Rassmussen today Romney 49 Obama 44 Seems to be a shift, which isn't a surprise now that Americans are seeing that Romney isn't the stuffy elitist doofball that the Dems painted him to be prior to the convention and debates.
Huh? Isn't it Romney 48% and Obama 47% on Rasmussen? http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll What am I missing?
Published: October 06, 2012 by Scott Simon Nov. 6 is 32 days away, but for millions of Americans, there is no longer an Election Day. Thirty-two states and the District of Columbia now have early voting, which is under way even now in eight states. Hundreds of thousands of votes have already been cast, most before this week's presidential debates or Friday's jobs report, and all ahead of the three future debates and any unforeseen October event that might test the mettle of a candidate. Both major parties now encourage their supporters to vote early where possible, so they don't have to worry that they'll get to the polls on Election Day — or, perhaps, change their minds. Advisers to both presidential campaigns told The New York Times as many as 70 percent of this year's ballots may be cast before Nov. 6. http://m.npr.org/news/Politics/162396004
My bad, it was the IBD/TIPP daily tracking poll that had Romney up. I still think it is Romney's election to lose at this point. Has Obama gone into hiding since the debate? Where is the power of incumbency?
Romney up for first time in over a month in Reuters' poll. Even worse, Obama only gets 44%, which for an incumbent is very bad news, as undecideds tend to turn toward the challenger historically. http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/10/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE8991FR20121010
Cool. Thanks for the clarification. Usually, Rasmussen doesn't move that dramatically. What was interesting to me is that Suffolk has pulled out of Florida, Virginia and North Carolina because they believe Romney has those states locked up.
A thread of futility, as none of this has any effect on who wins the election. This is the only count that counts: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map#
Ann Romney has a horse in this race. Interesting. http://news.yahoo.com/obama-debate-romney-had-bad-night-222703143--election.html
http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2012presidentindividual Change over the last week: http://data.predictwise.com/predict/generate_chart.php
Romney definitely has a narrow path to win the electoral vote. That said, I think if he wins Ohio, he'll win the electoral college. I've been looking at the electoral college projections for months now. Maris' post is one that has Obama at 275, Romney at 206. It has Ohio for Obama by 2 points (within the MOE, and likely understating republican voters). If Romney ends up winning Ohio, 275-18 = 257 (Obama's likely votes) to Romney's 224. I think Romney is going to take Virginia, Florida, and Colorado. As Maxiep pointed out, Suffolk is the first polling firm to concede VA and FLA to Romney. 3 of the last 5 polls in Colorado favor Romney, and by +3 or more. Add VA and FLA to Romney's 224 and you get 266 Electoral Votes. He'd need one state (like Colorado) to put him over the top.
Romney offends mother of hero, then lies some more: The mother of Glen Doherty, a Navy SEAL who was one of four Americans killed in the Sept. 11 attack in Libya, told a Boston TV station that GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney shouldn't politicize her son's death. Romney told an Iowa campaign audience on Tuesday about a chance encounter with a Navy SEAL during a Christmas party in San Diego, although he did not invoke Doherty by name. Romney owns a home in California and Doherty was stationed there, serving in the military. Romney cited the SEAL's dedication to the Middle East and his commitment to foreign service as a way to draw a contrast with President Barack Obama's response in the region, which Romney has criticized as lacking in leadership. As Yahoo News's Holly Bailey reported: Citing a CNN report that Doherty had been killed while trying to help others at the consulate, Romney expressed his admiration—and likened it to the leadership he says the country needs now in Washington. "When he and his colleagues there heard that the consulate was under attack ... they went there. They didn't hunker down where they were in safety. They rushed there to go help," Romney said. "This is the American way: We go where there's trouble. We go where we're needed. And right now we're needed. Right now the American people need us." After Romney's remarks, Barbara Doherty told Boston's WHDH 7News that the GOP nominee shouldn't invoke her son that way again. "I don't trust Romney," she said. "He shouldn't make my son's death part of his political agenda. It's wrong to use these brave young men, who wanted freedom for all, to degrade Obama." Romney has amplified his criticisms of Obama's foreign policy and defense record with a speech on Monday that fact-checkers and the Obama campaign said was rife with errors and policy reversals.
No, as the quote states, fact checkers accused him of lying. The fact that he's a pathological liar should be apparent to anyone who has followed his statements over the years on just about anything. If he's spoken about it, chances are very good he's lied about it. Can't seem to help himself. He's the Jon Lovitz of politics. That he said this about Glen Doherty, using "we" to lump himself in as if he was a hero also, is another lie. Especially when you consider these lies: But Romney’s shifting stories on his Vietnam status could have real political consequences, as an Associated Press expose revealing that he sought and got four deferments from military service during the Vietnam War gets more play. It’s not the deferments that will hurt – Dick Cheney got five. It’s the fact that over the years, Romney has lied about it. AP politely says his story has “evolved,” but tracks the puzzling changes. Running for president in 2007, Romney told the Boston Globe, “I longed in many respects to actually be in Vietnam and be representing our country there, and in some ways it was frustrating not to feel like I was there as part of the troops that were fighting in Vietnam.” But in 1994, running against Ted Kennedy for his Massachusetts Senate seat while in his “I’m not a typical Republican” phase, he admitted “it was not my desire to go off and serve in Vietnam.” Fair enough: His father, George Romney, turned against the war, and so did a lot of Republicans (even if party hawks would later try to hang the “loss” of Vietnam on the antiwar left and their Democratic enablers). Indeed, in 1970, at 23, Romney told the Globe, ”If it wasn’t a political blunder to move into Vietnam, I don’t know what is.” But while telling the truth about his lack of “desire to go off and serve” in 1994, Romney lied again, telling the Boston Herald he didn’t “take any actions to remove myself from the pool of young men who were eligible for the draft.” That’s absolutely not true. He got his first deferment while at Stanford University, where in his prep-school prankster phase he counter-protested a Vietnam draft protest. That’s another lie, in a way: While posing as pro-draft and pro-war, he was evading the draft with an “activity in study” deferment. After his freshman year, he got deferment status as “a minister of religion or divinity student,” which he’d keep while working in France as a missionary for his Mormon church. Yet the AP reveals that other young Mormons were denied that deferment. And since the church itself strongly supported the war, its leaders eventually limited such deferments, but Romney kept his. After his religious deferment, he got another academic deferment to finish school. By the time he was draft eligible, troop numbers were declining, and his lottery number was never called. http://www.salon.com/2012/06/07/romney_dodged_the_draft/
The challenger always gets a bump after the first debate, and it almost always goes back down. In fact we're seeing that already, and Obama is still ahead in most swing states. I wouldn't get my hopes up too much if you're planning a Romney victory celebration. P.S. Go to Google Images, type in "Completely Wrong".
