David Lee has agreed to the deal with the Warriors

Discussion in 'Golden State Warriors' started by AlleyOop, Jul 7, 2010.

  1. Doctor Kajita

    Doctor Kajita Active Member

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    Re: David Lee for Anthony Randolph/Azu/Radmonovic

    I like this trade, BTW. I don't think Lee's contract is horrendous. Let's put it in perspective with all the other FA signings. David Lee was a top 10 FA in the most coveted FA class in history. I know, I know, you can argue there's a huge drop off after the tier 1 and tier 2 guys, but David Lee is not a bad player. Like Monta, I think he will be better on a better team. Let's hope the Warriors are better because of this.

    I see it very simply: they address a specific and desperate need, rebounding. It doesn't seem to address defense, specifically, but if David Lee is able to get more rebounds to avoid those costly 2nd chance points, that is defense. Also, I really like the idea of stockpiling all these high IQ players. Curry, Lee, Wright, Udoh, R. Williams. I consider those guys high IQ players (Udoh just based on scouting reports).

    If the Warriors can shore up the SF spot with a legitimate SF, no improvising with Morrow or R. Williams, AND keep Monta, the Warriors are vastly improved, IMO.

    Matt Barnes and Ronnie Brewer are still available.
     
  2. AlleyOop

    AlleyOop JBB JustBBall Member

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    Yes, I believe this is true regardless of whether they get Lee or not.

    Good points all around. I wrote earlier that David Lee is an excellent passer at the post position. Lee's 3.6 assists per game last year ranked 1st among all centers (nba.com has him listed as a C). Even including all forwards (SFs and PFs) in the league, David Lee still ranked 6th in the league in assists. The only Forwards in the league who had a better APG than Lee were LeBron, Igoudala, Josh Smith, Hedo Turkolu, and Boris Diaw.

    Lee had a better APG than guys like Lamar Odom, Tim Duncan, Paul Pierce, Kevin Durant, Grant Hill, Dirk Nowitzki, etc. That's pretty damn impressive for a guy who is also getting you 20 and 12.

    I agree with you that, with Curry as the cornerstone, GS will do well to get high-IQ players. I can't think of too many bigs that will complement Curry better than David Lee. I mean, he's not a superstar franchise player, of course not. But he could be a solid anchor for a long-term winning team, IMO.

    And yes the deal is not official yet. It may not go down. And if it does go down, I'll be sad to see Randolph go. But I'll be looking forward to the Curry/Lee connection next year, that's for sure. Nellie or no Nellie.
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2010
  3. jason bourne

    jason bourne JBB JustBBall Member

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    Re: David Lee for Anthony Randolph/Azu/Radmonovic

    :lol:. I can't argue with that.

    Again, it's giving up AR that makes me think that this is a bad deal. He's got the most upside and he's tall and long. We do not know what we have. We have to overpay Lee because he's a free agent (it's not that bad of a contract I guess), but to give AR to the Knicks is ridiculous. Why not Brandan Wright? If they say no, then we wait.

    Nope. Childress will get Marvin type money in $7 to $8 M/year range. It's high, but that's what this FA market is all about. Pay or get out of the way.
     
  4. Doctor Kajita

    Doctor Kajita Active Member

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    Re: David Lee for Anthony Randolph/Azu/Radmonovic

    People are saying Brandan Wright > Anthony Randolph. If that's the case, Warriors might have gotten a really good deal here.
     
  5. jason bourne

    jason bourne JBB JustBBall Member

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    Re: David Lee for Anthony Randolph/Azu/Radmonovic

    I'm not getting sucked into Kawakami's logic. I just posted his article because he agreed with my thinking on the deal. Giving up AR is too much. If you have AR in your sig, then you should fight for him harder. I think having a coach like Don Nelson who gets frustrated with AR has not helped. AR should do better with a coach like D'Antoni.

    As for Cohan's logic, I saw it posted nicely by Run BJM. Cohan, Rowell and Riley can only see an all-star and aren't listening to the naysayers. They do not develop their players to the point that they can see that what they have is a valuable chip. Furthermore, the Mags trade cost a future pick which they did not get back. They took money for the future. That's part of the vicious cycle of why the Warriors end up making bad deals like this. The Warriors can do better with a smarter management group, but we can't because of Cohan:
    According to the local beat guys the logic is that Cohan and Rowell both like this move. They see Lee as an all-star big man which fans have been pining for and a marketable player. They also don't think the value of the team is hurt because after trading Mags for expirings and also trading comparable contracts for Lee they're "cap neutral" or something like that.

