Basketball-reference simulation - not very flattering...

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by andalusian, Oct 25, 2010.

  1. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

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    ... for OKC

    But pretty flattering to the Blazers:

    http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=7896

    4th in the league in chances to be champs behind Miami, Orlando and the Lakers
    3rd in the league in chances to make the finals, behind Miami and the Lakers
    100% chance of making the playoffs
    56.5 projected wins
     
  2. MIXUM

    MIXUM Suspended

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    surprise surprise... stats and potential....

    2 words on every blazer fans handbook

    watch with your own eyes.... its more honest
     
  3. Ed O

    Ed O Administrator Staff Member Administrator

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    Did the Thunder win more regular season games last year than the Blazers in your eyes?

    Ed O.
     
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  4. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Actually, the 2 words in my fan handbook are "pass" and "thedamnball"
     
  5. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

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    I did, I saw a team that lost 313 player-games last year win the same number of games as a team that lost very little player-games, and won the season series with that same team.

    Did you see something else, oh wise sage?
     
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  6. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    If he looks at the Thunder cross-eyed, does that mean they won 100 games?
     
  7. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    you spelled (check your reputation) wrong.
     
  8. MIXUM

    MIXUM Suspended

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    thunder starting 5 over ours

    hell you can make a case westbrook is better then roy
     
  9. RoyToy

    RoyToy Clown Town

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    Let's see your case then.

    Or are you going to run away and hide?
     
  10. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

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    Roy is not a very good golfer. I know it, you know it, even Roy admits it. I was discussing basketball.
     
  11. MIXUM

    MIXUM Suspended

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    and they both finished with same record. blazers had injuries yes but thunder have tons of upside left.

    roy has peaked... la isnt gonna be much more and oden cant stay healthy. batum is the only real upside left. thunder has westbrook, durant, ibaka, harden, green all getting better still. thats scary since they won 50.
     
  12. BlazerBeav

    BlazerBeav Well-Known Member

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    Ok, make that case please. We'll judge.
     
  13. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    11.4% finals winning for the Lakers, 10.2 for Portland.

    That pretty much sums up how serious we should take their work. (good link though).

    Hehe, another case of us losing the conference finals to the Lakers!

    I've seen that movie before...hopefully the plot gets improved. ;)
     
  14. RoyToy

    RoyToy Clown Town

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    Mixum avoiding making the case Westbrook > Roy. Can't say I'm surprised.

    Keep running away and hiding from it.
     
  15. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    You would if you want to look like a complete idiot.
     
  16. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

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    Unless he is injured - I am not buying this. Dominant small-guards usually reach their peak right before they turn 30.

    Maybe, maybe not, but if he can - his upside alone is bigger than all of the Thunder upside combined...

    Really? LMA has finished progressing at 25? (Again, peak for power-forwards usually happens around the time they are 30), Wes is a 2nd year player, Dante is a 2nd year player, we have tons of rooks. The Blazers have tons of upside left, just like the Thunder (actually more, if Oden can stay healthy).

    Love what the Thunder do, but love the Blazers more.

    Good team in the making. No doubt about it, but the Blazers can not have a year as bad as they had last year, injury wise. For this upcoming year, imho, the Blazer's upside is bigger than the Thunder's even if the Thunder remain magical on the no-injury front.
     
    Last edited: Oct 25, 2010
  17. MIXUM

    MIXUM Suspended

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    westbrook>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>miller

    roy>>>>>>>>>harden

    durant>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>batum

    la>>>>green

    oden/camby>ibaka with health figured in


    they have 2 studs... we have a stud who has peaked
     
  18. RoyToy

    RoyToy Clown Town

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    Keep running away and hiding from making that case.
     
  19. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

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    I actually think this makes a lot of send if health is the same for both teams, there is a reason the Blazers are probably the only team that can match with the Lakers - both teams have a dominant SG, experienced PG and lots of size. The Lakers have experience and knowledge on their side, the Blazers have youth and hunger. I'm OK with that.

    That's why the play the games, right? There are no guarantees in life, on either side - but this ranking makes an awful lot more sense than the "oh no, the sky is falling" approach, because it actually uses some science behind it...
     
  20. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    what are you talking about man!? Roy has peaked, didn't you get the memo?

    We're done! Dee You Enn, done!
     

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