That "formula" is crap. I'm really impressed that Leinart, Tim Couch, & Alex Smith are the 1st, 4th, & 5th best QBs to come out of college in the past 20+ years. Brilliant. How bout taking into account scheme? There's no doubt the spread offense is killing any use of statistical analysis when it comes down to trying to find NFL prospects at the QB position. I do think that experience is very important in evaluating QB talent. It gives you a good sample size to breakdown game film and see flaws in their game and whether or not they can make the leap. With one year wonders like Akili Smith or Mark Sanchez this year, it's just too difficult to see how they react under pressure, take hits, and read defenses. How does a defensive coordinator game plan for a guy that only has a few starts? They don't. It's hard to force them into doing things that they aren't comfortable with because there just isn't enough film out there showing possible exploits in their game. When you get a 3 or 4 year starter, defenses have had time to scheme for them, and those QBs have had to adjust and react to things that they aren't comfortable with. That's when you see their true colors. The Browns blew it with Derek Anderson when they didn't trade him after he had that one good season. You can't rely on a QB that struggles to complete 55% of their passes on any level.
