Celtic Fan & Black Mamba's UFC Heavyweight Grand Prix

Discussion in 'MMA - Mixed Martial Arts' started by Celtic Fan, Mar 20, 2009.

  1. Celtic Fan

    Celtic Fan Well-Known Member

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    So Mamba and I will be co-writing this tough event.

    Champ: Brock Lesnar
    #1 Contender: Frank Mir

    Both guys are out of the Grand Prix, winner gets to face the Grand Prix winner

    The 16 guys in the GP.

    1. Cheick Kongo
    2. Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera
    3. Randy Couture
    4. Shane Carwin
    5. Gabriel Gonzaga
    6. Cain Velasquez
    7. Junior Dos
    8. Heath Herring
    9. Antoni Hardonk
    10. Justin McCully
    11. Pat berry
    12. Mike Ciesnolevicz
    13. Denis Stojnic
    14. Dan Everson
    15. Neil Grove
    16. Mustapha al Turk

    Toughest Ommissions --- ha, are you kidding, it was rought getting 16 decent HW's
    I didn't ask Coleman to add the weight and fight at HW and I am going by the recent news that Cro-Cop has signed a 3 fight extension with DREAM so both of those guys were omitted.

    1st Round matchups
    #1 Chieck Kongo vs #16 Mustapha al Turk
    #2 Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera vs #15 Neil Grove
    #3 Randy Couture vs #14 Dan Everson
    #4 Shane Carwin vs #13 Denis Stojnic
    #5 Gabriel Gonzaga vs #12 Mike Ciesnolevicz
    #6 Cain Velasquez vs #11 Pat Barry
    #7 Junior Dos Santos vs #10 Justin McCully
    #8 Heath Herring vs #9 Antoni Hardonk

    Mamba will write up the matchups for the #1,3,5 and 7 seed match ups and I'll do the #2,4,6 and 8 matchups. Mamba will be posting the first round results later today.
     
    Last edited: Mar 20, 2009
  2. Mamba

    Mamba The King is Back Staff Member Global Moderator

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    #1 Cheick Kongo vs #16 Mustapha al Turk
    We've seen this fight before and the only difference a second time would be no low blows.
    Winner - Kongo via KO

    #2 Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera vs #15 Neil Grove
    Nog may have a few too many miles on him even as a relatively young 32 yr old fighter, but that would only affect him against top shelf fighters and in all honesty we’ve only seen it once against a re-dedicated Mir. Grove is dead meat here, especially if Nog is smart and takes it to the ground quick
    Winner - Noguiera via Sub

    #3 Randy Couture vs #14 Dan Everson
    Even at the young age of 45, Couture is no slouch. He was holding his own against Lesnar until he got caught with a powerful right hand. His standup is good, his wrestling is still top notch.
    Winner - Couture via Decision

    #4 Shane Carwin vs #13 Denis Stojnic
    Carwin is the real deal and a beast. Gonzaga got him down and Carwin made it back to his feet relatively easily. Stojnic is a very young and very good ground fighter, bu he’d never get it there because Carwin would blast him.
    Winner - Carwin via KO

    #5 Gabriel Gonzaga vs #12 Mike Ciesnolevicz
    Somewhat of a disappointment recently, Gonzaga is still a threat with his hands and on the ground. Unfortunate for him, he got his shit rocked by Carwin recently. Can Gonzaga return it around in a Grand Prix?
    Winner - Gonzaga via Sub

    #6 Cain Velasquez vs #11 Pat Berry
    Now here’s a great looking fight. Two guys who get KO’s! oh wait Velasquez gets his KO’s via ground and pound. Berry is a very good stand up fighter with a questionable ground game Vs a darn good wrestler? Never mind, game over for Berry vs this level of wrestler with heavy hands
    Winner - Velasquez via KO

    #7 Junior Dos Santos vs #10 Justin McCully
    Though young UFC fighter, Dos Santos stormed onto the scene. He's got a lot of potential and a lot of power.
    Winner - Dos Santos via KO

    #8 Heath Herring vs #9 Antoni Hardonk
    Wow, Heath gets what he wants.. a guy who will stand with him. Problem is, Heath is the less talented striker here. Hardonk is the choice here.
    Winner - Hardonk via KO

    Fighters in the 2nd Round
    #1 Cheick Kongo
    #2 Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera
    #3 Randy Couture
    #4 Shane Carwin
    #5 Gabriel Gonzaga
    #6 Cain Velasquez
    #7 Junior Dos Santos
    #9 Antoni Hardonk


    Round 2 will be up later. For Round 2, Celtic Fan will be doing the odd numbers and I'll be doing the even numbers.
     
