, does he mean the we from earlier that was 30 gigatonnes or does he mean the entire earth and its 550 gigatonnes?

    i have to assume he means the earth as a whole. if not, there is a much bigger problem if 30 gigatonnes caused a 5 degree increase in 20,000 years and 550 gigatonnes are currently being put in.
     
    Last edited: Jan 23, 2009

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