Projecting the remainder of the season, 59 wins

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Draco, Dec 17, 2013.

  1. Draco

    Draco Well-Known Member

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    Date Result Record Opponent Days of rest
    12/17 W 22-4 @Cleveland
    12/18 L 22-5 @Minnesota (b2b)
    12/21 W 23-5 New Orleans
    12/26 W 24-5 LA Clippers
    12/28 L 24-6 Miami
    12/30 W 25-6 @New Orleans
    12/31 L 25-7 @Oklahoma City (b2b)
    1/2 W 26-7 Charlotte
    1/4 W 27-7 Philadelphia
    1/7 W 28-7 @Sacramento
    1/8 W 29-7 Orlando (b2b)
    1/11 W 30-7 Boston
    1/15 W 31-7 Cleveland
    1/17 L 31-8 @San Antonio
    1/18 L 31-9 @Dallas (b2b)
    1/20 L 31-10 @Houston
    1/21 L 31-11 @Oklahoma City (b2b)
    1/23 W 32-11 Denver
    1/25 W 33-11 Minnesota
    1/26 L 33-12 @Golden State (b2b)
    1/28 W 34-12 Memphis
    2/1 W 35-12 Toronto
    2/3 W 36-12 @Washington
    2/5 W 37-12 @New York
    2/7 L 37-13 @Indiana
    2/8 L 37-14 @Minnesota (b2b)
    2/11 W 38-14 Oklahoma City
    2/12 L 38-15 @LA Clippers (b2b)
    2/19 W 39-15 San Antonio
    2/21 W 40-15 Utah
    2/23 W 41-15 Minnesota
    2/25 L 41-16 @Denver
    2/26 W 42-16 Brooklyn (b2b)
    3/1 W 43-16 Denver
    3/3 W 44-16 LA Lakers
    3/5 W 45-16 Atlanta
    3/7 L 45-17 @Dallas
    3/9 L 45-18 @Houston
    3/11 L 45-19 @Memphis
    3/12 L 45-20 @San Antonio (b2b)
    3/14 L 45-21 @New Orleans
    3/16 W 46-21 Golden State
    3/18 W 47-21 Milwaukee
    3/20 W 48-21 Washington
    3/22 W 49-21 @Charlotte
    3/24 L 49-22 @Miami
    3/25 W 50-22 @Orlando (b2b)
    3/27 L 50-23 @Atlanta
    3/28 W 51-23 @Chicago (b2b)
    3/30 W 52-23 Memphis
    4/1 W 53-23 @LA Lakers
    4/4 W 54-23 Phoenix
    4/6 W 55-23 New Orleans
    4/9 W 56-23 Sacramento
    4/11 W 57-23 @Utah
    4/13 W 58-23 Golden State
    4/16 W 59-23 LA Clippers

    Above is my projection for our record the rest of the season, with our Blazers losing the road games against the decent teams but winning everything else. Obviously actual results will be different, as we will lose some home games or games against easy opponents but win a few of those tough road games. But I think this is a good basis to form a rough projection.

    At 21-4 the team is currently winning 84% of their games! That win rate is not sustainable and a large part of that is due to an easy road schedule the Blazers have benefited from thus far. But I’m ecstatic the team is taking care of business in those games they should win!

    If the team hits my hopeful projections they will go 38-19 the rest of the season which is a reasonable two wins for every loss. That would give us 59 wins. Pick up one extra win and we’d have a 60 win season for only the second time in Blazers history! That may even be good enough for the top seed in the west, but would for sure get us a top 3 seed and a very winnable playoff series.
     
    handiman likes this.
  2. Eastoff

    Eastoff But it was a beginning.

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    Without knowing your metric for "decent teams." I think that's probably a fair guess. 55-59 seems very plausible at this time.
     
  3. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    5 game losing streak in March huh? The sky will fall in this forum if that happens.
     
  4. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    We have a great shot at breaking 60 this season. Hopefully we keep it up!
     
  5. DaLincolnJones

    DaLincolnJones Well-Known Member

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    Hm, You think he was doing that old True or False test, random answer thingy?
     
  6. rasheedfan2005

    rasheedfan2005 Well-Known Member

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    Dallas is not going to sweep us. This prediction is flawed. 73-9 at the worst.
     
  7. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    Honestly, I think we win 40-43 more games this season.

    61-64 wins
     

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