    Last edited: Mar 20, 2009
  3. Celtic Fan

    Celtic Fan Well-Known Member

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    #1 Cheick Kongo
    #2 Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera
    #3 Randy Couture
    #4 Shane Carwin
    #5 Gabriel Gonzaga
    #6 Cain Velasquez
    #7 Junior Dos Santos
    #9 Antoni Hardonk

    #1 Cheick Kongo vs #9 Antoni Hardonk
    A great match up of two very good strikers. Hardonk is the more precise striker, Kongo hits harder and IMO is the more rounded MMA fighter. I could see Hardonk being faster and winning the standup war and Kongo going for a takedown and doing alright controlling the fight on the ground. Hardonk has the striking to win this fight, but Kongo is not an easy guy to KO and he's at least got a bit of a ground game. Especially since he has Rampage to help him with that.
    Winner - Kongo via Dec

    #2 Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera vs #7 Junior Dos Santos
    In the second round, Big Nog gets matched up with his training parter Junior Dos Santos. Nog has taken some beatings before and I think they catch up with him here. I predict an upset KO win for Dos Santos
    Winner - Dos Santos via KO

    #3 Randy Couture vs #6 Cain Velasquez
    Randy is still a very good fighter, but he's running into a guy who is almost as good at wrestling as he is. Randy will have the more polished striking, Cain will have the power on his side. I smell an upset here as Cain's youth, size and strength will win this fight in the later rounds.
    Winner - Velasquez via KO

    #4 Shane Carwin vs #5 Gabriel Gonzaga
    These two have fought already and Gonzaga got rocked. Carwin survived being taken down and survived the ground game. I don't see any difference in a rematch.
    Winner - Carwin via KO

    This time around Mamba did the even ranked fighters (#2 & #4) and I did the odds (#1 & #3)

    Fighters to the Semi-Finals
    #1 Chieck Kongo
    #7 Junior Dos Santos
    #6 Cain Velasquez
    #4 Shane Carwin
     
  4. Mamba

    Mamba The King is Back Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Semi-Finals
    #1 Chieck Kongo
    #7 Junior Dos Santos
    #6 Cain Velasquez
    #4 Shane Carwin

    #6 Cain Velasquez vs #7 Junior Dos Santos
    Dos Santos has been very impressive in his 2 UFC fights and his prior fights as well. Cain Velasquez has looked as dominant too. This is a tough matchup of 2 of the best young prospects in the UFC. I think Cain can keep this standing, a bad idea IMO, or take it to the ground, the way to go. Dos Santos trains at blackhouse with the Nogeuira's and one Anderson Silva. They're amazing fighters, but not top shelf wrestlers. Velasquez is a very good wrestler with immaculate ground and pound. I think Cain takes this fight with his ability to be on top on the ground and control the action.
    Winner - Velasquez via Dec.

    #1 Chieck Kongo vs. #4 Shane Carwin
    This is an interesting matchup. Carwin is huge, Chieck is more seasoned and the better striker. However, I like Carwin's ability to wrestle and his power. I think this fight could go past the 1st round, but I've got to go with Carwin.
    Winner - Carwin via KO


    Heavyweight Title Fight
    Champ Brock Lesnar vs. Interim Champ Frank Mir
    In the first matchup, Mir was getting rocked until he caught Lesnar in a sub. I don't think that happens again. Lesnar's strength and size is too much of an advantage.
    Winner - Lesnar via KO

    GP Final
    #6 Cain Velazquez vs. #4 Shane Carwin
     
  5. Mamba

    Mamba The King is Back Staff Member Global Moderator

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    GP Final
    #4 Shane Carwin vs #6 Cain Velasquez
    Carwin is everything Velasquez is, but better.
    Winner - Carwin by KO
     
  6. Mamba

    Mamba The King is Back Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Shane Carwin vs Brock Lesnar
    *will be updated soon :]
     
  7. Mamba

    Mamba The King is Back Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Champ Brock Lesnar vs GP Winner Shane Carwin
    Carwin's miracle ride stops here. Both have great power, both are huge, and both can dominate a fight. However, Lesnar is much more athletic and is faster than Carwin. Celtic Fan and I both think that Lesnar's athletic abilities would be able to give him the edge over Carwin.
    Winner - Brock Lesnar via Decision
     
  8. Mamba

    Mamba The King is Back Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Thread is now open for discussion.
     
  9. Celtic Fan

    Celtic Fan Well-Known Member

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    I'd also like to point out that as Lesnar gets more experience in the cage, he's slowing down and letting the fight develop more. He's not longer like a rookie bball player who is trying to do everything at top speed and making mistakes. Nothing shows this more than his first fight with Frank Mir where Lesnar had Mir in trouble and was dominanting him but he left an opening going for the kill and Mir subbed him.
    I think Lesnar will use his strength and speed avantages to control opponents more and more to win fights and he'll be very tough to stop as his BJJ defense skills improve.
     
  10. Mamba

    Mamba The King is Back Staff Member Global Moderator

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    *crickets*
     
  11. Celtic Fan

    Celtic Fan Well-Known Member

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    how can u refute perfection??? ;)
     
  12. speeds

    speeds $2.50 highball, $1.50 beer Staff Member Administrator GFX Team

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    The Carwin hype machine is getting a little out of hand. Let's bring it back to neutral for a second.

    His win over Gonzaga is a great one, but the reality of it is that it is his first and only win against a quality opponent. His first seven fights were against unknowns and his three opponents prior to Gonzaga have a combined record of 22-15. Gonzaga was his first test and we didn't get to see much because of a flash knockout.