    BTW apparently this isn't official. David Aldridge and Chad Ford are saying that Lee's agent says it isn't a done deal barring LeBron's decision. Doesn't necessarily mean that the W's and Knicks don't have the framework of the deal done, probably more likely that Lee hasn't decided completely on GS. I reckon that he is a) looking for another team to outbid the W's and b) would rather play for the Nets who have shown interest and he could stay in NY. Seems like the Nets and Wolves are the two teams most interested in signing him outright but I don't quite understand the logic for either of them as they both have young PFs there already.


    Man, I hope the Nets outbid the Warriors on David Lee. They look stupid with that big sign of Prokhorov and Jay-Z they put up across from MSG unless they come away with a big name FA.
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2010
  6. jason bourne

    jason bourne JBB JustBBall Member

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    Re: David Lee for Anthony Randolph/Azu/Radmonovic

    BW is a nice player in a pick and roll system. Real nice. The only thing I would worry about is whether his body can withstand a 82-game season and the playoffs.

    Of course, that wasn't your point was it?

    It's hard to believe you guys give up on AR when we do not know what we have. And I'm not against getting Lee at $13 M. I'm willing to deal Monta, BW, Buike, Turiaf, Radman, Hunter, or Tolliver to get it done, although for Monta, we should get back more. It's not like the Knicks are in the driver's seat and want to keep Lee. Not when they have $100 M man Amare.
     
  7. Mr. J

    Mr. J Triple Up

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    Lee will be a great pick up for the Warriors. He's a hard worker and has always improved every year in the league, so I still believe he has a lot of room to improve. According to reports, he's working hard on adding three-point range, too. He will be a great asset if he ever adds this to his arsenal as it will keep shot blockers out of the paint and open up the paint for Ellis dribble penetration. I also disagree with those who say Lee's stats are inflated. Lee was putting up numbers before D'Antoni. But overall Golden State will be taking back a hardworking all-star who still has room to grow and playing that up and down GSW basketball he will thrive. His defense sucks though.

    I don't know much about Antony Randolph but Lee is a proven 20/10 player and all-star. You won't be getting a bad deal, but I guess that depends to some extent on how much you intend on paying him.
     
  8. Run BJM

    Run BJM Heavy lies the crown. Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Re: David Lee for Anthony Randolph/Azu/Radmonovic

    Seems like Nellie/Riley have implied this but going only off of what I see I can not believe that until I see Wright play. Granted, they see him a lot more in training camp when he was allegedly looking great last season, in practices, working out, etc. But during games I just don't see how you can say Wright is the better prospect. Randolph is stronger, MUCH better rebounder, better shotblocker, doesn't have the post moves Wright does but overall more effective on offense, and he seems more intense. Wright's got some nice touch and skills in the post going for him but will it be of any value if hes perennially the weakest PF in the league and injured constantly? I don't have a ton of hope of him ever being much of a rebounder or on-ball defender in the post.

    Again, since Nellie and Riley have been running things I have more faith in their moves. I didn't like the Curry pick, I didn't like their insistence on holding onto CJ Watson but they did well with both of those decisions. I'm still not sure what to make of the Beli-George trade but it seems like they knew Belinelli wasn't anything special. Nellie also immediately determined that Ike and POB would never do anything in the league. Nellie has a long track record of being a good talent evaluator. In that regard I feel a little better not only about letting AR go but also in taking on Lee.

    But at the same time I can't go against my instincts. This trade is a tough one to wrap your head around. On the one hand its hard as hell to get a guy who averages 21/12, who fits in with the team and fits in with Curry. Hes an energetic, athletic player who is a great finisher, tenacious rebounder, excellent on the PnR, has a jumper, and can pass the ball very well. On the other hand I'm not sold that hes as good as his stats imply. I'm skeptical because of the offense he played in (though I suppose he woupld play in a similar pace here), his lack of presence on defense, the money we're giving him, and the lack of PF/C talent in the eastern conference. If Lee comes in and gives us a sort of Carlos Boozer type of impact- great pick and roll player, great rebounder, nice mid-range J, a force on offense next to Curry, etc. then I'll be ok with the trade. Bear with me as its hard to find a close comparison to Lee but imagine boozer type impact playing off of a great passing PG, rebounding, maybe with less go-to offense and more passing and energy and durability. But I'm not sure that Lee is that good. I think impact wise he might be more like Troy Murphy. Or Z-Bo without the go-to scoring ability and with more athleticism. Again, not perfect comparisons but just talking about impact on the wins/losses overall. Or perhaps hes like a David West that's sort of inbetween- good player, has some impact but not the total package and not elite, maybe not even second tier at his position.

    And regarding the MLE, we have one but I don't know if we would use it with the sale still pending. With the Lee trade we're sending a lot of salary back so it comes out relatively neutral for the coming season. Adding a 6 mil/year player might push the team a little too far over the cap and too close to the lux tax. I think also the idea behind Lee is that its a worthy investment because of his status as a 20/10 PF and all-star he doesn't hurt the value of the team.

