No way we're keeping this pick

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by TowelBoy, May 5, 2013.

  1. The Dude

    The Dude Member

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    Protecting the rim doesn't have to mean blocked shots though, does it? Gortat seems to rotate well and "get in the way" on defense. He has a 105 defensive rating on the Suns, which is like a 102 rating anywhere else :)

    What I don't like is his FTA per game of 2.3. His career FTA per game is poor also. Although he did shoot the majority of his shots in the key, so maybe it's something else?
     
  2. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

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    Absolutely not. Blocked shots does not necessarily mean "good defense". I'll take a good defender who doesn't block many shots over a mediocre defender who blocks "tons" of shots. I think basing a defensive decision on BPG is silly - generally the league-leader averages about 3BPG. While that CAN be the difference in whether you win or lose a particular game, it shouldn't be the difference between being a good defensive team or a bad team. AT BEST, that's saving you 6ppg - and that's assuming that every shot that's blocked would have gone through the hoop. Given that good interior players shoot around 60%, the league-leader in blocks is actually only saving you roughly 3.6ppg. And again, that's assuming 60% of the shots would go in...which is a stretch when you factor in that guards don't shoot 60% in the paint.
    I love blocked shots - but they are just a "defensive dunk".
     
  3. OregonHuskerMan

    OregonHuskerMan Well-Known Member

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    Youre also assuming that they dont alter shots by having the reputation of a shot blocker. So its possible they affect a lot more than 4 points per game, by forcing odd shots.
     
  4. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Although I agree with Blue9's overall point, I agree there are exceptions where teams just don't attack the basket as much when there is an elite shot blocker on the court. But those are rare. Mark Eaton comes to mind. Not a great defender by any any means but he effected one side of the court.

    But overall I agree that blocked shots are overrated. We need the D to be extended way past the paint area. And a good team defender (Like Gasol) is probably more effective.
     
  5. Blaze01

    Blaze01 JBB JustBBall Member

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    Asik moves the needle more than most of the other retreads being listed here...and HOU has a decent stockpile of young talent that would not effect HOU "core" to send POR way as well....any combination of Terrence Jones, Thomas Robinson, Motiejunas, Royce White (risky)....which is the kicker IMO

    Trading the #10 pick and giving up cap space to get a starting center Asik (on a reasonable deal) and a combination of 1 or 2 young players to stockpile talent is a better haul than getting over-priced\under-perfroming knuckleheads like Javale McGee or DeAndre Jordan or inferior 2nd tier players like Robin Lopez or Spencer Hawes

    and HOU doesn't need POR to make a run at Howard, I am sure they can find other trade partners willing to take on some salary and a pretty decent post player (Asik, who is still young (26)) plus another young player or 2 to help them unload salary...of course this is only possible if HOU thinks they have a very good shot at getting Howard....if not then this is all a moot point.
     
  6. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    I think Lakers would initiate a deal directly or indirectly with Houston to bring back talent to Lakers. They can easily just sign and trade and keep Asik and many other young talent on Houston, or they can use a third team to bring talent to Lakers like Love.

    I just don't see the Asik possibility even being a possibility. If so, then Houston may hate Lakers just as badly as we do.
     
  7. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    That's patently false. A good shotblocker does more than stop 6 points. As was said, he alters shots and discourages players from coming inside. Dikembe Mutombo controlled a whole playoff series (vs Seattle in 1994) with his shotblocking. What I don't like are people who swat the ball into the stands all the time. What you have to do is block the shot and secure possession. Akeem was great at this.

    As for who we should go with, I think we should follow Mick's advice and draft Kelly Olynyk. We'll roll with Olynyk, Leonard, and O'Neal (who we can sign for cheap and wants to be here).
     
  8. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Oden is also a player who was very effective defensively as a shotblocker. Bill Russell too. Good shotblocking can anchor an entire defense.
     
  9. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Looking at the box scores of the first round series between Denver and Seattle, Mutombo had 4 and 5 blocked shots in the first two games (which Denver lost). Then, he took over. He had 6 blocked shots in Game 3, 8 blocked shots in Game 4, and 8 blocked shots again in Game 5. Seattle was completely flustered and became the first #1 seed to lose in the first round.
     
  10. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

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    Actually, no, I'm not. I'm not even addressing it - my only point is that BPG should not be a hugely important metric when choosing between defensive Cs. I was isolating BPG to illustrate that this single part of the game is not going to be a determining factor in whether you're a good or bad defensive team. If you want a real world example we can point to Javale McGee and Marc Gasol. One blocks shots, and one is a good defender...both alter shots.
     
  11. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Gasol doesn't dominate defensively like Akeem and Dikembe did though.
     
  12. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

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    Okay.
     
  13. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Did you see them play?
     
  14. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

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    Yes. I just don't get the point of your posts. They don't pertain to anything I've written.
     
  15. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    :)
    I just add to add this to my sig!
     
  16. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Does Lillard attending the draft mean we're keeping the pick?
     
  17. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    Well, the #3 pick would have much more value than #10... :dunno:

    Gotta think we're keeping it, if not moving up.
     
  18. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    Otto Porter would be a nice chip to trade.

    Or he'd make it easier to deal Batum.
     
    Last edited: May 10, 2013
  19. OregonHuskerMan

    OregonHuskerMan Well-Known Member

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    If we landed a top 3 pick, I'd be immediately calling up the Kings making a deal for DMC. Detroit for Drummond. Milwaukie for Larry Sanders.

    OR Toronto for DeMar or Terrence Ross.
     
  20. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    Plan A: DMC
    Plan B: Monroe
    Plan C: Keep it

    I don't see Detroit entertaining offers for Drummond.
     

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