    Carwin was a D2 wrestling champion but that was literally ten years ago. Gonzaga had one shot in the fight and he took Carwin down with a rudimentary foot trip. We have yet to see if he has anything on the ground, let alone a guard. Most top heavyweights would work to take him down.

    He can take and throw a punch, for sure. Gonzaga hit him square on the jaw with two strong straight shots and he didn't go down. He flinched (Rogan exclaimed that Carwin's eyes rolled on the second punch) but he didn't drop. Kicks, kick defense, clinch, and other standing grappling is still a question mark. Guys like Kongo, Hardonk, and dos Santos would attack his legs and knees immediately.

    We also don't know if he has any conditioning. Its easy to assume he does but this is someone who up until this year wasn't a full-time fighter. You put him up against guys who have been training five or six days a week since they were fifteen and you have a disparity.

    His win over Gonzaga has definitely earned him something but as we saw with Werdum, it doesn't a title contender make. It says more about the HW division that he's suddenly in the picture than it does about the accomplishment in and of itself. I think many of the top-ten heavyweights would beat him today, including the younger guys (dos Santos, Velasquez).
     
  13. speeds

    speeds $2.50 highball, $1.50 beer Staff Member Administrator GFX Team

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    Also, Evanson sucks. Couture beats him within the first two minutes.

    I like all of your picks but I'm 50/50 on Kongo/Carwin.
     
  14. Celtic Fan

    Celtic Fan Well-Known Member

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    who exactly has Dos Santos beaten?
    an out of shape Werdum and a dutch fighter who lasted 41 seconds. Beyond that he's beaten a bunch of Brazilian no names and even lost via submission to one.
    How is he any more impressive than Carwin?

    Velasquez is a smaller version of Carwin with less power.

    One guy on Carwin's resume to look out for is ex-NFL player Rex Richards who is 6-1 and hasn't gone 3 minutes for any of his wins and lost via sub to Carwin. He's rumored to be on TUF 10. He may turn out to be an actual quality win for Carwin.

    Kongo IMO, is the guy most likely to win the fight because he has been working his sprawl and he has very good stand up. The issue I have his his last 2 losses have been to mediocre fighters who were strong ground fighters. Not a good sign vs a solid wrestler like Carwin he has a lot of power. Carwin's very aggressive once he gets you one the ground. He doesn't give opponents a chance to recover.

    His fight with Gonzaga made a believer out of me.
     
  15. Chocolove

    Chocolove Active Member

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    I am not so sure Velasquez loses to Carwin. Sure hes the smaller of the two fighters but I think his wrestling is better. Like Speeds said Gonzaga was able to take Carwin down on his first(?) shot pretty easily so theres no reason to think that Velasquez couldn't do it. The difference here is that once Velasquez has you down you stay down until the round is over or he lets you up.

    The more I think about it the harder it is for me to call though. I mean I believe Carwin is good but I dont know if hes better than Velasquez.
     
  16. speeds

    speeds $2.50 highball, $1.50 beer Staff Member Administrator GFX Team

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    I'm not comparing Carwin's credentials to theirs, but keep in mind Werdum beat Gonzaga twice and dos Santos crushed him, so shouldn't his win be (at least) on par with Carwin's? Also, throwing "out of shape" in there is a bit dubious. Werdum looked the same against Arlovski as he did against dos Santos. Velasquez doesn't have a resume either but that's the thing--were talking about fighters who aren't easy to compare because most of their fights have been against unknowns. Velasquez is a two-time All American wrestler from a high-end D1 school in ASU. IMHO he would dominate Carwin wrestling regardless of size advantage.
     
  17. Celtic Fan

    Celtic Fan Well-Known Member

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    Yes that is what is hard about the HW GP, figuring out how all these relative 'unknowns' would do.

    As for Velasquez, I had in the back of my mind his last fight where he took too long to finish off stojnic, a mediocre fighter who shouldn't even be in the UFC.
    But yeah his wrestling may be better than Carwin's. It's one of the fights I'm dying to see is Carwin vs Velasquez.

    Werdum looked vastly different over his last few fights and beating him is not the same as W vs Gonzaga at this point and time. Although Gonzaga appears to be the Joe Stevenson of the HW division ;)
     
  18. speeds

    speeds $2.50 highball, $1.50 beer Staff Member Administrator GFX Team

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    Stojnic was a legit fighter who showed up to the UFC in the worst shape of his life. He's got a great chin but the fight was a complete massacre with Velasquez hitting him with everything including the kitchen sink.


    [​IMG][​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
  19. speeds

    speeds $2.50 highball, $1.50 beer Staff Member Administrator GFX Team

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    I disagree. His fight before dos Santos was a quality win over Vera, though the stoppage was an early one.
     
  20. Celtic Fan

    Celtic Fan Well-Known Member

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    yeah but Vera turned into a basket case before facing Werdum...

    Hey Dos Santos could be a legit HW terror, but my point was that we haven't seen enough to tell yet. Carwin's win over an in shape and ready to go Gonzaga has been the most impressive win of all the young (in MMA experience) HW talent in the UFC not named Brock Lesnar.
     

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