The best way to predict the future . . .

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by 42N8Bounce, Jun 8, 2012.

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  1. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    This program -- what were the matches for Westbrook and Rose?
     
    Fez Hammersticks, Jun 8, 2012
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  2. jlprk

    jlprk The ESPN mod is insane.

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    How does Crowder compare to Wesley Matthews? Other than being from Marquette.
     
    jlprk, Jun 8, 2012
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  3. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Just messing with you man. Keep bringing the data.
     
    THE HCP, Jun 8, 2012
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  4. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    Westbrook it only ranked as the 14th best player that year. Matched with - Ramon Sessions, Moochie Norris, Keith Bogans, and Tyronn Lue.

    Rose it grabbed at number 5. Matched with - Doug Christie, Kirk Hinrich, Jarrett Jack, and Jason Kidd.
     
    42N8Bounce, Jun 8, 2012
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  5. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    Jae Crowder is certainly the name that jumps out in that list. It found matches with - Ronnie Brewer, Doug Christie, Dan Majerle, and Scott Burrell.
     
    42N8Bounce, Jun 8, 2012
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  6. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    Were you as high on Faried last year as many of us were?
     
    Last edited: Jun 9, 2012
    Fez Hammersticks, Jun 8, 2012
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  7. jlprk

    jlprk The ESPN mod is insane.

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    You stall for time while I probe his weaknesses.
     
    jlprk, Jun 8, 2012
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  8. jlprk

    jlprk The ESPN mod is insane.

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    How does Barton compare to Rudy Fernandez?
     
    jlprk, Jun 8, 2012
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  9. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    Yep. I couldn't believe they went with Nolan Smith. Still can't believe it. I'm a believer in what the player actually produces. I don't care if he's short, skin color, fat, etc. I'm not a big believer in potential. If he's producing, get him. The knock on Faried was that he was too short. Hmm...
     
    42N8Bounce, Jun 8, 2012
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  10. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    Rudy doesn't have any college stats that the program can compare him to, but I can tell you some of the matches it found for Will Barton -
    Michael Redd, Mike Miller, Shane Battier, and Thaddeus Young.
     
    42N8Bounce, Jun 9, 2012
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  11. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    I found it interesting how similar the stats were this year for Jeremy Lamb and Will Barton. People are talking a lot about Lamb, but not so much about Barton.
     
    42N8Bounce, Jun 9, 2012
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  12. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    I feel the same way this year with Bradley Beal and Thomas Robinson.
     
    Fez Hammersticks, Jun 9, 2012
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  13. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    So it's safe to call The HCP the Kenneth Faried of S2?
     
    THE HCP, Jun 9, 2012
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  14. jlprk

    jlprk The ESPN mod is insane.

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    Those players would go 2nd in this draft? Must be a bad year.

    Those players would go 7th in this draft? Weak draft.
     
    jlprk, Jun 9, 2012
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  15. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    Agreed. I'm scared a bit that the Blazers might be looking at Drummond. This program compared him to Kelvin Cato, Scot Pollard and Brian Skinner. But look at the "Potential"...
     
    42N8Bounce, Jun 9, 2012
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  16. jlprk

    jlprk The ESPN mod is insane.

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    See HCP, I take care of your needs.
     
    jlprk, Jun 9, 2012
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  17. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    In my opinion, I think we have one (Anthony Davis) or perhaps two future all stars in this draft, and quite a few solid starters. The strength of this years draft is in it's depth of solid starters.
     
    Last edited: Jun 9, 2012
    42N8Bounce, Jun 9, 2012
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  18. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    I think if Sullinger didn't some of the injury issues/scares (back, one leg being 1-inch shorter) he'd be a lock to go in the top 10.

    In his two seasons he averaged a PER of 30 and his WS are on par with Anthony Davis.
     
    Last edited: Jun 9, 2012
    Fez Hammersticks, Jun 9, 2012
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  19. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    Another thing to consider with this program is that it not only finds a player that is similar, but it then compares the stats of the NBA player and says the college player is +X% better than that individual, and modifies the BdB score appropriately (I put in a 22.5% threshold). Overall, it tends to "smooth out" the scores. For example, if a player is a Tim Duncan quality, there are only so many Tim Duncans that the database can find before it starts to pull lesser player out, and the average tends to drop. Similar to players on the low side averaging them up a bit.
     
    42N8Bounce, Jun 9, 2012
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  20. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    His height and weight scare a lot of people. I think he's a safe pick.
     
    42N8Bounce, Jun 9, 2012
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