I like looking at models like these that are built off of actual data instead of just hunches like most analysts. But, like any model, we must remember that it is just a framework and not a truth. Even in their simulations, the Blazers won over 40% of the time. This game is going to the team that is better prepared and wants it more.
Channing Frye scoring more points than Blake, Travis or LaMarcus about says it all for me.. and Shavlik scoring two points. Yeah right.