Blazers playoff scenarios

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Biggie, Apr 13, 2011.

  1. Biggie

    Biggie Member

    Joined:
    May 31, 2010
    Messages:
    44
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    8
    Lakers win, Mavericks win, Thunder win = Blazers vs. Mavericks
    Lakers win, Mavericks lose, Thunder lose = Blazers vs. Mavericks
    Lakers win, Mavericks win, Thunder lose = Blazers vs. Mavericks
    Lakers win, Mavericks lose, Thunder win = Blazers vs. Thunder

    Lakers lose, Mavericks lose, Thunder lose = Blazers vs. Mavericks
    Lakers lose, Mavericks win, Thunder lose = Blazers vs. Lakers
    Lakers lose, Mavericks lose, Thunder win = Blazers vs. Thunder
    Lakers lose, Mavericks win, Thunder win = Blazers vs. Lakers

    Lakers win = No Lakers in first round, 75% chance at Mavericks, 25% chance at Thunder
    Mavericks win = No Thunder in first round, 50% chance at Mavericks, 50% at Lakers
    Thunder win = 50% chance at Thunder, 25% at Mavs, 25% at Lakers
    Lakers lose = 50% chance at Lakers, 25% at Mavs, 25% at Thunder
    Mavericks lose = 50% chance at Mavericks, 50% chance at Thunder
    Thunder lose = 75% chance at Mavericks, 25% at Lakers
     
    maxiep likes this.
  2. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    70,036
    Likes Received:
    58,023
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    N.E.P.
    Thread # 35 on the same topic......
     
  3. DaLincolnJones

    DaLincolnJones Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 11, 2011
    Messages:
    8,319
    Likes Received:
    1,885
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Ok..so its pretty straight forward then...jeeeesh, what a mess

    I would not be surprised if we shut it down tonight..I can also see the lakers and the maves doing the same
     
  4. Biggie

    Biggie Member

    Joined:
    May 31, 2010
    Messages:
    44
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    8
    Mavs and Thunder each have a game at 5 pacific.

    Blazers and Lakers each have a game at 7:30 pacific.

    We will know by the start of the Blazers game...

    Mavs win, Thunder win... 50% at Lakers, 50% at Mavs, We need Lakers to win their game to avoid them.
    Mavs win, Thunder lose... 50% at Lakers, 50% at Mavs, We need Lakers to win their game to avoid them.
    Mavs lose, Thunder win... No matter the outcome of the Lakers game, WE PLAY THE THUNDER.
    Mavs lose, Thunder lose... No matter the outcome of the Lakers game, WE PLAY THE MAVERICKS.

    Gonna be crazy before the Blazers game...
     
  5. Biggie

    Biggie Member

    Joined:
    May 31, 2010
    Messages:
    44
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    8
    Sorry, new to the forums. Just wanted to post this and share it with others. Thought it was pretty interesting.

    GO BLAZERS!
     
  6. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    70,036
    Likes Received:
    58,023
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    N.E.P.
    Just messin' with you man. Your Biggie pic gives you 1 GET OUT OF JAIL card!
     
  7. DaLincolnJones

    DaLincolnJones Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 11, 2011
    Messages:
    8,319
    Likes Received:
    1,885
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I like this one, there is more elbow room
     
  8. Draco

    Draco Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2008
    Messages:
    9,315
    Likes Received:
    3,004
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I like to think of it as two different scenario’s based off the Mavericks game.

    If the Mavericks win, we will play either the Mavs or the Lakers.
    (We will play the Lakers if they lose to Kings or Mavs if Lakers win.)

    If the Mavericks lose, we will player either the Mavs or the Thunder.
    (We play the Thunder if the Thunder beat the Bucks or Mavs if Thunder lose.)
     
  9. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    70,036
    Likes Received:
    58,023
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    N.E.P.
    Go Mavs! Go Lakers!
     
  10. Draco

    Draco Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2008
    Messages:
    9,315
    Likes Received:
    3,004
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Either the Lakers game or the Thunder game will be irrelevant. The Thunder game is irrelevant with a Dallas win and the Laker game is irrelevant with a Dallas loss.
     
  11. Biggie

    Biggie Member

    Joined:
    May 31, 2010
    Messages:
    44
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    8
    ;) yeee buddy
     
  12. Biggie

    Biggie Member

    Joined:
    May 31, 2010
    Messages:
    44
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    8
    I hope the Dallas game is on NBATV.
     
  13. Biggie

    Biggie Member

    Joined:
    May 31, 2010
    Messages:
    44
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    8
    Nevermind, its on ESPN. Even better.
     
  14. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,291
    Likes Received:
    5,854
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    This is the clearest explanation I've yet seen. Repped.
     
  15. Entity

    Entity some guy

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2008
    Messages:
    1,761
    Likes Received:
    25
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Occupation:
    Full-Time Student, E.E.
    Location:
    Aloha, OR
    All right, I'm going to change this up a bit. Assuming all teams want to win:

    Odds Lakers beat Kings on the road, even without Bynum: 75%
    Odds Thunder beat Bucks at home: 75%
    Odds Mavericks beat Hornets at home: 60%

    33.75% All three of them win = playing Mavericks
    22.5% Mavericks lose, Lakers win, Thunder win = playing Thunder
    11.25% Mavericks win, Lakers win, Thunder lose = playing Mavericks
    11.25% Mavericks win, Lakers lose, Thunder win = playing Lakers
    7.5% Mavericks lose, Lakers win, Thunder lose = playing Mavericks
    7.5% Mavericks lose, Lakers lose, Thunder win = playing Thunder
    3.75% Mavericks win, Lakers lose, Thunder lose = playing Lakers
    2.5% All three lose = playing Mavericks

    55% chance of playing the Mavericks
    30% chance of playing the Thunder
    15% chance of playing the Lakers
     
  16. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    70,036
    Likes Received:
    58,023
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    N.E.P.
    I remember last year or the season before,on the last day we got the team we had the lowest % chance of playing. I think it was Houston.
     
  17. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    70,036
    Likes Received:
    58,023
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    N.E.P.
    I just read this and am not sure if this makes any sense!
     
  18. RoyToy

    RoyToy Clown Town

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2008
    Messages:
    10,977
    Likes Received:
    297
    Trophy Points:
    83
    The Blazers will play either the Lakers or the Mavs, and it all depends on if the Lakers win or not. It's basically a lock that OKC and Dallas win.

    Sacramento is going to be a tough game for the Lakers. Sacramento is a respectable 8-6 in their last 14 games and will be playing with a lot of emotion in most likely their last game in Sacramento. Even if Bynum was playing the Kings can match the Lakers' size with Dalembert/Cousins/Thompson and with Bynum out I'll give that advantage to the Kings.
     
  19. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,291
    Likes Received:
    5,854
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    As much as I'd like to bypass the L*kers, the good people of Sacramento deserve to see the Kings beat the L*kers in their last game. I want Phil Jackson to walk off the court hearing nothing but cowbells.

    Fuck the Maloofs. The Kings fans deserve better.
     

Share This Page