Is the West really getting stronger?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Sug, Jul 6, 2009.

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Has the West gotten stronger?

  1. Yes several new teams will fight for the playoffs

    13 vote(s)
    28.3%
  2. No It is still the Lakers and then everyone else

    18 vote(s)
    39.1%
  3. Too early to know for sure

    13 vote(s)
    28.3%
  4. It's complicated and I will explain in a post

    2 vote(s)
    4.3%
  1. Sug

    Sug Well-Known Member

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    I have seen the idea that the West has gotten stronger, but I question that statement with several points.

    #1 Out of the eight teams that made the playoffs last season, only two of them have taken steps that could have a major impact on their roster. The Lakers and Spurs both went out and looked to get better, although the Lakers have also lost a key role player, and might still lose out on Odom(although I think he signs with the Lakers).

    #2 Of the six remaining teams that made the playoffs last season, none have really done anything to make their teams better. If you disagree with this statement, please come with evidence to the contrary.

    #3 Houston, Phoenix, Minnesota, Memphis, OKC, The Clippers, and Sacramento are probably not going to make the playoffs. The Clippers might be able to make a push, but the other teams are just not there yet. Both Houston and the Suns are done, and have entered rebuilding mode.

    #4 Golden State is probably the odds on favorite to replace the Rockets in the top 8.

    #5 So of the probable Western playoff teams, you only have two teams that probably got better. The good news for the Blazers is simply that their roster is so young that the development alone should keep them in the top 4 in the West.
     
  2. BTOWN_HUSTLA

    BTOWN_HUSTLA NOW BUZZ KILLINGTON

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    well, Denver added Ty Lawson which should help them out somewhat. Not a huge upgrade. The L*kers got MUCH stronger for the next 3-4 years with Artest. The Spurs are keeping the Tim Duncan bandwagon alive with RJeff.

    That's all we really need to worry about. That and the east because we should be in the mindset of winning the west, not competing with the pretenders.
     
  3. RoyToy

    RoyToy Clown Town

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    The Blazers haven't landed a FA yet so that just means they're back on the path to the Jail Blazers. KP should be fired.
     
  4. RickyRubio

    RickyRubio He Hate Me

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    It is still going to be 7 teams in for sure and the rest fighting for the 8th spot. I think the playoffs are going to be the exact same teams next year, minus PHX and the rest with PHX will be fighting for 8th spot.

    Oh wait, I forgot that Houston fell off the face of the Earth. So it's the exact teams as last year, minus PHX and HOU. Then everyone else fights for 7th and 8th seed.
     
    Last edited: Jul 6, 2009
  5. rocketeer

    rocketeer Active Member

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    no, the west isn't getting stronger.

    one team has gotten significantly worse(the rockets). one team has definitely gotten better(the spurs).

    other than that, i don't think anyone has made a significant change. the suns losing shaq won't hurt that much. i don't think artest actually improves the lakers at all. denver still has 3 key players to resign to keep the same team as last year.

    this is good for the blazers because they along with teams like oklahoma city and memphis(though i think them adding randolph is going to cancel out any positive growth from their rookies) are the ones who stand to gain the most from internal improvements. portland is the only playoff team who can realistically expect to improve significantly this season from just the development of their own players.
     
  6. BTOWN_HUSTLA

    BTOWN_HUSTLA NOW BUZZ KILLINGTON

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    Artest gives the Lakers a real scoring threat in the second unit if Kobe's resting. That was a big weakness, getting points if Kobe sat...now they don't have that problem and get better defensively.
     
  7. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    The Lakers have largely held steady and will get worse if they don't re-sign Odom (but I expect that they will).

    Houston has, of course, gotten much worse with the loss of Yao.

    San Antonio should be better due to having Ginobili back. Jefferson will help, but much less than people believe based on his name.

    Denver has really not changed appreciably.

    Those are the top teams other than Portland. Portland, as it stands today, will improve due to Oden, Batum, Aldridge, Bayless and Rudy developing and Oden being fully recovered from surgery.

    So, I don't think the West is appreciably stronger and certainly not relative to Portland. San Antonio is the non-Portland team who improved the most and I think it's quite arguable as to whether that improvement is greater than, equal to or less than the improvement Portland will see just from internal development.
     
  8. crandc

    crandc Well-Known Member

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    Not really. Phoenix is rebuilding. They may just get a #8 slot. Forget Golden State. Houston if Yao can play will be a playoff team but not a contender. New Orleans may also fall out. As to who will rise, OKC just might sneak in if enough teams fall out. I'd say barring major injuries Lakers, Denver, Portland, San Antonio, Dallas, Utah are sure playoff teams. Clippers are a long shot. I'd say Memphis and Sacramento have no shot. Who am I leaving out?
     