    I'm bored though so I'm just going to throw out there that I wouldn't mind Josh Howard or Richard Jefferson. Howard's value has fallen greatly but Nellie drafted and developed him and he'd be a great fit with his defense and all around game. He would benefit offensively from playing in Nellie's system and alongside Curry and we need a good wing defender. R-Jeff applies for many of the same reasons. Both of these guys used to be very solid players but have moved around and fallen off for various reasons. They've still got skills and athleticism though. I think either one of them really makes the Curry, Monta, Lee, Biedrins core look a lot better and more like a team that could make the playoffs. Brewer would also be a great pickup.
     
  9. Run BJM

    Run BJM Heavy lies the crown. Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Can you tell us more about his overall game? How does he score? How is his jumper? Does he have a post game? Is he a go to scorer at all?

    Is his defense as bad as advertised? Does he box out? Can you give us any comparisons for reference about his style of play or the type of impact he has? Do you think hes overrated/underrated? We don't catch many NYK games out here...

    Also do you (or anyone) have any links where I can catch some Knick games online?

    So if this trade goes through here's our depth chart:

    Curry/Bell
    Monta/R. Williams
    ?????/Vlad
    Lee/Wright/Udoh
    Biedrins/Gadzuric

    Keep in mind that Morrow and Watson are RFAs. Wiliams and Morrow can play spot minutes at the 3 but they're both really small for SFs. Seems like there's interest in Morrow but would any teams actually give him a contract that we wouldn't match AND be willing to trade a decent SF for him?
     
  10. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    This is huge for the Warriors. You have a young all-star in exchange for some guys with potential.
     
  11. AlleyOop

    AlleyOop JBB JustBBall Member

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    Just thought I'd mention that Lee's numbers, including blocks, were nearly identical to Boozer's last year.

    Boozer: 19.5 ppg / 11.2 rpg / 3.2 apg / 0.5 bpg / 56% FG / 74% FT

    Lee: 20.2 ppg / 11.7 rpg / 3.6 apg / 0.5 bpg / 55% FG / 81% FT

    I mean, just for comparison's sake, many people think of Boozer as this inside, powerful brute force, and yet, he had the exact same amount of blocks per game last year that Lee had. In fact, for their career, Boozer is 0.5 and Lee is 0.4. Sometimes, block shots come from the weak side, from a long, quick leaper. Sometimes, a good defender can make it easier for his teammates to come in and collect the blocks. Both of these players bang and scrap and rebound tough inside, they just don't get blocks. I'm not saying they're great defenders, but I'm just saying that blocks don't always tell the whole story.

    Also, based on the numbers above, Boozer is getting $15 mils per year, where Lee is reportedly getting $13 mils. Boozer is also 2 years older, and has had a major injury, where Lee has never had injuries and has played 81 games for three straight years.

    Of course, Randolph could be the next KG some day. He's a great, valuable prospect right now. That's why this trade is so fair, I think. Lee is a proven work horse who can be extremely productive without ever needing to dominate the ball. Randolph has the potential to be better than Lee one day.

    Either way, they are both valuable pieces, IMO, and to have either one will be a good thing. It's nice knowing that we'll for sure have one of the two. Either way that's a good thing, IMO.

    One other cool thing is that I'm all about passion in basketball. That's why I have loved Randolph -- his fire. It's a plus knowing that David Lee brings the same type of contagious intensity to the court. He seems to have a bit of a crazy side to him (like Randolph) which I actually like :)
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2010
  12. Legacy

    Legacy Beast

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    Biedrins and Lee? We better not be having rebounding troubles this season...
     
  13. AlleyOop

    AlleyOop JBB JustBBall Member

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    Lee's agent downplays Warriors sign-and-trade:

    http://sports.espn.go.com/new-york/nba/news/story?id=5364903

    Well, LeBron is not going to NY (sorry Knicks fans), so a sign-n-trade with Lee seems imminent. I wonder what other teams have offers on the table for him. The package, $$ and years will be interesting to find out, and it will reveal a bit more about Larry Riley's deal-making skills...
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2010
  14. AlleyOop

    AlleyOop JBB JustBBall Member

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    Okay, that didn't take long. It's now official, according to Chad Ford of ESPN:

    It's tough to see Randolph go. He has crazy potential. I myself ranted on countless posts about how he could very well be Superstar one day. And he just may end up being that. As far as Azu and Turiaf, I like those guys, especially Azu, but they're not long-term building blocks of this young team. Randolph was, and for that, I am a little bummed.

