What if the improvement ceiling is higher than the sum of twelve that a pair of dice limits in terms of potential? What if the ceiling is a total of 20, and we don't know this because we are only playing with 6-sided dice? What if the ceiling is twelve, yet you're playing with 10-sided dice in order to assess room for improvement?
I totally agree, it's not probable they'll both have career years next year. I would not be surprised to see one of them improve and I thought that idea was being dismissed in the post I was replying to. I read that post as a very clear cut here who is going to improve and who isn't. As we know with Sergio, some players don't get much better despite being young.
1) I said one could quibble over the categories, but it doesn't really change the arguments. So, you're quibbling - I can live with that. 2) I used the term "uncertain", but now that I look back, what I really meant was "consistent". Part of the article that I agree with was that you want consistency in how your players play. I don't think you really think Outlaw is consistent, but I don't want to put words in your mouth. 3) Regardless of what you think of TO, it is pretty uncontroversial to say that he is playing better than he was 2 years ago - he's still improving. If someone is improving but not consistent, I'd say they have potential. Again, you might not think his ceiling that high making claims of potential dubious, but I thought it OK to put him it the potential category because of this.
100% This is why I come up with zinger-deals like: Pryz+Travis+Blake for Bogut+Sessions. or like: Pryz + Travis + Bayless for Nash+Lopez.