  9. Mediocre Man

    Mediocre Man Mr. SportsTwo

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  10. oldmangrouch

    oldmangrouch persona non grata

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    When the "bottom feeders" like Thunder and T"Wolves get stronger, it makes the conference tougher. Even if they are no threat to make the play-offs, they still represent more hard games over the course of the season, and quite possibly a few more road losses.

    Of the contenders, I think the situation in SA is the most worrisome. Because of injuries and lack of quality depth, the Spurs underachieved last season. I may be in the minority, but I expect them to be back in the thick of things. If the L*kers re-sign Odom, the addition of Artest (and a possibly healthy Bynum) means they aren't going anywhere. Denver is a wildcard, as they could be just as strong, or flame out over personality issues. (after awhile, Karl always drives his players crazy)

    The rest of the Western contenders will be relying on beating the Blazers with experience, rather than talent. That approach may not work over the course of 82 games, but it just might in a 7 game series.
     
  11. STOMP

    STOMP mere fan

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    I'm not so sure about the Lakers resigning Odom. They've got a whole lot on the books and dude is 30 and slated to come off the bench... every dollar of his potential resigning will cost Buss double because they're over the lux tax line.

    San Antonio made some decent moves but getting another year older isn't a plus for Timmy and Manu... losing out on the Sheedstakes exposes their lack of frontline depth.

    Denver will be tough... Nene and Melo really impressed me.

    Phoenix & Houston... I've no idea whats what with the state of the Hornets but their owner is historically cheap and he's losing money on the club.

    Utah should be better with a recovered DWilliams. Boozer being in a contract year won't hurt their chances either. Dallas will probably stay solid.

    Of the playoff clubs, I think Portland stands to be the most improved as 2nd year players often take large steps forward in their production and the Blazers have 4 guys that cut their teeth last year.

    It's from the bottom of the West that I see potential for improvement. Golden State should be much better with a healthy Ellis. The Clips had horrible luck with injuries last season. Olk. City has maturing young talent and one of the few rooks who look to be solid contributers in Harden. The Kings should have a healthy Kevin Martin and their young front line shouldn't regress... I like the potential of Evans fitting with Martin. Thabeet gives Memphis a 2nd passable Big (MGasol being the other) and Conley, Mayo, and Gay should be another year better. The Timberwolves seem like they'll be terrible.

    STOMP
     
  12. Masbee

    Masbee -- Rookie of the Year

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    Yeah, ok. I just don't see it.

    I am not a Jefferson fan. I liked him once - 4 years ago. Ya know, when he played defense to go with his all'round, yet unspectacular offensive game. He was a team player, versatile and played both ends of the floor. Now - he is just another wing. Nothing special. I say BFD on the Spurs "big get".

    Artest. Very, very overrated. I will grant you he is a much bigger name than Ariza. He has a much larger entourage. He is much more creative with the hair.

    Artest is MADE for L.A. The town. Not the team.

    As far as making the Lakers "MUCH" better? Ummm, how? By taking quality shots away from Kobe and Gasol (shhhh, the true offensive anchor of the team, don't tell anyone), and turning them into crap shots?

    What's the over/under on how many games before Phil has to bench Artest to teach him a lesson on shot selection?

    Here are some numbers for you from last season:

    PER: RA: 15.6; TA: 15.5
    Win Shares: RA: 5.4; TA: 6.2
    Defensive Rating: RA: 103; TA: 102
    Offensive Rating: RA 104; TA: 112

    Artest is in his prime. That is good. But, means, what you see is what you get. Ariza is 24 this season, he may improve over last season. Or not. If he doesn't, he still was awful close to Artest in how he helped his team - a stacked team. I just don't see the Laker's need for what Artest brings that Ariza can't. We will see how it works for the Lakers.
     
  13. B-Roy

    B-Roy If it takes months

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    I think the goal of the Blazers from here on out should be to become a contender, and with that in mind, the top teams in the West (SA/LA) have improved, so that lowers our chances. Regardless of whether or not Portland is better than say, Utah, it doesn't do us any good if there's a tier of teams that are clearly above us.
     
  14. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

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    Lamar Odom isn't a scoring threat?
     
  15. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    There's isn't a tier of team clearly above Portland, in my opinion.

    Portland and San Antonio were tied last season. San Antonio gets the clear upgrade of a healthy Ginobili and the overrated upgrade of Richard Jefferson. Portland is going to have four key, talented players developing from their rookie seasons to their second years, which is generally a pretty large gain relative to one's career arc. And Oden will be fully recovered from surgery. So, I think that, at the very least, Portland will improve as much as San Antonio.

    LA was well ahead of Portland and will remain so unless they fail to re-sign Odom. If they don't get Odom back, they will likely remain ahead, but the gap will narrow.
     
