Horrible thought: Oden not safe if Pritchard leaves?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Rastapopoulos, Jun 16, 2010.

  1. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    IF (that's a big IF) KP is let go or resigns, the next guy has to pick up the pieces and try to make something happen with the cards he's dealt. Not so sure about the Beasley deal, but if the new GM thinks moving on without GO is the plan, shouldn't he be allowed the leeway?
     
  2. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    To me, the thing with Oden is that you have evaluate what you're going to do with him based upon his current situation. You have to get past the fact that he was a #1 pick with huge expectations who, because of injury, hasn't lived up to those dreams...at least thus far. So, what you have, IMO, is an extremely athletic 7 foot player who has recovered from microfracture surgery on one knee and who is in the midst of recovering from a broken kneecap on the other knee. It's a risk going forward with him because of his injury prone rep, but look around the league and tell me how many other center prospects are there out there that have his potential? I can't help but think that there are about 29 other teams around the league that would still leap at the chance to see if he can put his injuries behind him and develop into a dominant center. There are just so few of those around that you just have to take a chance on him. Obviously, you try to get him as inexpensively as possible, but at the end of the day, I can't see any sane GM giving up on this kid.
     
  3. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

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    Repped. I'm so fucking tired of the whiners
     
  4. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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    Spoken like a fan of another team. And what "pieces"? We're not talking about the Warriors here.
     
  5. oldmangrouch

    oldmangrouch persona non grata

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    Bingo.

    Why replace KP if the new guy is going to be under orders to slavishly do everything just the way KP would have done it? It makes no frikken sense! :crazy:

    But hey....I'm just a whiner......I have nothing worthwhile to say. :lol:
     
  6. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Looking at the way teams in general work, regardless of being a fan of another team, GMs seem to like to hand pick their own players and a coach that will implement a system that uses those players as the GM envisions.

    If the new GM comes in and believes the team is the Gasol era Grizzlies redux, you all probably want him to overcome that. Whatever tradeable assets he has, he has to make do with, ya know?
     
  7. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    He shouldn't have to do things "just like KP." However, hopefully they get someone smart enough not to dump Oden reflexively...either out of feeling "disappointed" over his production compared to his draft status, or to distance himself from the previous regime. Either approach would be irrational. If he truly did an objective evaluation of Oden's talent and health and made a clear-eyed trade, that's fine. That's his job.
     
  8. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    It's common, but silly. A GM should neither be emotionally attached to his players (if Pritchard truly is, it's a valid knock against him) nor should he be emotionally attached to the idea of clearing house and getting "his guys." He should always be focused on putting together the best team, even if some of the "previous GM's guys" are part of that team.
     
  9. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    They don't have to be particularly unreasonable to be considered unlikely--the benchmark is simply whether or not they were achieved the previous season. For Oden, it could be something as simple as getting 500 rebounds or blocking 100 shots in a season--things he should be able to do if reasonably healthy, but things he's not yet accomplished in his two years here. But like you said, that really only impacts cap space, and since we don't expect to have any for the forseeable future, that shouldn't really matter. I would love to see Oden be given a heavily-incentive-laden extension. Makes all the sense in the world.
     
  10. oldmangrouch

    oldmangrouch persona non grata

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    Just to clarify, the issue is production vs salary demands - which is related to draft status.

    Joel found a home with the Blazers because he is being paid based on production, not his one time status as a lotto pick.

    IF Oden actually offers to sign a discounted extension, that's all fine and well. I'll believe it when I see it. :dunno:
     
  11. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    No, I don't think his salary demands will be based on draft status. It'll be based on his production. Right now, he doesn't have the best case, but he can point to great play when healthy. That will be moot if he's injured again next season...great play when healthy is meaningless if one is never healthy. But right now, when no salary decision has to be made, his play when healthy is extremely relevant to whether he should be "dumped" by an incoming GM.
     
  12. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

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    Yes.

    It all boils down to whether or not they think the return they could get for him is greater than the risk that he'll get hurt again and not amount to anything in the league. Every GM has to perform that kind of calculus with any of his players. I wouldn't expect Oden to be dealt no matter what when KP is replaced (it's not really an "if" at this point) but I expect the likelihood of him being extended or retained goes way down.
     
  13. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    I don't think there's much of a risk in not extending him this year, other than cash. We have him locked up through this year, and it's doubtful that, with his injury history, he'd take the 1-year QO and take his chances to get to UFA in 2012-13. More likely is that we guarantee him 3 year at the QO level w/team option year 4 (that'd end up at basically 3/27M if he gets injured, and 4/36 if he does well) if he signs before Oct. 31. Then, if he gets a big offer next summer as an RFA, we can decide to match or not. Personally I think he's going to be a beast, and 4/36 would be a steal (consider what Bynum got for his extension).
     
  14. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    If the Blazers replace Pritchard with a competent GM, I don't think the likelihoods of that change at all...it will remain entirely a question of whether Oden has a largely healthy 2010-11. If he does, he will be retained at a fairly large (though non-max deal, barring an utter explosion) deal. If he doesn't, he'll be left to explore free agency.

    Now, if the new GM is another John Nash (in terms of competence), then I agree with you.
     
  15. rocketeer

    rocketeer Active Member

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    if the reason people didn't want beasley was maturity/character/personality issues, you might have a point. the reason people don't want beasley is because he's worthless on defense, not a good rebounder, and really not a very good offensive player.
     
  16. Shooter

    Shooter Unanimously Great

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    Really? Has Oden proven that he can stay healthy for even one NBA season? Will he even come back from this latest injury? Will he ever be a shadow of his old self??? There are so many questions about Oden, and so much dissapointment associated with him, that I wouldn't blame management for trying to move him.
     
  17. HailBlazers

    HailBlazers RipCity

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    No he hasn't proved he can stay healthy, but he has proved he can be a highly effective defensive anchor with lots of potential of the offensive end.

    I would totally Blame the Management if they even thought about moving G.O. He was the one they picked, and now they must live with the decision because that is the chip they banked on. While it may not seem like it, We've come too far with Greg to be giving up now
     
  18. The_Lillard_King

    The_Lillard_King Westside

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    I am in the camp that says Oden is our best shot (even if longshot) to win a title. But I wouldn't be as sad to see him go as KP because Oden's attitude jsut doesn't sit right with me.

    If Oden plays a full season and continues to develop from where he left off, I don't care about his nonchalaunt (sp?) attitude . . . but it's tought to deal with when he is constantly hurt and not helping the team.
     
  19. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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    Who cares? Even if there were, that wasn't TOO unreasonable, given that Beasley put up better stats than Durant in the same conference. But now we know he sucks in the NBA.

    ...because he sucks. Bad. (Good quote on Portland Roundball Society: "our guy just needs new knees, their guy needs a new heart.")

    ...but mainly the fact that he sucks. Bad.

    I hope he does. Because he'll then see a player who is a superstar in PER when healthy, and an incredible rebounder and defensive presence, who would not get anything close to his worth in a trade. My worry is that the new GM will NOT evaluate Oden objectively, but instead view him as Pritchard's Folly.

    You mean not Dwight Howard?

    That's funny, I only think it's worth a trade if you get better than fair value.
     
  20. HailBlazers

    HailBlazers RipCity

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    Yea well imagine how tough it is for Oden to deal with being constantly hurt all the time and meeting expectations, you'd almost have to be nonchalant to deal with that type of pressure

    But I agree unless we get chris bosh and a legit point guard, GO gives us the best shot at a trophy
     
    Last edited: Jun 16, 2010

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