So is a Maynor a keeper if he plays well the rest of the season?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Blazinaway, Mar 3, 2013.

  1. Mediocre Man

    Mediocre Man Mr. SportsTwo

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    haha

    Rooting for him long term. I also think Minnesota and Charlotte had much more to do with us winning the last two games than Meyers

    I would love nothing more than for him to sit in a gym the entire off season and learn post offense and defense. With his other skill set, he could be good. Right now though, he seems to like the high post only. Given that he was a 6'5" guard in high school, makes me think he will always prefer the high post. Also leads me to believe he will never be a very good low post defender or help defender.

    Randy Bodek loved his game, hated his brain. We will see
     
  2. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    How did Leonard get mixed in with this thread?
     
  3. Mediocre Man

    Mediocre Man Mr. SportsTwo

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    Boob brought him up on page 2 after someone *cough Mags cough* brought up Hickson and Pekovic :)
     
  4. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    Touché. But... I wasn't the one that originally brought him up. I was replying to someone's post! So there!!!!!!
     
  5. ripmycity

    ripmycity Member

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    I definitely like Maynor. He is a High IQ Point that seems to make his teammates better. He is owed the 3.2-3.3 million minimum. Iam just worried that the other teams that were interested in him when we snagged him from the Thunder will over bid him. Making him 2 expensive.
     
  6. julius

    julius Living on the air in Cincinnati... Staff Member Global Moderator

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    I believe the blazers can just sign his qualifying offer
     
  7. Mediocre Man

    Mediocre Man Mr. SportsTwo

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    And instantly erase 3+ million from or cap space
     
  8. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    Worth it
     
  9. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    which probably means we don't sign an RFA this offseason with the bulk of our cap space.
     
  10. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    Let this be a lesson to those who swear by PER and other stats that try to define a player's worth by a single number:

    Nolan Smith:
    PER = 6.9
    TS% = .436
    TOV = 19.9
    ORtg = 85
    DRTg = 111
    WS/48 = -0.069

    Ronnie Price:
    PER = 6.8
    TS% = .402
    TOV = 20.7
    ORtg = 88
    DRTg = 108
    WS/48 = -0.010

    Eric Maynor:
    PER = 6.7
    TS% = .396
    TOV = 22.6
    ORtg = 90
    DRTg = 114
    WS/48 = -0.039

    I know the sample size for Maynor is small (games), but these numbers are all very close. Nolan and Price actually have higher PERs, shoot better and turn the ball over less than Maynor. Maynor has a higher ORTg, but that's offset by a comparably higher DRTg. All three have negative WS/48.

    So, what makes Maynor a potential keeper?

    Nolan Smith
    AST% = 19.5

    Ronnie Price
    AST% = 21.1

    Eric Maynor
    AST% = 38.7

    Maynor knows how to run an offense and create for his teammates. The second unit plays so much better now, after just 4 games, than it ever did with Price or Nolan running the point. And, as others have mentioned, Maynor's ability to run an offense frees Damian up to play off the ball - and be effective doing so.

    I expect Maynor's PER and other stats to improve with more PT, but his AST% and the positive impact he has on the second unit is reason enough to consider him a potential "keeper".

    BNM
     
  11. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    Great post, BNM. Maynor may be as inefficient as Nolan and Ronnie, but he's twice the passer; observation and stats bear this out.
     
  12. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    I thought it was cool that this one particular stat, AST%, confirms EXACTLY what we've seen with our own eyes. Many posters have commented on how much better the second unit is playing with Maynor compared to Price or Nolan, and his AST% explains why. He runs the offense well, creates for his teammates and does a great job finding the open man.

    I think this makes him a very desirable back-up PG. He doesn't have the scoring ability to be a starter, but the flow and ball movement is great for getting the bench guys involved by getting them easy baskets. I know it's a long season and guys like Leonard, Freeland and Claver are learning as they go, but I can't help but wonder how much further along they'd be if we'd had Maynor on opening night.

    BNM
     
  13. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    And with assists necessarily having to come from made baskets, a 2x increase in AST% means (roughly, for similar minutes played, etc.) a 2x increase in scoring while the backup PG is in the game. That's what we're seeing.
     
  14. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Um, no. Assist percentage is an estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while he was on the floor. The volume or frequency of field goals scored while a player is on the floor doesn't really enter into the equation. The formula for assist percentage is 100 * AST / (((MP / (Tm MP / 5)) * Tm FG) - FG).

    Now, a higher assist percentage might mean that he's providing easy shots for the other players, but it doesn't necessarily correlate to higher scoring numbers overall.
     
  15. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    Fuck off with this passive aggressive "um no" shit. I FUCKING HATE THIS. So fucking rude.

    Also, thanks for an otherwise good lesson.

    Also also, Maynor's PER now stands at 10.2 after that Memphis game.
     
  16. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    I like turtles!
     
  17. ripmycity

    ripmycity Member

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    He has a point. Maynor had 12 assist the Timberwolves game. Thats at least 22 points assisted. On top of whatever points he scores. He could score 0, that 22 points assisted coming from a backup PG is pretty darn good in my book. Theres no arguing our bench is like night and day when Em got here.
     
  18. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    Where I had it wrong is that it just means more baskets are assisted, not necessarily that there's more baskets (there could have been a lot of one-on-one points before that are now assisted, meaning the upgrade in points isn't 1:1 with AST%) - totally legit mental misfire on my part. Plus, Maynor is playing about 1/3 to 1/2 of his time with starters and Lillard while subbing for Matthews.

    Observationally, however, our offense is running much better with Maynor than with either previous backup PG.
     
  19. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    Maynor is driving his price up. How much will he get this summer? The guy could probably starting for 1/3 of the teams in the league.
     

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