    But David lee is going to be a cornerstone here at PF for the next 6 years, and he is going to become Steph Curry's biggest friend. At basically 13 mils a year, I don't really have a problem with it. There are other deals I would've liked to have seen. I would've liked GS to get Bosh themselves, lol.

    But Lee is legit. GS just got a 20/12 energizer bunny who is also one of the best passing big men in the league (assist-wise), and who has played 81 games the last three years, with no injury problems. He's young, and he's ready to build around. Plus, he loves to run the floor. He's not a superstar, but he's going to be a great addition next to Curry, IMO.

    To me, this was a fair trade for both sides. It's value for value, and now that it's apparently done, I'm ready to get excited about this young nucleus.

    1 - Curry / Bell
    2 - Monta / ?
    3 - Williams / ?
    4 - Lee / Wright
    5 - Biedrins / Udoh

    GS still has Gadzuric and Radmonovic -- that's $14 million in expiring contracts -- so they can still make another big move if they wanted.

    Losing Azu means Reggie Williams is the only guy they have at SF right now. I think the Ronnie Brewer discussions now pick up some steam, although I wouldn't mind if GS went after the other Brewer -- as in Corey Brewer.

    Or, maybe Wilson Chandler will be involved in this deal somehow?

    Probably, GS will match most any offer for Morrow, just as insurance. But CJ Watson, maybe not.

    This Lee move definitely leaves GS shorthanded at the SF, and even SG positions, so it will be interesting to see what's next.
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2010
  15. Run BJM

    Run BJM Heavy lies the crown. Staff Member Global Moderator

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  16. CohanHater

    CohanHater JBB JustBBall Member

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    This article says 80 over 6....ouch!
     
  17. Run BJM

    Run BJM Heavy lies the crown. Staff Member Global Moderator

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    13.3 mils a year average. So something like 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 in each year. 10 mil a year for the coming season doesn't sound too bad but dude is 27 and will he really get much better?

    EDIT: Actually it would be more like 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 wouldn't it? Doesn't looks so good lol.


    BTW I'm now seeing we also threw in a 2011 2nd round pick. Seems unecessary.
     
  18. AlleyOop

    AlleyOop JBB JustBBall Member

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    Yeah, that's basically what we had discussed earlier (I had said 5 years, $65 mils). It still equates to roughly $13 mils per year, with an extra $2 mils tacked on the last year or something. He's 27, so this deal will go until he's 33. It's a hefty chunk of change, but this is no Maggette deal. This is a building block, IMO.

    Where did you see that GS threw in a draft pick? That does seem unnecessary, you're right. It is a large contract, but frankly, I think he's worth it. I don't think he needs to get much better. I think he's already worth that money, and I think all he needs to do is be consistent and to keep being David Lee. His history so far has shown he can do that -- steady growth, consistent numbers, no injuries.
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2010
  19. Zhone

    Zhone JBB JustBBall Member

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    Bleh, so conflicted on this.

    Should we have kept Randolph, but risk being stuck in rebuilding mode? Ellis would probably jet or welcome a trade I feel; could we have stuck onto Randolph and Curry long enough to fill the gap with a few good draft picks and one or two great veteran free agents in a few years? It's not like we have the luck to get the ping pong balls to get the 2011 likely #1 pick Harrison Barnes and then find a dominant center lying around.

    Looking at this offseason's examples, rebuilding may have very well failed. Look at everyone who lost in the LeBron sweepstakes: would the Warriors have been able to make a big splash like Miami? More likely we would have been one of the losers like New York, Chicago, or New Jersey. And these are big money, big market teams, willing to overspend to the max. Nice places to live and play too, though Miami's draw of exciting party scene, no state income tax, and Riley isn't quite matched by those other teams.

    Will this team succeed? I think it's got the ability to hit the playoffs for sure now, and maybe sell a few more seats. I think it will build on the short-term respectability of the team, too. So like Alleyoop said, it's a building block. At the least, other teams wanted Lee (Nets, Wolves) so it's not like we couldn't move him in the future.
     
  20. philsmith75

    philsmith75 JBB JustBBall Member

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    Don't compare the W's to the Knicks; they are so bad they picked Jordan Hill over Brandon Jennings. Instead of looking at the Heat, Bulls and Nets, I look at the Trailblazers and the Thunder and Jazz, that's how you build a team. Look at the Nets, they draft Brook Lopez and trade for Devin Harris. The Blazers draft Roy, Aldridge and Oden, Batum, Fernandez, Outlaw yet still have money to sign someone like Andre Miller. That's how to build.

    I love this quote from Kawakami (yes my friend):

    "Same old, same old: The Warriors are always over-hyping their young players then quickly souring and then manuevering to trade the young player for someone who actually wants to be here.

    Then that player sours, too, and it all starts over again, with larger and larger contracts each time. It’s the Cohan Method."
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2010

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