Blazers have a 30% chance of making the playoffs.

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by SlyPokerDog, Jan 11, 2013.

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  1. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    SlyPokerDog, Jan 11, 2013
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  2. RR7

    RR7 Well-Known Member

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    Biggest issue with it for us this year is the flipside of last season. Along with things like SRS, it looks at point differential as one aspect of determining quality of teams. Unfortunately, there doesn't seem to be a way to average it out or something. So you lose 2 games bad(LA and Toronto, let's say), you're at a -40. Then you take our last 6 wins, we're only at a +24. So through 8 games, we have a good record, show we're a good team, beat decent teams, but because of a blowout, we look worse than we are. Last year, we had a few big wins, and a bunch of close losses, and I remember a bunch of writers because so confused at how our record was bad, without seeming to account for this. You win one big one and lose 12 close ones, you can still have a positive differential. Doesn't make you a good team or any better, just means you got hot(or, cold) one night.
     
    RR7, Jan 11, 2013
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  3. BlazerBeav

    BlazerBeav Well-Known Member

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    That's it - let's call the whole thing off!
     
    BlazerBeav, Jan 11, 2013
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  4. Charcoal Filtered

    Charcoal Filtered Writing Team

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    e are up to 37%!
     
    Charcoal Filtered, Jan 12, 2013
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  5. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Don't we have one of the toughest schedules left?
     
    THE HCP, Jan 12, 2013
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  6. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    who cares? As long as we stay away from the WAS, TOR, DET and SACs of the world, we'll be ok.
     
    BrianFromWA, Jan 12, 2013
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  7. ABM

    ABM Happily Married In Music City, USA!

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    FIFY
     
    ABM, Jan 12, 2013
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  8. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    teams we've beaten w/better records than us: CHI, DEN (w/o LMA), HOU (x2), MEM, MIA, NYK, SAS
    teams we've lost to w/better records than us: ATL, BKN (w/o LMA) GSW, IND, LAC, OKC, SAS
    teams we've beaten w/worse records than us: CHA, CLE, LAL, MIN (x2), NOH, ORL, PHI, PHX, SAC(x2), TOR (w/o Nic)
    teams we've lost to w/worse records than us: BOS, DAL, DET, LAL, PHX, SAC (x2), TOR, WAS

    8-7 with teams w/better records
    12-9 with team w/worse records
     
    BrianFromWA, Jan 12, 2013
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