Oden draft guess

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by BrianFromWA, Dec 6, 2011.

  1. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    gasol was a middle second round pick, i would assume he would stay that way, same with landry right? and noah went what...10th? him and oden would have prolly been a tossup at that point.

    i might have been ambiguous though... i was going with your assumption about the 2007 draft as it was with with oden as he is now.
     
  2. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

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    No I'm saying that if the draft was redone, certain guys would have gone much higher (and lower) than they actually did. Landry and Marc Gasol would both have been high lottery picks (same goes for Noah).
     
  3. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    landry would still go below oden clearly, and even if you did a complete do over, oden still goes top 10
     
  4. oldmangrouch

    oldmangrouch persona non grata

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    Let's rephrase the question slightly.

    What if: Oden stayed at OSU for 4 seasons, played in 1 game out of 4 during that time, but had one brief stretch as a Jr where he looked really promising. Where would he be drafted?

    My guess - he doesn't even sniff the first round.
     
  5. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

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    Which brings us full circle: I said lottery but maybe not in the top ten ...
     
  6. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    so we agree! i thought it would be more rewarding than this....lol
     
  7. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    dominating in the nba is much different than "looking really promising" in college, but you might be about right, i would say late lotto-mid twentys
     
  8. espn_hall_of_famer

    espn_hall_of_famer Active Member

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    That's a tough call.

    I'm certainly no slobbering Oden-lover. But I do know facts. One fact is no lottery pick caliber player has ever had degenerative knee issues by the age of 24 and only played 82 career games (or anything close to that). So I'm sure he still has a ton of games left in him (just like Bynum still has (had) a lot of games in him after being perpetually injury-prone, and Blake Griffin still has many games left in him with similar knee issues).

    And I know that only a few players (such as Tim Duncan, Dwight Howard, Al Jefferson and Greg Oden) have had a PER over 23 in the last 5 years for the time they actually are out there on the court playing against NBA caliber opponents.

    So with those two facts said, you tell me I'll get a guy who might be on and off the court with the occasional injury (picturing a guy like Bynum with one healthy season every five years and 40 or so games in most) and I'll get Dwight Howard/Tim Duncan productivity for the games he is healthy for? I'd have to say maybe 3rd-10th. Maybe not worth top 2, but definitely not outside of the lottery (where half the guys barely even make the rosters and end up in the D-League in 3 years).
     
    Last edited: Dec 6, 2011

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