New NASA Data Blow Gaping Hole In Global Warming Alarmism

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by Denny Crane, Jul 28, 2011.

  1. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    So I click on your usatoday.com link and it links to a study by the National Academy of Sciences. So I click on the link in that article to the actual study http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2010/06/04/1003187107.abstract, and it is an attack piece on the credibility of the experts who disagree. I find it odd that they don't find MIT professors of client science to be credible, or the guys who run the data collection facilities whose data is put through all the faulty climate models, or geologists with 35 years tenure at universities with high visibility climate studies programs, this guy from NASA who has been in charge of the collection of satellite data for 20 years, etc.

    You realize that 97% of govt. subsidized snake oil salesmen say snake oil is great for you.
     
  2. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Then Denny should post the scientific article, not partisan bullshit. I was responding to what he posted. If he wants to improve his posts, I'll improve my responses to his posts.

    barfo
     
  3. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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  4. huevonkiller

    huevonkiller Change (Deftones)

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    Just for the record, I'm making fun of the UN not trying to go after you personally. :)
     
  5. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Could you cite something in the paper that you find to be evidence that it is an 'attack piece'? I looked at it and they don't seem to be attacking anyone.

    barfo
     
  6. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    What's the title? "Expert credibility in climate change"

    You don't have to read very far beyond that, but feel free.
     
  7. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    C'mon Denny, you can do better than that. Analysis != Attack.

    barfo
     
  8. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Is that the best you can do?

    Of course it's an attack. See post #21. I forgot to mention guys who've contributed to the IPCC reports.
     
  9. BLAZER PROPHET

    BLAZER PROPHET Well-Known Member

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    Let me suggest this- rather than waiting until people post what you want them to before you weigh in, why not post better to begin with and perhaps change the direction of the debate.
     
  10. mook

    mook The 2018-19 season was the best I've seen

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    Your link doesn't really talk about meteorologists. It's just a link to some climatologist contrarians. It doesn't cite a single organized scientific body of any credibility. I certainly won't deny that there are scientists who disagree with the general consensus.

    Out of curiosity, however, I did find an article that does support your claim about meteorologists: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/30/science/earth/30warming.html

    But it also had some interesting counter points:

     
    huevonkiller likes this.
  11. huevonkiller

    huevonkiller Change (Deftones)

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    Mook I already acknowledged "climate change" as reality. They simply can't provide the historical context I have. There is no wiggle room at all for your position, you can't even do anything about it.

    Global Warming is based off 50 year computer models, this is a fact. Almost all this "research" only goes back to 1856 at best, mine doesn't. A real disadvantage.

    Edit- with all due respect. ;) I like going after the media real hard, but no one here in particular. Also, yeah the meteorologist thing was just prior knowledge from a Senator I heard. No biggie either way. :O
     
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2011
  12. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

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    For those who believe that human activity is a significant cause of global warming, exactly what would you advocate we do to reduce that impact? Please be specific.
     
  13. bluefrog

    bluefrog Go Blazers, GO!

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    The article is pretty crap-tastic, Denny. It is inflammatory and biased which is more likely to gain people's attentions than the actual study. I think you see more interested in the claims of the study than the credibility of the authors so I'll help steer the debate in that direction.

    First, In 1896 (before Al Gore’s father was born) Dr. Svente Arrhenius puplished a paper called ”On the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air upon the Temperature of the Ground”

    It demonstrates quite conclusively the causation connection between in a quantitative fashion. Dr. Arrhenius shows that for each two fold increase in carbon dioxide, the average temperature of the earth’s surface will increase a few degrees. Since then, the concentration of carbon dioxide has in fact increased and the mean temperature of the surface of the earth has increased in pretty much the way Dr. Arrhenius said it would. Thus was born the theory of Anthropogenic Climate Change (ACC)

    So the starting point is that ACC is actually occurring.

    Second, the authors the assume that ACC Change is real and occurring. The very first sentence in the abstract says:

    The authors are trying develop a model that will accurately match observed changes with projected changes. So far no one has succeeded. The authors are merely attempting to where the difference between the models and reality are occurring.

    In other words, the current ability of both ground based and space based remote sensors cannot adequately measure signals generated by “radiative feedback”, i.e. the signals are *masked*.

    So the problem is NOT with the ACC but the ability of current remote sensors to measure “radiative feedback” which is shown by the appropriate analysis (lag regression analysis).

    Rather than some fatal flaw in the ACC, this is an excellent example of how scientist make a hypothesis to explain data (in this case in the form of a model), test it, and when the data does not match the projections, attempt to understand the differences. This is how science is suppose to work
     
  14. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Mook,

    The meteorologists around here are generally pretty accurate for 1-7 day forecasts, even accounting for microclimates. But they're not infallible. A high pressure system they predict will come onshore at 3:00 sometimes does at 4:00. There's a lot of chaos involved that their very precise models can't possibly account for. Going out beyond a week and the error is huge.

    Longer term models that the alarmists use are so inaccurate that they don't produce accurate results given measured data and known measured results.

    If you've been following the news, there was a huge scandal in Europe because the scientists were deliberately manipulating the instrument data so their models would produce alarming results. The Mann hockey stick graph has been discredited, Al Gore has been revising his PowerPoint presentation, etc.

    You can add the founder of the Weather Channel to the list of skeptics, btw.
     
  15. blazerboy30

    blazerboy30 Well-Known Member

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    You're changing the debate. Most people will agree with the idea that climate change is real.

    The science is absolutely inconclusive. They can't make an accurate predictions with their models.

    This article suggests that nobody actually knows how much of an effect it has / will have. So playing Chicken Little over highly inaccurate models seems a little absurd.
     
  16. Ed O

    Ed O Administrator Staff Member Administrator

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    I agree with this... and:

    -- I'm a technological optimist; I think there's a good chance that if we keep going full-steam ahead, we'll be able to undo damage more rapidly than we currently can. Sort of like pushing on the gas while we work on a brake pedal, rather than letting off the gas and hoping to slow down.

    -- I'm not sure that climate change is that huge of a deal. There would be winners and there would be losers, but that's the way that the world is right now and the way that it always has been.

    Ed O.
     
  17. Rodolfo

    Rodolfo Double Stamp>Triple Stamp

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    haha, nice.
     
  18. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    We are going in circles here. In post #21 you claim, with no evidence presented, that it was an attack. I question whether it was an attack, and you point me to post #21.

    I suggest you just think it is an attack because you don't like the data.

    barfo
     
  19. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    post #21 suggests guys who run NASA climate satellite programs and MIT climate professors and IPCC contributors can't possibly lack credibility. Unless the intent is to impeach the persons vs. really questioning their qualifications.
     
  20. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Please provide a quote from the article where it says that such people lack credibility.

    barfo
     

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