"significantly better than the 21% that most people assume" What a random number. Why would "most" people assume 21%?
I think I heard the stat on the radio after saturday that the team who wins game 1 in a 7 game format has won like 290 out the 370 series.. or something like that. which puts it pretty close to the 21%... 21.7 to be exact I think.
The thing about that stat though that doesnt get taken into consideration... the team that wins game 1 usually is the better team that wins and thats why they have a higher seed and HCA... and win.. I'd be more interested to see these stats broken down by the 4/5 seed since traditionally the matchup and talent would be much closer than 1-8 and 2-7 and 3-6... just my two cents though.
Oh and evidently most men under 4-feet, with substantial hair on their feet, and are over 50-years old believe 19% of the time teams with HCA that have lost Game 1 will go on to win Game 2.