  16. SteelBlaze1

    SteelBlaze1 Steeler/Blazer fan

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    I think "the west" has probably not gotten better, but LA and SA sure have.

    I read today that SA is also going to sign Glen Davis and will look to add McDyess. They just get better by the day. Granted it hasn't happened yet, but they are working on it.

    Portland needs to do something (not radical, just to do something), but they should try and improve the team. Maybe they have seen some major improvement with the current guys and feel they are okay with what they have. I don't know.

    My concern is that they are going to lose their cap space soon if they don't use it. But we shall see what KP will do. Hopefully in the next couple months, we will be able to judge if the "west" has truly gotten better.
     
  17. B-Roy

    B-Roy If it takes months

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    That's what I don't agree with. I'm sure all four will improve, but I'm not buying that they will improve enough to offset the acquisition of Jefferson and improved health.
     
  18. Idog1976

    Idog1976 Well-Known Member

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    Man not much to add. Well other then bashing on the Kobe and Artest combination ad naseum.

    Oldmangrouch and Stomp really nailed things especially the point about bottom feeders being MUCH better in the West.

    Minstrel really nailed down how San Antonio's pick up of Jefferson is over rated and Stomp points out how much better of a pickup Sheed would be (that says alot to me).

    Finally, Masbee knocks it out of the park with Artest. I have to add that Artest is crazy, no really, I mean that in the sense of one being mentally ill not in the "but girl you CRAZY!" Sense of the word. More like in the OMFG he's attacking a quadraplegic dwarf in the 3rd row for taunting him into missing a FT! I mean it that guy is over the bend. He has a few ho-hum games and then suddenly a switch is thrown and he goes on tear where his intensity is through the roof. He is all smiles and saying the funniest things, then he enters the melt-down stage and is often looking for another team. I've seen him do things that really make me wonder.

    I don't think this is a Rodman situation. I think Artest probably needs some real help. He is an amazing talent and seems to be a genuinely nice and intelligent man and yet he does these bizarre things and is constantly looking for a new team. One wonders what else happens in the locker room.

    I was willing to roll the dice on Artest coming to P-town. I was thinking that this town and this team might do Artest some good and therefore the team some good. If he didn't work out it wouldn't be horrid. We are just starting to contend and our core is strong and the team mentality pretty unified. If Artest got out of hand we could ship him out and have only lost a season. If Artest worked it would vault Portland to the WCF or possibly beyond if he shut down Kobe (Battier defended Kobe as he did Roy).

    For LA though this is a classic case of over reach and sudden risk when one is in a stable position of power. LA is in win now mode to take advantage of Kobe/Gasol's prime they have from 2 years to 5 years of title contention depending on injuries and wear n' tear. The obvious move is to keep that core together at all costs. Ariza was part of that core. Buss didn't want to extend a reasonable offer and insulted Ariza and his agent. They leave and Houston signs Ariza and then LA signs Artest. Did Houston really try to get Artest back? I wonder about that.

    This will turn out to either be a brilliant upgrade that increases their dominance (70 win territory) or foolish gamble that ruins chemistry and releases Kobe the locker room monster. I don't buy the Kobe is this great leader stuff. I think he is no longer a raging asshole and is just an average vet leader who happens to have MJ-like skills. Leadership is one of the two trumps the G.O.A.T has on Kobe the other being unshakable confidence/will but I digress. Kobe I do not think has MJ's ability to command respect, personal respect not just skills respect, and therefore keep another strong personality in check (Rodman). Serious Mr. Bryant chafed with the strong personality of Shaq being around. He especially disliked Shaq's arrogance and silliness (Kobe is deadly serious). Just imagine what will happen when the incredibly unstable, extremely strong personality Artest starts chucking up three's on a play designed for Kobe? With a game on the line? All the other Lakers except Fisher are weak personalities the next strongest being Ariza. Kobe is vastly better then Fisher and Ariza and they know and accept that. Artest is just on a different wavelength. I think this is a big mistake by Buss and co. and I think this might actually hurt the Lakers and more then just the loss of Ariza.
     
    Last edited: Jul 6, 2009
  19. huevonkiller

    huevonkiller Change (Deftones)

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    He didn't? More like David Lee asked for 10 million a year and no discount. LA wants to spend that kind of money on Odom (only because Bynum is up and down with his health), which I concur with. Now Trev settled for the same "insulting" contract LA would have given him.
    Kobe and Artest have been trying to play together for a while now. Artest even visited Kobe in the locker room a year ago just after the post-season ended. He snuck in.
     
    Last edited: Jul 6, 2009
  20. Mamba

    Mamba The King is Back Staff Member Global Moderator

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    The shower.

    Not the lockerroom.

    The shower.
     

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